Esbjerg vs Rungsted prediction
Chance to win · 66% and 18% in regulation
Seldrup M.Started7-2-1
Grubak D.Started2-6-2All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 70%Full game
- 1X2LostEsbjergodds down 1.94Confidence 68%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds down 1.33Confidence 71%
- HandicapLostEsbjerg -1.5odds down 2.40Confidence 59%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostEsbjergodds down 1.46Confidence 78%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceLostEsbjerg or drawodds down 1.35Confidence 82%
- Draw no betLostEsbjergodds down 1.56Confidence 78%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.06Confidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostEsbjergodds down 2.21Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.51.72Confidence 57%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: an edge above the model’s usual ceiling; the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Esbjerg 4–1
Rungsted Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min2–66%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–310%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 3rd27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 2-0, 2-1, 0-0
- Likeliest 4-1 (6%), 5-2 (5%), 4-2 (5%)
Season so far
This seasonEsbjerg
Rungsted
Head-to-head
Esbjerg 1–4
Rungsted - Nov 10, 2026: Rungsted 1, Esbjerg 2, after overtime.
- Oct 28, 2026: Rungsted 6, Esbjerg 2.
- Mar 22, 2026: Esbjerg 3, Rungsted 6.
- Mar 20, 2026: Rungsted 5, Esbjerg 3.
- Mar 17, 2026: Esbjerg 3, Rungsted 5.
Last five games
Esbjerg
3-0-2 - Win, 4–2 at Sonderjyske Ishockey, Oct 10.
- Win, 6–4 against Sonderjyske Ishockey, Oct 9. Odds: Esbjerg 1.63, Sonderjyske 3.55.
- Win, 5–2 at Rodovre Mighty Bulls, Oct 5.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at Odense Bulldogs, after overtime, Oct 2.
- Overtime loss, 5–6 against Frederikshavn, after a shootout, Sep 30.
Rungsted
1-4-0 - Loss, 1–6 against Sonderjyske Ishockey, Oct 16. Odds: Rungsted 2.16, Sonderjyske 2.72.
- Loss, 0–3 at Herlev, Oct 10. Odds: Herlev 2.50, Rungsted 2.18.
- Loss, 3–5 against Herlev, Oct 9. Odds: Rungsted 2.14, Herlev 2.55.
- Win, 1–0 at Aalborg, Oct 4.
- Loss, 4–7 against Aalborg, Oct 2.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-3
- 05:18 Goal Rungsted: Daly T. assists: Elvenes L., Gammelgaard J. 0-1
- 05:56 Goal Rungsted: Olhaver G. assists: Damgaard V., Buncis F. 0-2
- 13:10 Goal Rungsted: Froland D. assists: Olhaver G. 0-3
2nd period2-0
- 13:38 Goal PPG Esbjerg: Lajeunesse T. assists: Gavlas P., Franklin Z. 1-3
- 16:28 Goal PPG Esbjerg: Franklin Z. assists: Gavlas P. 2-3
3rd period0-3
- 08:00 Goal Rungsted: Liss O. assists: Mogensen J., Elvenes L. 2-4
- 13:18 Goal Rungsted: Ahlberg V. assists: Buncis F., Olhaver G. 2-5
- 15:29 Goal Rungsted: Ahlberg V. assists: Olhaver G. 2-6
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Esbjerg coming into this game.
- 3-game losing streak for Rungsted coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Esbjerg dropped from 1.60 to 1.32 since they were first published.
- In goal: Seldrup M. for Esbjerg (7-2-1 in the last 10 starts), Grubak D. for Rungsted (2-6-2 in the last 10 starts).
- 4-0-1 at home for Esbjerg this season.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (ESB) | 1.67 | 1.67 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 5.00 | 5.00 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (RUN) | 3.50 | 3.50 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6 | 6 | No change |
| Handicap ESB | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Metal Ligaen standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Herning Blue Fox |
17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 45 | 1.324 | 78 | 30 | +48 |
| 2 |  Frederikshavn |
17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 1.059 | 60 | 49 | +11 |
| 3 | Esbjerg |
17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 28 | .824 | 52 | 53 | −1 |
| 4 |  Sonderjyske Ishockey |
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 24 | .750 | 44 | 53 | −9 |
| 5 |  Odense Bulldogs |
17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | .676 | 49 | 47 | +2 |
| 6 |  Herlev |
16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 20 | .625 | 46 | 48 | −2 |
| 7 | Rungsted |
17 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 18 | .529 | 44 | 57 | −13 |
| 8 |  Rodovre Mighty Bulls |
17 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 16 | .471 | 40 | 63 | −23 |
| 9 |  Aalborg |
16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 15 | .469 | 36 | 49 | −13 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Esbjerg host Rungsted in the Metal Ligaen on Monday, October 19, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.