Finland vs Japan Prediction & Picks

WCH Women Tuesday, November 10, 2026Tue · Nov 10

HomeFinland2-1-03rd in the standingsLWWLW

82 FT Puck drop 09:00 ET 1.0822.00

1st 2nd 3rd

FIN 3 2 3

JAP 1 1 0

KVIK Hockey Arena (Herning)KVIK Hockey Arena (Herning)

AwayJapan0-2-15th in the standingsLOTLWL

67%Finland win · 56% in regulationFIN Overtime or shootout · 20%OT / SO 20% 33%Japan win · 24% in regulationJAP

Chance to win · 56% and 24% in regulation

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under Lost

U6.5 1.38

Confidence68%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%

Full game

1X2WonFinlandodds down 1.06Confidence 53%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderLostU6.51.38Confidence 68%
HandicapLostJapan +4.5odds up 1.41Confidence 63%
Winner (incl. OT)WonFinland1.02Confidence 58%
Double chanceWonFinland or draw1.01Confidence 65%
Draw no betWonFinlandodds up 1.01Confidence 60%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.52Confidence 81%

1st period

1st period 1X2WonFinlandodds down 1.46Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderLostU2.51.21Confidence 74%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: form from only 2 games; the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; an edge above the model’s usual ceiling.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Finland 41

Japan

Final 8–2

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 10

Draw after 60 minDraw 20% Decided in regulation

FIN to winTo win 67% FIN won

Score details

Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min8–28%chance
1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period3–123%chance
Highest scoring periodLostTieMost goals1st · 4 goals28%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 4-1
By period 1-0, 1-1, 2-0
Likeliest 4-1 (8%), 3-1 (5%), 2-1 (4%)

Last five games

Finland 3-2-0

Loss, 1–4 against Sweden, Nov 8. Odds: Finland 2.50, Sweden 2.60.
Win, 4–1 at Denmark, Nov 6. Odds: Denmark 35.00, Finland 1.01.
Win, 4–3 against Czech Republic, after overtime, Apr 20, 2025.
Loss, 1–8 at Canada, Apr 19, 2025.
Win, 3–2 against Sweden, Apr 17, 2025.

Japan 1-3-1

Loss, 0–9 at Canada, Nov 8. Odds: Canada –, Japan 55.00.
Overtime loss, 2–3 against Denmark, after a shootout, Nov 7. Odds: Japan 1.50, Denmark 5.50.
Loss, 3–7 against Slovakia, Oct 3.
Win, 3–2 at Hungary, Oct 2.
Loss, 2–4 at France, Oct 1.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period3-1

04:11 Goal Japan: Koyama R. 0-1
06:56 Goal Finland: Nuutinen E. assists: Tulus N., Nieminen P. 1-1
06:56 2 min Japan: Tada A. Interference
07:38 Goal Finland: Liikala J. assists: Nuutinen S., Parkkonen K. 2-1
09:46 Goal Finland: Vanhanen S. assists: Juusela E., Vainikka V. 3-1
19:41 2 min Finland: Laitinen N. Tripping

2nd period2-1

01:03 2 min Finland: Rantala S. Tripping
01:38 Goal PPG Japan: Noro Rio assists: Ito M., Nagaoka M. 3-2
03:24 Goal Finland: Juusela E. assists: Vainikka V. 4-2
04:20 2 min Finland: Holopainen E. Hooking
05:59 Goal SHG Finland: Schalin J. assists: Koukkula O., Yrjola S. 5-2
12:59 Goalie change Japan: Masuhara M. replaces Kawaguchi R.
17:56 2 min Finland: Yrjola S. Interference

3rd period3-0

01:34 2 min Japan: Tomiuchi A. Holding
09:51 Goal Finland: Rantala S. assists: Juusela E., Vanhanen S. 6-2
15:56 2 min Japan: Wajima Y. Hooking
16:23 Goal PPG Finland: Nuutinen E. assists: Tulus N., Vanhanen S. 7-2
16:42 Goal Finland: Yrjola S. assists: Tapani S. 8-2
18:27 2 min Japan: Shiga Ak. High sticking

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (FIN)	1.08	1.08	No change
1X2: X (draw)	11.00	11.00	No change
1X2: 2 (JAP)	22.00	22.00	No change
Over/Under line	5.5	5.5	No change
Handicap FIN	−3.5	−3.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

WCH Women standings

Regular Season · Group B

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Canada	3	3	0	0	9	1.500	24	1	+23
2	Sweden	3	2	1	0	6	1.000	15	6	+9
3	Finland	3	2	1	0	6	1.000	13	7	+6
4	Denmark	4	1	3	0	2	.250	4	26	−22
5	Japan	3	0	2	1	1	.167	4	20	−16

Playoffs
Relegation

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Finland host Japan in the WCH Women on Tuesday, November 10, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.