Farjestad vs Luleå Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Draw no bet Push

Farjestad 1.33

Confidence73%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 70%

Full game

1X2LostFarjestadodds down 1.66Confidence 64%
Over/UnderWonU6.51.33Confidence 69%
HandicapLostFarjestad -0.5odds down 1.64Confidence 66%
Winner (incl. OT)WonFarjestadodds down 1.38Confidence 70%
Double chanceWonFarjestad or drawodds down 1.22Confidence 74%
Best tip of the game: Draw no betPushFarjestadodds down 1.33Confidence 73%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.14Confidence 83%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostFarjestadodds down 2.22Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5odds up 1.17Confidence 77%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Farjestad 41

Lulea

Final 2–1

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 3

Draw after 60 minDraw 17% Went to a shootout

FAR to winTo win 77% FAR won

Score details

Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min1–17%chance
1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period0–021%chance
Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 2 goals30%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 4-1
By period 1-0, 1-0, 2-1
Likeliest 4-1 (7%), 3-1 (5%), 4-2 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record7-0-13-4-1

Home / road split4-0-02-2-0

StreakW6L2

Rest4 days4 days

Goals for4.32.5

Goals against1.03.3

In the standings1st7th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+2.3−0.6

Goals for3.72.4

Goals against1.43.0

Shots on goal30.121.4

Shots against25.725.2

Shooting %12.3%11.2%

Save %94.9%88.1%

Power-play %24.3%25.0%

Penalty kill %94.9%88.2%

Faceoff %54.3%48.5%

Penalty minutes7.86.8

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Farjestad 32

Lulea

Farjestad won three of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 6.0 FAR 3.0 · LUL 3.0

Over 5.0 goalsOver 5.0 2 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 1 of 5 1 in a shootout

Mar 14, 2026: Luleå 1, Farjestad 3.
Jan 22, 2026: Farjestad 3, Luleå 2, after a shootout.
Dec 6, 2025: Luleå 2, Farjestad 5.
Oct 16, 2025: Farjestad 3, Luleå 6.
Mar 4, 2025: Farjestad 1, Luleå 4.

Last five games

Farjestad 5-0-0

Win, 6–2 against Malmo, Oct 10. Odds: Farjestad 1.56, Malmo 4.80.
Win, 5–1 at Skellefteå, Oct 8.
Win, 3–1 against HV 71, Oct 3.
Win, 4–0 at Djurgarden, Oct 1.
Win, 5–0 at IF Bjorkloven, Sep 26.

Lulea 2-2-1

Overtime loss, 2–3 against Timrå, after overtime, Oct 10. Odds: Luleå 1.77, Timrå 3.90.
Loss, 2–3 against Malmo, Oct 8.
Win, 4–1 at Orebro, Oct 3.
Win, 2–0 at Linkoping, Oct 1.
Loss, 1–6 at Skellefteå, Sep 29.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period0-0

No goals or penalties.

2nd period1-1

01:12 2 min Luleå: Levtchi A. Hooking
02:57 Goal PPG Farjestad: Jansson C. assists: Berglund J., Oby-Olsen M. 1-0
04:39 Goal Luleå: Koppanen J. assists: Levtchi A. 1-1
05:00 2 min Farjestad: Lodin V. Interference
10:51 2 min Luleå: Juustovaara Karlsson C. Holding

3rd period0-0

09:35 2 min Luleå: Laaksonen O. Hooking
12:23 2 min Farjestad: Johansson L. Tripping
15:24 2 min Farjestad: Lodin V. Unsportsmanlike conduct
15:24 2 min Luleå: Hedqvist I. Unsportsmanlike conduct
19:10 2 min Luleå: O'Neill B. Holding

Overtime0-0

No goals or penalties.

Shootout1-0

Round 1 Jansson C. missed Koppanen J. missed
Round 2 Aslund P. missed Levtchi A. missed
Round 3 Zohorna R. missed Puustinen V. missed
Round 4 Oby-Olsen M. missed Eriksson F. missed
Round 5 Berglund J. scored Tardif B. missed

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

6-game winning streak for Farjestad coming into this game.
In goal: Thelin M. for Farjestad (9-1-0 in the last 10 starts), Lassinantti J. for Luleå (4-4-2 in the last 10 starts).
Goal differential gap of 2.9 per game — Farjestad +2.3, Luleå −0.6 over their recent games.
3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Farjestad.
Save % gap: Farjestad 94.9%, Luleå 88.1% over their recent games.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (FAR)	1.72	1.71	Shortened
1X2: X (draw)	4.22	4.32	Drifted
1X2: 2 (LUL)	4.15	4.08	Shortened
Over/Under line	5	5	No change
Handicap FAR	−1.5	−1.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

SHL standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Farjestad	14	13	0	1	39	1.393	58	17	+41
2	Frolunda	16	11	5	0	31	.969	55	39	+16
3	Skelleftea	13	9	2	2	28	1.077	47	28	+19
4	Malmo	13	7	3	3	23	.885	42	31	+11
5	Rogle	14	8	6	0	22	.786	37	33	+4
6	Orebro	13	6	5	2	20	.769	30	39	−9
7	Lulea	13	5	5	3	18	.692	33	35	−2
8	Timra	13	7	6	0	18	.692	25	28	−3
9	Djurgarden	14	6	6	2	17	.607	30	39	−9
10	IF Bjorkloven	13	6	7	0	17	.654	26	41	−15
11	Brynas	13	5	7	1	15	.577	38	36	+2
12	Vaxjo	14	5	8	1	15	.536	33	47	−14
13	Linkoping	14	4	9	1	12	.429	27	51	−24
14	HV 71	13	3	7	3	10	.385	31	48	−17

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Play Out

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Farjestad vs Luleå prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details