Edmonton Oilers vs Philadelphia Flyers prediction
Chance to win · 53% and 26% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks · Average confidence 67%Full game
- 1X2Oilersodds up 1.78Confidence 55%
- Over/UnderO4.5odds down 1.32Confidence 70%
- HandicapFlyers +2.51.35Confidence 67%
- Winner (incl. OT)Oilersodds up 1.47Confidence 67%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceOilers or draw1.26Confidence 76%
- Draw no betOilersodds up 1.42Confidence 71%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)Yes1.08Confidence 88%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2Oilersodds up 2.28Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderO1.5odds up 1.75Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct score4–24%chance
- 1st period correct score2–09%chance
- Highest scoring period3rd period31%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-2
- By period 2-0, 0-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-2 (4%), 3-2 (3%), 5-3 (3%)
Predicted team stats
The brighter bar is the bigger figureShots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Jan 3, 2026: Edmonton Oilers 2, Philadelphia Flyers 5.
- Nov 12, 2025: Philadelphia Flyers 1, Edmonton Oilers 2, after overtime.
- Feb 22, 2025: Philadelphia Flyers 6, Edmonton Oilers 3.
- Oct 15, 2024: Edmonton Oilers 4, Philadelphia Flyers 3, after overtime.
Last five games
- Win, 3–1 against New York Rangers, Nov 9. Odds: Oilers 1.96, Rangers 3.00.
- Win, 4–2 against Vancouver Canucks, Nov 7. Odds: Oilers 1.37, Canucks 6.00.
- Loss, 4–5 against Anaheim Ducks, Nov 5. Odds: Oilers 1.72, Ducks 3.70.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at New Jersey Devils, after a shootout, Nov 3. Odds: Devils 2.04, Oilers 3.14.
- Win, 4–1 at New York Rangers, Nov 1. Odds: Rangers 2.10, Oilers 2.70.
- Win, 3–1 at Vancouver Canucks, Nov 9. Odds: Canucks 2.70, Flyers 2.10.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Calgary Flames, after overtime, Nov 8. Odds: Flames 2.60, Flyers 2.25.
- Loss, 2–3 at New York Rangers, Nov 5. Odds: Rangers 1.96, Flyers 3.20.
- Loss, 2–4 against Minnesota Wild, Nov 3. Odds: Flyers 3.50, Wild 1.83.
- Win, 6–3 against Utah Mammoth, Nov 1. Odds: Flyers 3.13, Mammoth 1.99.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- 2-6-2 away for Philadelphia Flyers this season.
- Goal differential gap of 1.0 per game — Edmonton Oilers +0.9, Philadelphia Flyers −0.1 over their recent games.
- Head-to-head level at 2-2 after the last 4 meetings.
- Save % gap: Edmonton Oilers 90.1%, Philadelphia Flyers 87.4% over their recent games.
- 6.5 goals per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the total is 6.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (EDM) | 1.76 | 1.70 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.40 | 4.50 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (PHI) | 3.60 | 3.80 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 6 | 6 | No change |
| Handicap EDM | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NHL standings
Regular Season · Pacific Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 29 | .763 | 78 | 56 | +22 | |
| 2 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 26 | .684 | 64 | 51 | +13 | |
| 3 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 21 | .583 | 69 | 66 | +3 | |
| 4 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 19 | .594 | 57 | 57 | 0 | |
| 5 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 17 | .472 | 46 | 63 | −17 | |
| 6 | 20 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 17 | .425 | 51 | 71 | −20 | |
| 7 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 12 | .375 | 45 | 55 | −10 | |
| 8 | 20 | 3 | 16 | 1 | 7 | .175 | 56 | 90 | −34 |
Regular Season · Metropolitan Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 30 | .789 | 78 | 45 | +33 | |
| 2 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 26 | .684 | 68 | 55 | +13 | |
| 3 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .553 | 56 | 55 | +1 | |
| 4 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 20 | .625 | 56 | 53 | +3 | |
| 5 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 18 | .529 | 49 | 52 | −3 | |
| 6 | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 15 | .375 | 45 | 66 | −21 | |
| 7 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 14 | .438 | 41 | 51 | −10 | |
| 8 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 14 | .389 | 58 | 65 | −7 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Edmonton Oilers host Philadelphia Flyers in the NHL on Wednesday, November 11, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.