Edmonton Oilers vs Detroit Red Wings prediction
Edmonton Oilers 3–, Detroit Red Wings 4
AP
Puck drop 21:30 ET
1X2 1.831X2 odds down 3.30
Rogers Place (Edmonton, AB) · USARogers Place (Edmonton, AB)
Team
1st
2nd
3rd
OT
SO
EDM
1
0
2
0
0
DET
0
1
2
0
1
61%Edmonton win · 49% in regulationEDM
Overtime or shootout · 22%OT / SO 22%
39%Detroit win · 29% in regulationDET
Chance to win · 49% and 29% in regulation
Jarry T.StartedSV 87.7% · GAA 3.10 · 6-1-3
Postava M.Started
Best tip of the gameBest tip
Double chance
Won
Oilers or draw
odds up 1.26
Confidence71%
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Full game
- 1X2LostOilersodds up 1.82Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonU7.5odds up 1.39Confidence 70%
- HandicapWonRed Wings +2.5odds down 1.34Confidence 69%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostOilersodds up 1.47Confidence 62%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonOilers or drawodds up 1.26Confidence 71%
- Draw no betPushOilersodds up 1.45Confidence 64%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.06Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonOilersodds down 2.32Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds up 1.62Confidence 56%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the odds drifted 4% since they opened; the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Oilers 4–2
Red Wings
Total goalsTotal
6
Actual 7
Draw after 60 minDraw
22%
Went to a shootout
Edmonton to winTo win
61%
DET won
Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–2After 60 min3–34%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–08%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 4 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-2
- By period 2-0, 0-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-2 (4%), 3-2 (3%), 3-1 (3%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent form
Season
Edmonton Oilers
Detroit Red Wings
Edmonton Oilers
Detroit Red Wings
Season recordEdmonton Oilers 8-2-1Detroit Red Wings 4-4-3
Home / road splitEdmonton Oilers 3-2-1Detroit Red Wings 1-1-2
StreakEdmonton Oilers L1Detroit Red Wings L1
RestEdmonton Oilers 1 dayDetroit Red Wings 1 day
Goals forEdmonton Oilers 4.5Detroit Red Wings 2.6
Goals againstEdmonton Oilers 3.5Detroit Red Wings 3.1
In the standingsEdmonton Oilers 1stDetroit Red Wings 8th
Per game · last 10 each
Goal differential per gameEdmonton Oilers +1.0Detroit Red Wings −0.2
Goals forEdmonton Oilers 4.3Detroit Red Wings 2.8
Goals againstEdmonton Oilers 3.3Detroit Red Wings 3.0
Shots on goalEdmonton Oilers 24.3Detroit Red Wings 30.6
Shots againstEdmonton Oilers 27.1Detroit Red Wings 25.9
Shooting %Edmonton Oilers 17.7%Detroit Red Wings 9.2%
Save %Edmonton Oilers 88.6%Detroit Red Wings 88.4%
Power-play %Edmonton Oilers 27.9%Detroit Red Wings 17.8%
Penalty kill %Edmonton Oilers 78.4%Detroit Red Wings 72.1%
Faceoff %Edmonton Oilers 49.0%Detroit Red Wings 48.8%
Penalty minutesEdmonton Oilers 9.3Detroit Red Wings 9.5
HitsEdmonton Oilers 25.2Detroit Red Wings 23.3
Blocked shotsEdmonton Oilers 12.1Detroit Red Wings 15.2
Per game · EDM at home, DET away
Goal differential per gameEdmonton Oilers +0.2Detroit Red Wings −1.0
Goals forEdmonton Oilers 3.9Detroit Red Wings 2.4
Goals againstEdmonton Oilers 3.7Detroit Red Wings 3.4
Shots on goalEdmonton Oilers 29.8Detroit Red Wings 26.5
Shots againstEdmonton Oilers 25.0Detroit Red Wings 25.9
Shooting %Edmonton Oilers 13.1%Detroit Red Wings 9.1%
Save %Edmonton Oilers 86.4%Detroit Red Wings 87.3%
Power-play %Edmonton Oilers 23.4%Detroit Red Wings 18.4%
Penalty kill %Edmonton Oilers 69.7%Detroit Red Wings 80.0%
Faceoff %Edmonton Oilers 54.7%Detroit Red Wings 51.3%
Penalty minutesEdmonton Oilers 8.8Detroit Red Wings 6.9
HitsEdmonton Oilers 32.4Detroit Red Wings 19.2
Blocked shotsEdmonton Oilers 15.0Detroit Red Wings 13.5
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Oilers 2–2
Red Wings
Goals a gameGoals
5.3
EDM 2.8 · DET 2.5
Over 6.5 goalsOver 6.5
0 of 4
This game’s line
Past 60 minutesOvertime
2 of 4
1 in overtime · 1 in a shootout
- Dec 11, 2025: Edmonton Oilers 4, Detroit Red Wings 1.
- Oct 19, 2025: Detroit Red Wings 4, Edmonton Oilers 2.
- Jan 30, 2025: Edmonton Oilers 2, Detroit Red Wings 3, after a shootout.
- Oct 27, 2024: Detroit Red Wings 2, Edmonton Oilers 3, after overtime.
Last five games
Oilers
3-2-0 - Loss, 2–7 against Toronto Maple Leafs, Oct 24. Odds: Oilers 1.96, Maple Leafs 3.00.
- Win, 6–5 against Carolina Hurricanes, after a shootout, Oct 22. Odds: Oilers 2.70, Hurricanes 2.10.
- Win, 4–3 against Minnesota Wild, after overtime, Oct 20. Odds: Oilers 2.12, Wild 2.80.
- Win, 6–2 at Utah Mammoth, Oct 17. Odds: Mammoth 2.05, Oilers 2.90.
- Loss, 2–4 against Utah Mammoth, Oct 15. Odds: Oilers 2.60, Mammoth 2.38.
Red Wings
3-1-1 - Loss, 1–4 at Calgary Flames, Oct 24. Odds: Flames 2.75, Red Wings 2.15.
- Win, 5–2 at Vancouver Canucks, Oct 22. Odds: Canucks 3.35, Red Wings 1.86.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Seattle Kraken, after a shootout, Oct 20. Odds: Kraken 2.60, Red Wings 2.20.
- Win, 4–3 against San Jose Sharks, after a shootout, Oct 17. Odds: Red Wings 2.10, Sharks 2.88.
- Win, 2–1 against Philadelphia Flyers, Oct 15. Odds: Red Wings 2.10, Flyers 2.85.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 06:10 Goal Edmonton Oilers: Podkolzin V. assists: Draisaitl L., McDavid C. 1-0
- 12:53 2 min Edmonton Oilers: Podkolzin V. Interference
- 17:39 2 min Edmonton Oilers: Shea R. High sticking
2nd period0-1
- 01:15 2 min Detroit Red Wings: Faulk J. Holding
- 07:44 2 min Edmonton Oilers: Murphy C. Holding
- 08:35 Goal PPG Detroit Red Wings: Arvidsson V. assists: Raymond L., DeBrincat A. 1-1
3rd period2-2
- 00:03 2 min Detroit Red Wings: Arvidsson V. High sticking
- 02:23 2 min Detroit Red Wings: Brandsegg-Nygard M. Tripping
- 04:18 Goal PPG Edmonton Oilers: Howard I. assists: Kapanen K., Dach C. 2-1
- 04:48 Goal Detroit Red Wings: Finnie E. assists: Arvidsson V. 2-2
- 09:25 2 min Edmonton Oilers: Podkolzin V. Cross checking
- 16:32 Goal Edmonton Oilers: Dach C. assists: Shea R., Nugent-Hopkins R. 3-2
- 18:43 Goal Detroit Red Wings: Larkin D. assists: Raymond L., Seider M. 3-3
Overtime0-0
No goals or penalties.
Shootout0-1
-
Round 1
McDavid C.
✗missed
Raymond L.
✓scored
-
Round 2
Draisaitl L.
✗missed
DeBrincat A.
✗missed
-
Round 3
Nugent-Hopkins R.
✗missed
—
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- In goal: Jarry T. for Edmonton Oilers (6-1-3 in the last 10 starts), Postava M. for Detroit Red Wings.
- Goal differential gap of 1.2 per game — Edmonton Oilers +1.0, Detroit Red Wings −0.2 over their recent games.
- Power play vs penalty kill: 27.9% on the power play for Edmonton Oilers, 72.1% on the penalty kill for Detroit Red Wings.
- Head-to-head level at 2-2 after the last 4 meetings.
- 5.3 goals per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the total is 6.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (EDM) | 1.83 | 1.83 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.50 | 4.50 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (DET) | 3.35 | 3.30 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6.5 | No change |
| Handicap EDM | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NHL standings
Regular Season · Pacific Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Edmonton Oilers |
19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 29 | .763 | 78 | 56 | +22 |
| 2 |  Vegas Golden Knights |
19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 26 | .684 | 64 | 51 | +13 |
| 3 |  Anaheim Ducks |
18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 21 | .583 | 69 | 66 | +3 |
| 4 |  Seattle Kraken |
16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 19 | .594 | 57 | 57 | 0 |
| 5 |  Calgary Flames |
18 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 17 | .472 | 46 | 63 | −17 |
| 6 |  San Jose Sharks |
20 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 17 | .425 | 51 | 71 | −20 |
| 7 |  Los Angeles Kings |
16 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 12 | .375 | 45 | 55 | −10 |
| 8 |  Vancouver Canucks |
20 | 3 | 16 | 1 | 7 | .175 | 56 | 90 | −34 |
Regular Season · Atlantic Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boston Bruins |
18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 27 | .750 | 68 | 41 | +27 |
| 2 |  Montreal Canadiens |
18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 26 | .722 | 62 | 55 | +7 |
| 3 |  Tampa Bay Lightning |
17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 24 | .706 | 63 | 53 | +10 |
| 4 |  Ottawa Senators |
19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 24 | .632 | 60 | 57 | +3 |
| 5 |  Florida Panthers |
19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 22 | .579 | 60 | 56 | +4 |
| 6 |  Buffalo Sabres |
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 19 | .559 | 50 | 57 | −7 |
| 7 |  Toronto Maple Leafs |
20 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 18 | .450 | 67 | 70 | −3 |
| 8 | Detroit Red Wings |
19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 17 | .447 | 51 | 59 | −8 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Edmonton Oilers host Detroit Red Wings in the NHL on Monday, October 26, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.