Esbjerg vs Herning Blue Fox prediction
Chance to win · 18% and 66% in regulation
Seldrup M.Started6-3-1
Fecers J.StartedSV 87.6% · GAA 4.00 · 6-3-1All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 70%Full game
- 1X2WonHerningodds down 1.62Confidence 68%
- Over/UnderWonU7.5odds down 1.37Confidence 70%
- HandicapWonHerning -1.5odds down 1.93Confidence 62%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonHerningodds down 1.39Confidence 78%
- Double chanceWonHerning or drawodds down 1.23Confidence 83%
- Best tip of the game: Draw no betWonHerningodds down 1.34Confidence 79%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.08Confidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonHerningodds down 2.12Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.75Confidence 57%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Esbjerg 1–4
Herning Score details
- Correct scoreWon1–4After 60 min1–46%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period0–111%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goalsTie · 2nd & 3rd28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-4
- By period 0-2, 1-2, 0-0
- Likeliest 1-4 (6%), 2-5 (5%), 2-4 (5%)
Season so far
This seasonEsbjerg
Herning Blue Fox
Head-to-head
Esbjerg 1–4
Herning - Aug 28, 2026: Herning Blue Fox 7, Esbjerg 1.
- Feb 20, 2026: Herning Blue Fox 6, Esbjerg 1.
- Feb 6, 2026: Esbjerg 2, Herning Blue Fox 7.
- Dec 28, 2025: Herning Blue Fox 5, Esbjerg 7.
- Dec 27, 2025: Esbjerg 2, Herning Blue Fox 5.
Last five games
Esbjerg
3-1-1 - Loss, 2–6 against Rungsted, Oct 19. Odds: Esbjerg 1.67, Rungsted 3.50.
- Win, 4–2 at Sonderjyske Ishockey, Oct 10.
- Win, 6–4 against Sonderjyske Ishockey, Oct 9. Odds: Esbjerg 1.63, Sonderjyske 3.55.
- Win, 5–2 at Rodovre Mighty Bulls, Oct 5.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at Odense Bulldogs, after overtime, Oct 2.
Herning
4-1-0 - Win, 3–1 at Aalborg, Oct 20. Odds: Aalborg 4.00, Herning 1.50.
- Win, 6–3 against Odense Bulldogs, Oct 16. Odds: Herning 1.30, Odense 7.51.
- Win, 4–3 against Fribourg, after a shootout, Oct 14. Odds: Herning 5.40, Fribourg 1.41.
- Win, 6–0 at Frederikshavn, Oct 9. Odds: Frederikshavn 4.60, Herning 1.44.
- Loss, 0–3 at Kolner, Oct 7.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 04:12 Goal Herning Blue Fox: Linde A. assists: Bang L. 0-1
2nd period0-2
- 01:17 Goal Herning Blue Fox: Poulsen M. assists: Schultz P., O'Neil K. 0-2
- 01:36 Goal Herning Blue Fox: Thomsen H. assists: Bang L. 0-3
3rd period1-1
- 02:56 Goal Esbjerg: Kulda A. assists: Ebener T. 1-3
- 04:33 Goal PPG Herning Blue Fox: O'Neil K. assists: Kiljunen O., Poulsen M. 1-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 4-game winning streak for Herning Blue Fox coming into this game.
- 5-0-0 away for Herning Blue Fox this season.
- In goal: Seldrup M. for Esbjerg (6-3-1 in the last 10 starts), Fecers J. for Herning Blue Fox (6-3-1 in the last 10 starts).
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Herning Blue Fox.
- +1.1 goals at home — Esbjerg averaged 4.0 at home and 2.9 away this season.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (ESB) | 3.80 | 3.80 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 5.25 | 5.25 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (HBF) | 1.57 | 1.57 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6 | Line lowered |
| Handicap ESB | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Metal Ligaen standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Herning Blue Fox |
17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 45 | 1.324 | 78 | 30 | +48 |
| 2 |  Frederikshavn |
17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 1.059 | 60 | 49 | +11 |
| 3 | Esbjerg |
17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 28 | .824 | 52 | 53 | −1 |
| 4 |  Sonderjyske Ishockey |
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 24 | .750 | 44 | 53 | −9 |
| 5 |  Odense Bulldogs |
17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | .676 | 49 | 47 | +2 |
| 6 |  Herlev |
16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 20 | .625 | 46 | 48 | −2 |
| 7 |  Rungsted |
17 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 18 | .529 | 44 | 57 | −13 |
| 8 |  Rodovre Mighty Bulls |
17 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 16 | .471 | 40 | 63 | −23 |
| 9 |  Aalborg |
16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 15 | .469 | 36 | 49 | −13 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Esbjerg host Herning Blue Fox in the Metal Ligaen on Friday, October 23, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.