Dundee vs Cardiff prediction
Chance to win · 18% and 64% in regulation
Stankowski C.StartedSV 91.8% · GAA 3.25 · 3-4-1
Bowns B.StartedSV 93.7% · GAA 2.20 · 5-5-0All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 71%Full game
- 1X2LostCardiffodds up 1.30Confidence 67%
- Over/UnderLostO4.5odds up 1.35Confidence 71%
- HandicapLostCardiff -1.5Confidence 57%
- Banker of the day: Winner (incl. OT)LostCardiffodds up 1.15Confidence 92%
- Double chanceWonCardiff or drawodds up 1.11Confidence 83%
- Draw no betPushCardiffodds up 1.14Confidence 79%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.13Confidence 85%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostCardiffodds up 1.82Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds up 1.82Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The banker is the day’s best bet at short odds, not its surest result. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Dundee 1–4
Cardiff Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–4After 60 min2–27%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period2–211%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 4 goals27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-4
- By period 0-2, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 1-4 (7%), 2-5 (6%), 1-5 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 11+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formDundee
Cardiff
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Dundee 0–5
Cardiff - Nov 6, 2026: Cardiff 2, Dundee 1, after overtime.
- Oct 10, 2026: Cardiff 3, Dundee 0.
- Mar 22, 2026: Cardiff 8, Dundee 1.
- Mar 21, 2026: Cardiff 3, Dundee 0.
- Jan 30, 2026: Dundee 3, Cardiff 4, after overtime.
Last five games
Dundee
2-2-1 - Win, 4–3 at Fife, Oct 17. Odds: Fife 1.73, Dundee 3.40.
- Win, 6–5 at Glasgow, after overtime, Oct 14. Odds: Glasgow 1.77, Dundee 3.11.
- Loss, 2–8 at Coventry, Oct 11. Odds: Coventry 1.38, Dundee 5.71.
- Loss, 0–3 at Cardiff, Oct 10. Odds: Cardiff 1.10, Dundee 12.00.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 against Manchester, after overtime, Oct 7.
Cardiff
5-0-0 - Win, 5–4 against Coventry, after overtime, Oct 17. Odds: Cardiff 1.63, Coventry 3.73.
- Win, 5–2 against Belfast, Oct 11. Odds: Cardiff 1.87, Belfast 3.20.
- Win, 3–0 against Dundee, Oct 10. Odds: Cardiff 1.10, Dundee 12.00.
- Win, 2–1 against Glasgow, Oct 4.
- Win, 2–0 against Manchester, Oct 3.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-2
- 03:44 Goal Cardiff: Brandt R. assists: Kontos K. 0-1
- 05:12 Goal PPG Cardiff: MacDonald J. assists: Fournier G., Kontos K. 0-2
- 12:46 Goal Dundee: Ewanyk T. assists: Eliseev M., Strange S. 1-2
- 14:52 Goal Dundee: Hoffman Z. assists: Ewanyk T. 2-2
2nd period0-0
No goals or penalties.
3rd period0-0
No goals or penalties.
Overtime1-0
- 03:29 Goal Dundee: Nousiainen R. assists: Laventure T. 3-2
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for both teams — Dundee and Cardiff played yesterday.
- 5-game winning streak for Cardiff coming into this game.
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Cardiff.
- In goal: Stankowski C. for Dundee (3-4-1 in the last 8 starts), Bowns B. for Cardiff (5-5-0 in the last 10 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 2.1 per game — Dundee −1.4, Cardiff +0.7 over their recent games.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (DUN) | 5.75 | 5.75 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 6.00 | 6.00 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (CAR) | 1.30 | 1.30 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap DUN | +2.5 | +2.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Elite League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cardiff |
9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 15 | .833 | 27 | 15 | +12 |
| 2 |  Belfast |
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 14 | .875 | 28 | 16 | +12 |
| 3 |  Sheffield |
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | .650 | 34 | 26 | +8 |
| 4 |  Coventry |
8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 12 | .750 | 26 | 15 | +11 |
| 5 |  Manchester |
10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 11 | .550 | 25 | 26 | −1 |
| 6 |  Guildford |
9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 9 | .500 | 32 | 39 | −7 |
| 7 |  Fife |
8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7 | .438 | 25 | 26 | −1 |
| 8 |  Nottingham |
6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | .500 | 15 | 17 | −2 |
| 9 | Dundee |
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | .286 | 14 | 28 | −14 |
| 10 |  Glasgow |
9 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 2 | .111 | 12 | 30 | −18 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Dundee host Cardiff in the Elite League on Sunday, October 18, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.