Esbjerg vs Aalborg prediction
Chance to win · 51% and 29% in regulation
Seldrup M.Started5-4-1
Steinbergs K.Started3-2-0All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Full game
- 1X2WonEsbjergodds down 1.78Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostO4.5odds down 1.52Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapLostAalborg +2.51.28Confidence 70%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonEsbjergodds down 1.49Confidence 63%
- Double chanceWonEsbjerg or drawodds down 1.28Confidence 71%
- Draw no betWonEsbjerg1.43Confidence 65%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYesodds down 1.12Confidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonEsbjergodds down 2.35Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 2.00Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Esbjerg 4–2
Aalborg Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–2After 60 min3–04%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–09%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · all three27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-2
- By period 2-0, 0-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-2 (4%), 3-2 (4%), 5-3 (2%)
Season so far
This seasonEsbjerg
Aalborg
Head-to-head
Esbjerg 4–1
Aalborg - Sep 25, 2026: Aalborg 0, Esbjerg 3.
- Jan 30, 2026: Esbjerg 2, Aalborg 0.
- Dec 4, 2025: Esbjerg 7, Aalborg 3.
- Nov 14, 2025: Aalborg 2, Esbjerg 3.
- Oct 24, 2025: Aalborg 7, Esbjerg 3.
Last five games
Esbjerg
2-3-0 - Loss, 2–6 at Rungsted, Oct 28. Odds: Rungsted 2.55, Esbjerg 2.11.
- Loss, 1–4 against Herning Blue Fox, Oct 23. Odds: Esbjerg 3.80, Herning 1.57.
- Loss, 2–6 against Rungsted, Oct 19. Odds: Esbjerg 1.67, Rungsted 3.50.
- Win, 4–2 at Sonderjyske Ishockey, Oct 10.
- Win, 6–4 against Sonderjyske Ishockey, Oct 9. Odds: Esbjerg 1.63, Sonderjyske 3.55.
Aalborg
1-4-0 - Loss, 1–3 at Sonderjyske Ishockey, Oct 26. Odds: Sonderjyske 1.95, Aalborg 2.90.
- Loss, 1–3 against Herning Blue Fox, Oct 20. Odds: Aalborg 4.00, Herning 1.50.
- Loss, 3–5 against Rodovre Mighty Bulls, Oct 16. Odds: Aalborg 1.46, Rodovre 5.33.
- Loss, 1–3 at Herlev, Oct 12. Odds: Herlev 1.83, Aalborg 3.48.
- Win, 3–1 at Rodovre Mighty Bulls, Oct 11.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 06:26 Goal PPG Esbjerg: Kjaer O. assists: Franklin Z., Werbik N. 1-0
2nd period1-0
- 01:46 Goal Esbjerg: Gavlas P. assists: Bergmanis E., Mondrup T. 2-0
3rd period1-0
- 00:54 Goal Esbjerg: Bjerrum R. assists: Downing G. 3-0
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 4-game losing streak for Aalborg coming into this game.
- 3-game losing streak for Esbjerg coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 3 days off for Aalborg, 1 for Esbjerg.
- In goal: Seldrup M. for Esbjerg (5-4-1 in the last 10 starts), Steinbergs K. for Aalborg (3-2-0 in the last 5 starts).
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Esbjerg.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (ESB) | 1.75 | 1.75 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.50 | 4.50 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (AAL) | 3.40 | 3.40 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5 | 5.5 | Line raised |
| Handicap ESB | −1.5 | −0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Metal Ligaen standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Herning Blue Fox |
17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 45 | 1.324 | 78 | 30 | +48 |
| 2 |  Frederikshavn |
17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 1.059 | 60 | 49 | +11 |
| 3 | Esbjerg |
17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 28 | .824 | 52 | 53 | −1 |
| 4 |  Sonderjyske Ishockey |
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 24 | .750 | 44 | 53 | −9 |
| 5 |  Odense Bulldogs |
17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | .676 | 49 | 47 | +2 |
| 6 |  Herlev |
16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 20 | .625 | 46 | 48 | −2 |
| 7 |  Rungsted |
17 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 18 | .529 | 44 | 57 | −13 |
| 8 |  Rodovre Mighty Bulls |
17 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 16 | .471 | 40 | 63 | −23 |
| 9 | Aalborg |
16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 15 | .469 | 36 | 49 | −13 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Esbjerg host Aalborg in the Metal Ligaen on Friday, October 30, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.