Dubnica vs Povazska Bystrica prediction
Chance to win · 77% and 11% in regulation
Valent M.Started5-3-0
Vojvoda M.Started0-9-1All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 74%Full game
- 1X2WonDubnica1.20Confidence 75%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonO5.5odds down 1.39Confidence 70%
- HandicapLostDubnica -1.5Confidence 67%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonDubnica1.11Confidence 82%
- Double chanceWonDubnica or draw1.05Confidence 88%
- Draw no betWonDubnica1.06Confidence 86%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.11Confidence 85%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDubnica1.62Confidence 56%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds up 1.57Confidence 59%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Dubnica 5–2
Pov. Bystrica Score details
- Correct scoreLost5–2After 60 min5–46%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–013%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 7 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 5-2
- By period 2-0, 1-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 5-2 (6%), 5-1 (5%), 4-2 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonDubnica
Povazska Bystrica
Head-to-head
Dubnica 3–2
Pov. Bystrica - Jan 30, 2026: Povazska Bystrica 0, Dubnica 4.
- Dec 21, 2025: Dubnica 3, Povazska Bystrica 4, after overtime.
- Nov 11, 2025: Povazska Bystrica 5, Dubnica 2.
- Oct 1, 2025: Dubnica 1, Povazska Bystrica 0.
- Feb 19, 2025: Dubnica 4, Povazska Bystrica 2.
Last five games
Dubnica
3-1-1 - Win, 4–3 against TEBS Bratislava, Oct 9. Odds: Dubnica 1.50, TEBS Bratislava 4.60.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Trnava, after a shootout, Oct 7.
- Win, 4–1 at HK Levice, Oct 2.
- Loss, 4–9 against Skalica, Sep 30.
- Win, 7–3 against Nove Zamky, Sep 25.
Pov. Bystrica
0-5-0 - Loss, 1–2 against Trnava, Oct 9. Odds: Pov. Bystrica 2.62, Trnava 2.12.
- Loss, 1–4 at Skalica, Oct 7.
- Loss, 3–5 at Nove Zamky, Oct 2.
- Loss, 1–3 against HK Levice, Sep 30.
- Loss, 3–6 against Topolcany, Sep 25.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
No goals or penalties.
2nd period4-3
- 00:17 Goal Povazska Bystrica: Rehak S. assists: Durkech J., Galimov B. 0-1
- 03:29 Goal Dubnica: Svec J. assists: Tybor R., Jakubek M. 1-1
- 10:57 Goal Dubnica: Nahalka J. 2-1
- 11:54 Goal Dubnica: Jakubek M. assists: Tybor R. 3-1
- 13:56 Goal Dubnica: Benacka J. assists: Szabo M. 4-1
- 17:03 Goal PPG Povazska Bystrica: Belic T. assists: Antonov V., Durkech J. 4-2
- 18:17 Goal Povazska Bystrica: Melcher P. assists: Ligas P., Antonov V. 4-3
3rd period1-1
- 06:02 Goal Dubnica: Nahalka S. 5-3
- 12:02 Goal PPG Povazska Bystrica: Ligas P. assists: Omelka V., Antonov V. 5-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 10+ straight losses for Povazska Bystrica coming into this game.
- In goal: Valent M. for Dubnica (5-3-0 in the last 8 starts), Vojvoda M. for Povazska Bystrica (0-9-1 in the last 10 starts).
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Dubnica.
- +2.7 goals at home — Dubnica averaged 5.4 at home and 2.8 away this season.
- 5.0 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (DUB) | 1.21 | 1.21 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 7.33 | 7.33 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (POV) | 8.31 | 8.31 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6.5 | No change |
| Handicap DUB | −2.5 | −2.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
1. Liga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  HC 19 Humenne |
15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 1.100 | 50 | 34 | +16 |
| 2 |  Martin |
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 29 | 1.036 | 58 | 42 | +16 |
| 3 |  Skalica |
15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 27 | .900 | 61 | 45 | +16 |
| 4 |  Ziar nad Hronom |
15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 27 | .900 | 49 | 39 | +10 |
| 5 | Dubnica |
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 26 | .867 | 61 | 57 | +4 |
| 6 |  TEBS Bratislava |
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 24 | .800 | 47 | 48 | −1 |
| 7 |  HK Detva |
15 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 22 | .733 | 47 | 42 | +5 |
| 8 |  Nove Zamky |
14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | .786 | 53 | 52 | +1 |
| 9 |  Topolcany |
15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 21 | .700 | 51 | 48 | +3 |
| 10 |  Trnava |
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 19 | .679 | 37 | 40 | −3 |
| 11 |  HK Levice |
16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 18 | .563 | 47 | 58 | −11 |
| 12 | Povazska Bystrica |
15 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 8 | .267 | 31 | 54 | −23 |
| 13 |  Slovakia U18 |
8 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 3 | .188 | 8 | 41 | −33 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Dubnica host Povazska Bystrica in the 1. Liga on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.