Dubnica vs Topolcany prediction
Chance to win · 42% and 39% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Full game
- 1X2WonDubnica1.65Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderLostU7.51.31Confidence 71%
- HandicapLostTopolcany +1.51.65Confidence 67%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonDubnica1.39Confidence 52%
- Double chanceWonDubnica or draw1.21Confidence 66%
- Draw no betWonDubnicaConfidence 53%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonDubnicaConfidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.51.70Confidence 56%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min5–33%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period2–18%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 3rd28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 1-2, 0-0
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (3%), 2-1 (2%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Sep 23, 2026: Topolcany 6, Dubnica 2.
- Feb 20, 2026: Dubnica 2, Topolcany 1, after a shootout.
- Jan 9, 2026: Topolcany 1, Dubnica 3.
- Nov 28, 2025: Dubnica 5, Topolcany 2.
- Oct 17, 2025: Topolcany 2, Dubnica 0.
Last five games
- Loss, 1–3 against Martin, Oct 23. Odds: Dubnica 2.15, Martin 2.50.
- Win, 4–2 at HK Detva, Oct 20. Odds: Detva 3.30, Dubnica 1.75.
- Loss, 2–5 at Ziar nad Hronom, Oct 18. Odds: Ziar nad Hronom 1.91, Dubnica 2.89.
- Win, 5–4 against Povazska Bystrica, Oct 16. Odds: Dubnica 1.21, Pov. Bystrica 8.31.
- Win, 4–3 against TEBS Bratislava, Oct 9. Odds: Dubnica 1.50, TEBS Bratislava 4.60.
- Loss, 2–4 against Nove Zamky, Oct 23. Odds: Topolcany 1.75, Nove Zamky 3.35.
- Loss, 0–2 at Trnava, Oct 21. Odds: Trnava 2.08, Topolcany 2.65.
- Win, 5–2 at HK Levice, Oct 18. Odds: Levice 2.23, Topolcany 2.37.
- Loss, 3–4 against TEBS Bratislava, Oct 16. Odds: Topolcany 1.79, TEBS Bratislava 3.28.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Martin, after a shootout, Oct 9. Odds: Martin 1.53, Topolcany 4.40.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-1
- 04:46 Goal Topolcany: Bodnar M. assists: Benko M., Piacka E. 0-1
- 14:50 Goal Dubnica: Becar S. assists: Bezuch J., Mikula O. 1-1
- 18:47 Goal Dubnica: Svec J. assists: Jakubek M., Tybor R. 2-1
2nd period1-1
- 15:46 Goal Dubnica: Tybor R. assists: Pangelov-Yuldashev F., Jakubek M. 3-1
- 17:12 Goal Topolcany: Ejem M. assists: Hurtaj T., Danielcak T. 3-2
3rd period2-1
- 09:55 Goal Dubnica: Maruna O. assists: Plokhotnik O., Hovorka M. 4-2
- 17:00 Goal Topolcany: Hurtaj T. assists: Bystrican M., Piacka E. 4-3
- 18:07 Goal Dubnica: Tybor R. assists: Jakubek M. 5-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- In goal: Kukucka A. for Dubnica (4-4-2 in the last 10 starts), Mirt D. for Topolcany (5-4-1 in the last 10 starts).
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Dubnica.
- +1.9 goals at home — Dubnica averaged 4.7 at home and 2.8 away this season.
- 1-3-1 in the last five for Topolcany.
- 4.8 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (DUB) | 1.67 | 1.67 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.30 | 4.40 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (TOP) | 3.60 | 3.55 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6.5 | No change |
| Handicap DUB | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
1. Liga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 1.100 | 50 | 34 | +16 | |
| 2 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 29 | 1.036 | 58 | 42 | +16 | |
| 3 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 27 | .900 | 61 | 45 | +16 | |
| 4 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 27 | .900 | 49 | 39 | +10 | |
| 5 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 26 | .867 | 61 | 57 | +4 | |
| 6 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 24 | .800 | 47 | 48 | −1 | |
| 7 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 22 | .733 | 47 | 42 | +5 | |
| 8 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | .786 | 53 | 52 | +1 | |
| 9 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 21 | .700 | 51 | 48 | +3 | |
| 10 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 19 | .679 | 37 | 40 | −3 | |
| 11 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 18 | .563 | 47 | 58 | −11 | |
| 12 | 15 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 8 | .267 | 31 | 54 | −23 | |
| 13 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 3 | .188 | 8 | 41 | −33 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Dubnica host Topolcany in the 1. Liga on Wednesday, October 28, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.