Farjestad vs Vaxjo prediction
Chance to win · 68% and 15% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 71%Full game
- 1X2WonFarjestadodds down 1.65Confidence 66%
- Over/UnderWonU6.5odds down 1.34Confidence 68%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonFarjestad -0.5odds down 1.62Confidence 67%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonFarjestadodds down 1.37Confidence 72%
- Double chanceWonFarjestad or drawodds down 1.22Confidence 77%
- Draw no betWonFarjestadodds down 1.33Confidence 76%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.13Confidence 83%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonFarjestadodds down 2.16Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5odds down 1.26Confidence 77%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreWon4–1After 60 min4–18%chance
- 1st period correct scoreWon1–01st period1–021%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 2nd & 3rd30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 1-0, 1-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (8%), 3-1 (5%), 4-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Oct 31, 2026: Vaxjo 1, Farjestad 5.
- Feb 28, 2026: Farjestad 7, Vaxjo 1.
- Jan 8, 2026: Vaxjo 4, Farjestad 3, after overtime.
- Nov 29, 2025: Vaxjo 4, Farjestad 3, after a shootout.
- Sep 27, 2025: Farjestad 2, Vaxjo 4.
Last five games
- Win, 4–0 at Timrå, Oct 22. Odds: Timra 3.80, Farjestad 1.76.
- Win, 4–2 at Linkoping, Oct 17. Odds: Linkoping 3.20, Farjestad 1.72.
- Win, 2–1 against Luleå, after a shootout, Oct 15. Odds: Farjestad 1.71, Lulea 4.08.
- Win, 6–2 against Malmo, Oct 10. Odds: Farjestad 1.56, Malmo 4.80.
- Win, 5–1 at Skellefteå, Oct 8.
- Win, 2–1 against Luleå, Oct 22. Odds: Vaxjo 1.96, Lulea 3.10.
- Win, 3–2 at Brynas, Oct 17. Odds: Brynas 1.80, Vaxjo 3.05.
- Loss, 1–2 against Skellefteå, Oct 15. Odds: Vaxjo 2.90, Skelleftea 2.16.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 at Pardubice, after overtime, Oct 13. Odds: Pardubice 3.74, Vaxjo 1.66.
- Loss, 2–4 at Orebro, Oct 10. Odds: Orebro 2.32, Vaxjo 2.60.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 06:47 2 min Vaxjo: Aho S. Holding
- 08:56 Goal Farjestad: Johansson L. assists: Eriksen M., Steen O. 1-0
2nd period2-0
- 02:40 Goal Farjestad: Nygren M. assists: Jansson C., Oby-Olsen M. 2-0
- 03:37 2 min Farjestad: Carlsson G. Holding
- 05:56 2 min Vaxjo: Lowe K. Tripping
- 12:19 Goal Farjestad: Johansson L. 3-0
- 19:53 2 min Farjestad: Bergkvist A. Slashing
3rd period1-1
- 01:45 Goal PPG Vaxjo: Persson J. assists: Elvenes L., Rasmussen D. 3-1
- 12:02 Goal Farjestad: Lodin V. assists: Mattsson A., Nygren M. 4-1
- 12:44 2 min Vaxjo: Cooper B. Kneeing
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 9-game winning streak for Farjestad coming into this game.
- 5-0-0 at home for Farjestad this season.
- 1-3-1 away for Vaxjo this season.
- In goal: Larmi E. for Farjestad (6-3-1 in the last 10 starts), Ahman A. for Vaxjo (4-5-1 in the last 10 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 2.6 per game — Farjestad +2.6, Vaxjo 0.0 over their recent games.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (FAR) | 1.58 | 1.39 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 5.00 | 6.00 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (VAX) | 4.50 | 6.00 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 5 | 5 | No change |
| Handicap FAR | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
SHL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 39 | 1.393 | 58 | 17 | +41 | |
| 2 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 31 | .969 | 55 | 39 | +16 | |
| 3 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 1.077 | 47 | 28 | +19 | |
| 4 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23 | .885 | 42 | 31 | +11 | |
| 5 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 22 | .786 | 37 | 33 | +4 | |
| 6 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 20 | .769 | 30 | 39 | −9 | |
| 7 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 18 | .692 | 33 | 35 | −2 | |
| 8 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 18 | .692 | 25 | 28 | −3 | |
| 9 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 17 | .607 | 30 | 39 | −9 | |
| 10 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 17 | .654 | 26 | 41 | −15 | |
| 11 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 15 | .577 | 38 | 36 | +2 | |
| 12 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 15 | .536 | 33 | 47 | −14 | |
| 13 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 12 | .429 | 27 | 51 | −24 | |
| 14 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 10 | .385 | 31 | 48 | −17 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Farjestad host Vaxjo in the SHL on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.