Finland vs Czech Republic prediction
Chance to win · 46% and 33% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 59%Full game
- 1X2LostFinlandodds down 1.86Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostO4.5odds up 1.57Confidence 54%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonCzech Republic +1.5odds up 1.47Confidence 61%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonFinlandodds down 1.53Confidence 52%
- Double chanceWonFinland or drawodds down 1.30Confidence 62%
- Draw no betPushFinlandodds down 1.48Confidence 53%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.12Confidence 81%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonFinlandodds down 2.41Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5odds down 1.21Confidence 67%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: form from only 1 games; the odds drifted 4% since they opened.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Finland 3–2
Czech Republic Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min1–14%chance
- 1st period correct scoreWon1–01st period1–017%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 3rd28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 1-0, 1-2, 1-0
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (2%), 5-4 (1%)
Season so far
This seasonFinland
Czech Republic
Head-to-head
Finland 2–0
Czech Republic - Nov 8, 2025: Finland 4, Czech Republic 2.
- Nov 9, 2024: Finland 4, Czech Republic 0.
Last five games
Finland
3-1-1 - Win, 3–1 at Switzerland, Nov 5. Odds: Switzerland 3.60, Finland 1.67.
- Win, 10–5 against Denmark, Apr 24.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 against Latvia, after overtime, Apr 22.
- Loss, 2–4 against Sweden, Nov 9, 2025.
- Win, 4–2 against Czech Republic, Nov 8, 2025.
Czech Republic
4-0-1 - Overtime loss, 2–3 against Sweden, after a shootout, Nov 5. Odds: Czech Republic 2.60, Sweden 2.11.
- Win, 4–0 against Austria, Apr 24.
- Win, 5–1 at Austria, Apr 23.
- Win, 4–1 against Germany, Apr 17.
- Win, 5–3 against Germany, Apr 16.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 01:52 Goal Finland: Lammikko J. assists: Rautiainen B., Arola J. 1-0
- 03:31 2 min Finland: Pakarinen I. Holding
- 13:04 2 min Czech Republic: Bambula J. Hooking
2nd period0-0
- 11:14 2 min Finland: Kuokkanen J. Slashing
- 19:43 2 min Czech Republic: Galvas J. Tripping
3rd period0-1
- 12:28 2 min Finland: Jarventie R. Slashing
- 16:25 2 min Czech Republic: Rychlovsky J. Cross checking
- 16:58 2 min Finland: Makiaho D. Slashing
- 18:11 Goal Czech Republic: Sustr A. assists: Tichacek J., Konecny J. 1-1
Overtime0-0
- 01:21 2 min Czech Republic: Sustr A. Holding
Shootout2-1
-
Round 1
Kuokkanen J.
✓scored
Spacek M.
✗missed
-
Round 2
Jarventie R.
✗missed
Konecny J.
✗missed
-
Round 3
Borgstrom H.
✗missed
Rychlovsky J.
✗missed
-
Round 4
Rautiainen B.
✗missed
Zohorna R.
✗missed
-
Round 5
Makiaho D.
✗missed
Chlapik F.
✓scored
-
Round 6
Innala J.
✓scored
Chlapik F.
✗missed
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 4-0-1 in the last five for Czech Republic.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (FIN) | 1.80 | 1.80 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.20 | 4.20 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (CZE) | 3.20 | 3.20 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5 | Line lowered |
| Handicap FIN | −1.5 | −0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Karjala Cup standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Czech Republic |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 2 | Finland |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 3 |  Sweden |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 4 |  Switzerland |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · +/− difference.
Finland host Czech Republic in the Karjala Cup on Saturday, November 7, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.