ERC Ingolstadt vs Augsburger Panther prediction
ERC Ingolstadt 6–, Augsburger Panther 3
FT
Puck drop 10:30 ET
1X2 1.751X2 3.05
Saturn Arena (Ingolstadt) · GermanySaturn Arena (Ingolstadt)
Team
1st
2nd
3rd
ING
1
1
4
AUG
1
2
0
56%ERC Ingolstadt win · 45% in regulationING
Overtime or shootout · 20%OT / SO 20%
44%Augsburger Panther win · 35% in regulationAUG
Chance to win · 45% and 35% in regulation
Williams D.StartedSV 88.4% · GAA 3.30 · 4-5-1
Jones P.StartedSV 89.2% · GAA 3.50 · 5-5-0
Best tip of the gameBest tip
Handicap
Lost
Augsburg +2.5
1.31
Confidence72%
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2WonIngolstadtodds up 1.74Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostU7.51.34Confidence 68%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapLostAugsburg +2.51.31Confidence 72%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonIngolstadt1.46Confidence 57%
- Double chanceWonIngolstadt or draw1.30Confidence 68%
- Draw no betWonIngolstadtodds down 1.48Confidence 59%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.07Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostIngolstadt2.28Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds up 1.62Confidence 56%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Ingolstadt 4–2
Augsburg
Total goalsTotal
6
Actual 9
Draw after 60 minDraw
20%
Decided in regulation
ING to winTo win
56%
ING won
Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–2After 60 min6–34%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–18%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals3rd · 4 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-2
- By period 2-0, 1-2, 1-0
- Likeliest 4-2 (4%), 3-2 (3%), 3-1 (3%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent form
Season
ERC Ingolstadt
Augsburger Panther
ERC Ingolstadt
Augsburger Panther
Season recordERC Ingolstadt 4-4-1Augsburger Panther 5-4-0
Home / road splitERC Ingolstadt 1-2-1Augsburger Panther 2-2-0
StreakERC Ingolstadt W1Augsburger Panther L1
RestERC Ingolstadt 1 dayAugsburger Panther 1 day
Goals forERC Ingolstadt 2.8Augsburger Panther 3.3
Goals againstERC Ingolstadt 3.4Augsburger Panther 3.1
In the standingsERC Ingolstadt 7thAugsburger Panther 8th
Per game · last 10 each
Goal differential per gameERC Ingolstadt −0.9Augsburger Panther +0.1
Goals forERC Ingolstadt 2.8Augsburger Panther 3.4
Goals againstERC Ingolstadt 3.7Augsburger Panther 3.3
Shots on goalERC Ingolstadt 30.8Augsburger Panther 31.0
Shots againstERC Ingolstadt 29.4Augsburger Panther 31.9
Shooting %ERC Ingolstadt 9.1%Augsburger Panther 11.0%
Save %ERC Ingolstadt 89.1%Augsburger Panther 90.3%
Power-play %ERC Ingolstadt 13.9%Augsburger Panther 21.6%
Penalty kill %ERC Ingolstadt 84.4%Augsburger Panther 77.5%
Faceoff %ERC Ingolstadt 53.5%Augsburger Panther 49.8%
Penalty minutesERC Ingolstadt 11.2Augsburger Panther 8.8
Blocked shotsERC Ingolstadt 11.6Augsburger Panther 9.0
Per game · ING at home, AUG away
Goal differential per gameERC Ingolstadt −0.8Augsburger Panther −1.5
Goals forERC Ingolstadt 3.2Augsburger Panther 2.1
Goals againstERC Ingolstadt 4.0Augsburger Panther 3.6
Shots on goalERC Ingolstadt 31.1Augsburger Panther 24.5
Shots againstERC Ingolstadt 27.1Augsburger Panther 33.2
Shooting %ERC Ingolstadt 10.3%Augsburger Panther 8.6%
Save %ERC Ingolstadt 87.1%Augsburger Panther 90.1%
Power-play %ERC Ingolstadt 18.5%Augsburger Panther 13.0%
Penalty kill %ERC Ingolstadt 84.6%Augsburger Panther 78.8%
Faceoff %ERC Ingolstadt 54.5%Augsburger Panther 49.5%
Penalty minutesERC Ingolstadt 14.9Augsburger Panther 8.9
Blocked shotsERC Ingolstadt 10.2Augsburger Panther 9.8
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Ingolstadt 4–1
Augsburg
Goals a gameGoals
7.4
ING 4.6 · AUG 2.8
Over 6.0 goalsOver 6.0
3 of 5
This game’s line
Past 60 minutesOvertime
0 of 5
All decided in regulation
- Mar 13, 2026: ERC Ingolstadt 7, Augsburger Panther 4.
- Dec 12, 2025: Augsburger Panther 3, ERC Ingolstadt 4.
- Nov 16, 2025: ERC Ingolstadt 5, Augsburger Panther 1.
- Oct 23, 2025: Augsburger Panther 4, ERC Ingolstadt 2.
- Jan 26, 2025: Augsburger Panther 2, ERC Ingolstadt 5.
Last five games
Ingolstadt
2-2-1 - Win, 4–3 at Schwenninger, after overtime, Oct 16. Odds: Schwenningen 2.50, Ingolstadt 2.28.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Frankfurt Lowen, after a shootout, Oct 11.
- Win, 5–1 at Munchen, Oct 9. Odds: Munchen 1.77, Ingolstadt 3.45.
- Loss, 3–6 against Kolner, Oct 4.
- Loss, 1–3 at Krefeld Pinguine, Oct 2.
Augsburg
3-2-0 - Loss, 3–6 against Adler Mannheim, Oct 16. Odds: Augsburg 3.10, Mannheim 1.98.
- Win, 2–1 at Krefeld Pinguine, Oct 11.
- Win, 3–0 against Bremerhaven, Oct 9. Odds: Augsburg 2.20, Bremerhaven 2.48.
- Loss, 2–4 at Munchen, Oct 4.
- Win, 5–2 against Grizzly Wolfsburg, Oct 2.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-1
- 03:07 2 min Augsburger Panther: Wright C. High sticking
- 05:31 2 min Augsburger Panther: Wood K. Holding
- 05:31 2 min Augsburger Panther: Wood K. Unsportsmanlike conduct
- 07:06 Goal PPG ERC Ingolstadt: Schmolz D. assists: Keating A., Abbandonato P. 1-0
- 15:03 2 min ERC Ingolstadt: Pul E. Tripping
- 15:40 Goal PPG Augsburger Panther: Krauss P. assists: Blank A., Mayhew K. 1-1
2nd period1-2
- 02:23 Goal Augsburger Panther: Parkes T. assists: Henriquez-Morales E. 1-2
- 03:59 2 min Augsburger Panther: Glotzl M. Hooking
- 05:45 Goal PPG ERC Ingolstadt: Breton A. assists: Huttl L., Agostino K. 2-2
- 19:25 Goal Augsburger Panther: Elias M. assists: Wohlgemuth T., Wright C. 2-3
3rd period4-0
- 02' Goal ERC Ingolstadt: Abbandonato P. assists: Breton A. 3-3
- 04:02 2 min ERC Ingolstadt: Powell M. High sticking
- 08:31 Goal ERC Ingolstadt: Pietta D. assists: Keating A., Girduckis A. 4-3
- 15' 2 min Augsburger Panther: Pilu F. Holding
- 16:50 Goal PPG ERC Ingolstadt: Schmolz D. assists: Huttl L., Ruopp S. 5-3
- 17:41 Goal ENG ERC Ingolstadt: Girduckis A. assists: Agostino K., Abbandonato P. 6-3
- 19:48 2 min Augsburger Panther: Elias M. Interference
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- In goal: Williams D. for ERC Ingolstadt (4-5-1 in the last 10 starts), Jones P. for Augsburger Panther (5-5-0 in the last 10 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 1.0 per game — ERC Ingolstadt −0.9, Augsburger Panther +0.1 over their recent games.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for ERC Ingolstadt.
- −2.4 goals away — Augsburger Panther averaged 4.4 at home and 2.0 away this season.
- 7.4 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (ING) | 1.75 | 1.75 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.20 | 4.20 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (AUG) | 3.05 | 3.05 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6 | 6 | No change |
| Handicap ING | −1.5 | −0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
DEL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Eisbaren Berlin |
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 32 | 1.143 | 50 | 24 | +26 |
| 2 |  Adler Mannheim |
15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 1.000 | 53 | 38 | +15 |
| 3 |  Nurnberg Ice Tigers |
15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 28 | .933 | 56 | 34 | +22 |
| 4 |  Munchen |
14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 27 | .964 | 42 | 42 | 0 |
| 5 |  Straubing Tigers |
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 26 | .929 | 52 | 41 | +11 |
| 6 |  Kolner |
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 25 | .833 | 57 | 53 | +4 |
| 7 | ERC Ingolstadt |
15 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 20 | .667 | 45 | 53 | −8 |
| 8 | Augsburger Panther |
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 19 | .679 | 43 | 42 | +1 |
| 9 |  Bremerhaven |
14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 19 | .679 | 32 | 37 | −5 |
| 10 |  Frankfurt Lowen |
14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 17 | .607 | 32 | 33 | −1 |
| 11 |  Krefeld Pinguine |
15 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 17 | .567 | 38 | 45 | −7 |
| 12 |  Grizzly Wolfsburg |
15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 17 | .567 | 36 | 51 | −15 |
| 13 |  Schwenninger |
16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 16 | .500 | 37 | 60 | −23 |
| 14 |  Iserlohn Roosters |
14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 13 | .464 | 32 | 52 | −20 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation - DEL2
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
ERC Ingolstadt host Augsburger Panther in the DEL on Sunday, October 18, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.