Edmonton Oilers vs Calgary Flames prediction
Chance to win · 54% and 25% in regulation
Jarry T.StartedSV 87.9% · GAA 3.20 · 5-1-4
Cooley D.StartedSV 89.2% · GAA 3.00 · 4-4-2All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 67%Full game
- 1X2WonOilersodds up 1.70Confidence 55%
- Over/UnderWonU7.5odds up 1.38Confidence 70%
- HandicapLostFlames +2.5odds down 1.44Confidence 67%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonOilersodds up 1.42Confidence 67%
- Double chanceWonOilers or drawodds up 1.24Confidence 76%
- Best tip of the game: Draw no betWonOilersodds up 1.37Confidence 71%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYesodds down 1.08Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonOilersodds up 2.22Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.67Confidence 56%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Oilers 4–2
Flames Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–2After 60 min4–04%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–09%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 2 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-2
- By period 2-0, 0-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-2 (4%), 3-2 (3%), 3-1 (3%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formEdmonton Oilers
Calgary Flames
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Oilers 2–3
Flames - Sep 26, 2026: Edmonton Oilers 4, Calgary Flames 1.
- Feb 4, 2026: Calgary Flames 4, Edmonton Oilers 3.
- Dec 27, 2025: Calgary Flames 3, Edmonton Oilers 2.
- Dec 23, 2025: Edmonton Oilers 5, Calgary Flames 1.
- Oct 8, 2025: Edmonton Oilers 3, Calgary Flames 4, after a shootout.
Last five games
Oilers
3-1-1 - Overtime loss, 3–4 against Detroit Red Wings, after a shootout, Oct 26. Odds: Oilers 1.83, Red Wings 3.30.
- Loss, 2–7 against Toronto Maple Leafs, Oct 24. Odds: Oilers 1.96, Maple Leafs 3.00.
- Win, 6–5 against Carolina Hurricanes, after a shootout, Oct 22. Odds: Oilers 2.70, Hurricanes 2.10.
- Win, 4–3 against Minnesota Wild, after overtime, Oct 20. Odds: Oilers 2.12, Wild 2.80.
- Win, 6–2 at Utah Mammoth, Oct 17. Odds: Mammoth 2.05, Oilers 2.90.
Flames
4-1-0 - Win, 5–2 against Toronto Maple Leafs, Oct 26. Odds: Flames 2.85, Maple Leafs 2.05.
- Win, 4–1 against Detroit Red Wings, Oct 24. Odds: Flames 2.75, Red Wings 2.15.
- Win, 2–1 against Minnesota Wild, Oct 22. Odds: Flames 4.00, Wild 1.67.
- Win, 3–2 against Carolina Hurricanes, Oct 18. Odds: Flames 3.90, Hurricanes 1.67.
- Loss, 2–6 at Vegas Golden Knights, Oct 15. Odds: Golden Knights 1.64, Flames 4.72.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 05:04 5 min Calgary Flames: Othmann B. Fighting
- 05:04 5 min Edmonton Oilers: Emberson T. Fighting
- 07:46 Goal Edmonton Oilers: Joseph M. assists: McDavid C., Bouchard E. 1-0
- 16:09 2 min Calgary Flames: Farabee J. Interference
- 19:48 2 min Edmonton Oilers: Dach C. Interference
2nd period1-0
- 00:01 Goalie change Calgary Flames: Wolf D. replaces Cooley D.
- 04:52 Goal Edmonton Oilers: Ekholm M. assists: Nugent-Hopkins R. 2-0
3rd period2-0
- 00:39 2 min Calgary Flames: Bahl K. Tripping
- 00:55 Goal PPG Edmonton Oilers: Kapanen K. assists: McDavid C., Nugent-Hopkins R. 3-0
- 01:16 Goal Edmonton Oilers: Formenton A. assists: Dickinson J. 4-0
- 15:37 2 min Edmonton Oilers: Frederic T. Hooking
- 15:37 2 min Calgary Flames: Castagna J. Diving
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 4-game winning streak for Calgary Flames coming into this game.
- In goal: Jarry T. for Edmonton Oilers (5-1-4 in the last 10 starts), Cooley D. for Calgary Flames (4-4-2 in the last 10 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 1.6 per game — Edmonton Oilers +0.8, Calgary Flames −0.8 over their recent games.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Calgary Flames.
- −0.9 goals away — Calgary Flames averaged 2.9 at home and 2.0 away this season.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (EDM) | 1.76 | 1.76 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.50 | 4.50 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (CGY) | 3.55 | 3.55 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6.5 | No change |
| Handicap EDM | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NHL standings
Regular Season · Pacific Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Edmonton Oilers |
19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 29 | .763 | 78 | 56 | +22 |
| 2 |  Vegas Golden Knights |
19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 26 | .684 | 64 | 51 | +13 |
| 3 |  Anaheim Ducks |
18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 21 | .583 | 69 | 66 | +3 |
| 4 |  Seattle Kraken |
16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 19 | .594 | 57 | 57 | 0 |
| 5 | Calgary Flames |
18 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 17 | .472 | 46 | 63 | −17 |
| 6 |  San Jose Sharks |
20 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 17 | .425 | 51 | 71 | −20 |
| 7 |  Los Angeles Kings |
16 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 12 | .375 | 45 | 55 | −10 |
| 8 |  Vancouver Canucks |
20 | 3 | 16 | 1 | 7 | .175 | 56 | 90 | −34 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Edmonton Oilers host Calgary Flames in the NHL on Wednesday, October 28, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.