Dynamo Moscow vs Novosibirsk prediction
Chance to win · 36% and 40% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Full game
- 1X2LostNovosibirskodds up 3.45Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU6.5odds down 1.26Confidence 77%
- HandicapWonNovosibirsk +1.5odds down 1.51Confidence 72%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonNovosibirsk2.50Confidence 52%
- Double chanceWonNovosibirsk or drawodds down 1.85Confidence 65%
- Draw no betPushNovosibirskodds down 2.70Confidence 51%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.14Confidence 82%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonDrawodds down 2.55Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds down 1.64Confidence 61%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: an edge above the model’s usual ceiling; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–2After 60 min2–24%chance
- 1st period correct scoreWon0–01st period0–025%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals3rd · 3 goals26%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-2
- By period 0-0, 1-1, 0-1
- Likeliest 1-2 (4%), 1-3 (4%), 2-3 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Nov 20, 2025: Dynamo Moscow 3, Novosibirsk 4, after a shootout.
- Nov 15, 2025: Novosibirsk 2, Dynamo Moscow 3.
- Nov 20, 2024: Dynamo Moscow 4, Novosibirsk 2.
- Nov 15, 2024: Novosibirsk 1, Dynamo Moscow 2.
Last five games
- Win, 2–1 at Lada, after a shootout, Oct 18. Odds: Lada 3.80, Dynamo Moscow 1.77.
- Loss, 4–5 at Nizhny Novgorod, Oct 16. Odds: Nizhny Novgorod 2.16, Dynamo Moscow 2.70.
- Loss, 0–1 at CSKA Moscow, Oct 14. Odds: CSKA Moscow 1.88, Dynamo Moscow 3.35.
- Win, 4–3 against SKA St. Petersburg, after overtime, Oct 11. Odds: Dynamo Moscow 2.47, SKA 2.35.
- Loss, 2–5 against CSKA Moscow, Oct 9. Odds: Dynamo Moscow 2.87, CSKA Moscow 2.12.
- Loss, 0–1 against Barys Astana, Oct 17. Odds: Novosibirsk 2.64, Barys Astana 2.30.
- Win, 4–2 at Salavat Ufa, Oct 14. Odds: Salavat Ufa 1.74, Novosibirsk 3.75.
- Win, 3–2 at Barys Astana, Oct 12. Odds: Barys Astana 1.98, Novosibirsk 3.10.
- Win, 2–1 at Tractor Chelyabinsk, Oct 10. Odds: Tractor 1.92, Novosibirsk 3.30.
- Overtime loss, 4–5 against Salavat Ufa, after overtime, Oct 7.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
- 12:41 2 min Novosibirsk: Nekolenko A. High sticking
2nd period1-0
- 18:41 Goal Dynamo Moscow: Pylenkov D. assists: Ozhiganov I., Weal J. 1-0
3rd period1-2
- 00:45 2 min Novosibirsk: Yaremchuk A. Holding
- 02:37 Goal PPG Dynamo Moscow: Letunov M. assists: Weal J., Pylenkov D. 2-0
- 08:32 2 min Dynamo Moscow: Martynov I. Tripping
- 09:40 Goal PPG Novosibirsk: Yaremchuk A. assists: Kosolapov A., Nekolenko A. 2-1
- 18:12 Goal Novosibirsk: Yaremchuk A. assists: Kosolapov A., Nikulin S. 2-2
Overtime0-0
- 03:35 2 min Novosibirsk: Smirnov N. Interference
Shootout0-1
-
Round 1
Weal J.
✗missed
Kosolapov A.
✗missed
-
Round 2
Korostelev N.
✗missed
Korshkov Y.
✗missed
-
Round 3
Merkley N.
✗missed
Nikulin S.
✗missed
-
Round 4
Melikov M.
✗missed
Kosolapov A.
✗missed
-
Round 5
Weal J.
✗missed
Nikulin S.
✓scored
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- In goal: Motorygin M. for Dynamo Moscow (3-5-2 in the last 10 starts), Krasotkin A. for Novosibirsk (2-6-2 in the last 10 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 1.0 per game — Dynamo Moscow −1.0, Novosibirsk 0.0 over their recent games.
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Dynamo Moscow.
- Save % gap: Dynamo Moscow 88.8%, Novosibirsk 93.5% over their recent games.
- 5.3 goals per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the total is 5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (DYN) | 1.87 | 1.83 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.95 | 3.99 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (NOV) | 3.53 | 3.65 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 5 | 5 | No change |
| Handicap DYN | −0.5 | −0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
KHL standings
Regular Season · Tarasov Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 37 | .771 | 78 | 45 | +33 | |
| 2 | 24 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 35 | .729 | 64 | 39 | +25 | |
| 3 | 25 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 30 | .600 | 59 | 57 | +2 | |
| 4 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 30 | .652 | 68 | 59 | +9 | |
| 5 | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 25 | .500 | 60 | 74 | −14 | |
| 6 | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 25 | .481 | 56 | 68 | −12 |
Regular Season · Chernyshev Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 12 | 11 | 2 | 26 | .520 | 72 | 73 | −1 | |
| 2 | 23 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 26 | .565 | 46 | 55 | −9 | |
| 3 | 23 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 25 | .543 | 46 | 38 | +8 | |
| 4 | 24 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 25 | .521 | 76 | 66 | +10 | |
| 5 | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 25 | .543 | 61 | 64 | −3 | |
| 6 | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 22 | .423 | 58 | 77 | −19 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Dynamo Moscow host Novosibirsk in the KHL on Tuesday, October 20, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.