Dusseldorf vs Freiburg prediction
Chance to win · 66% and 16% in regulation
Lunemann N.StartedSV 78.9% · GAA 6.00 · 5-4-1
Schmidt O.StartedSV 91% · GAA 2.33 · 2-5-3All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 72%Full game
- 1X2WonDusseldorfodds down 1.41Confidence 69%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds down 1.46Confidence 70%
- HandicapWonDusseldorf -1.5odds down 1.98Confidence 61%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonDusseldorf1.22Confidence 79%
- Double chanceWonDusseldorf or drawodds up 1.12Confidence 84%
- Banker of the day: Draw no betWonDusseldorfodds down 1.17Confidence 93%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.14Confidence 84%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonDusseldorfodds down 1.93Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds up 1.90Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The banker is the day’s best bet at short odds, not its surest result. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Dusseldorf 4–1
Freiburg Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min5–37%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period3–111%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 4 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (7%), 5-2 (6%), 5-1 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formDusseldorf
Freiburg
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Dusseldorf 3–1
Freiburg - Mar 6, 2026: Freiburg 4, Dusseldorf 6.
- Jan 2, 2026: Dusseldorf 3, Freiburg 2, after a shootout.
- Dec 21, 2025: Dusseldorf 1, Freiburg 3.
- Sep 21, 2025: Freiburg 3, Dusseldorf 4.
Last five games
Dusseldorf
5-0-0 - Win, 6–1 against Dresdner Eislowen, Oct 11.
- Win, 4–3 at Lausitzer Fuchse, after a shootout, Oct 9. Odds: Weisswasser 2.95, Dusseldorf 1.91.
- Win, 5–1 against Weiden, Oct 4.
- Win, 3–1 at Starbulls Rosenheim, Oct 2.
- Win, 3–0 against Memmingen, Sep 27.
Freiburg
1-2-2 - Loss, 0–3 against Starbulls Rosenheim, Oct 11. Odds: Freiburg 3.13, Rosenheim 1.97.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 at Ravensburg, after overtime, Oct 9. Odds: Ravensburg 1.54, Freiburg 4.20.
- Win, 3–2 at Regensburg, after overtime, Oct 4.
- Loss, 2–3 against Landshut, Oct 2.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 against Kassel, after a shootout, Sep 27.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period3-1
- 01:52 Goal Dusseldorf: Bast J. assists: Konze C., O'Donnell S. 1-0
- 04:04 Goal Dusseldorf: Bodnarchuk A. assists: Bradford E. 2-0
- 07:26 Goal Freiburg: Billich C. assists: Kiefersauer C., Steinhauser L. 2-1
- 17:52 Goal Dusseldorf: Jarvelainen V. assists: Hirano Y., Faber M. 3-1
2nd period1-1
- 11:50 Goal SHG Dusseldorf: Turnbull C. assists: Balinson M. 4-1
- 15:22 Goal Freiburg: Sezemsky T. assists: Dopfner A., De Los Rios A. 4-2
3rd period1-1
- 14:30 Goal Freiburg: Plouffe D. assists: De Los Rios A., Linsenmaier N. 4-3
- 18:29 Goal PPG Dusseldorf: Mackin C. assists: Bradford E., Turnbull C. 5-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 8-game winning streak for Dusseldorf coming into this game.
- In goal: Lunemann N. for Dusseldorf (5-4-1 in the last 10 starts), Schmidt O. for Freiburg (2-5-3 in the last 10 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 1.8 per game — Dusseldorf +1.1, Freiburg −0.7 over their recent games.
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Dusseldorf.
- 1-2-2 in the last five for Freiburg.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (DUS) | 1.38 | 1.41 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 5.14 | 5.00 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (FRE) | 6.23 | 5.83 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap DUS | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
DEL 2 standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dusseldorf |
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 1.250 | 56 | 30 | +26 |
| 2 |  Landshut |
14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 26 | .929 | 47 | 45 | +2 |
| 3 |  Regensburg |
14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 24 | .857 | 48 | 42 | +6 |
| 4 |  Dresdner Eislowen |
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 23 | .821 | 50 | 44 | +6 |
| 5 |  Kassel |
14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 23 | .821 | 40 | 37 | +3 |
| 6 |  Starbulls Rosenheim |
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 21 | .750 | 46 | 40 | +6 |
| 7 |  Lausitzer Fuchse |
14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 20 | .714 | 39 | 45 | −6 |
| 8 |  Weiden |
14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 20 | .714 | 46 | 55 | −9 |
| 9 |  Crimmitschau |
14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 19 | .679 | 43 | 41 | +2 |
| 10 | Freiburg |
14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 19 | .679 | 37 | 42 | −5 |
| 11 |  Memmingen |
14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 19 | .679 | 43 | 52 | −9 |
| 12 |  Ravensburg |
14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 18 | .643 | 46 | 51 | −5 |
| 13 |  Bietigheim/Bissingen |
14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 16 | .571 | 47 | 52 | −5 |
| 14 |  Bad Nauheim |
14 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 11 | .393 | 30 | 42 | −12 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Dusseldorf host Freiburg in the DEL 2 on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.