Flint Firebirds vs Erie Otters prediction
Chance to win · 59% and 22% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 68%Full game
- 1X2LostFlintodds up 1.63Confidence 62%
- Over/UnderLostU7.5odds up 1.36Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonErie +1.5odds down 1.72Confidence 53%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostFlintodds up 1.37Confidence 71%
- Double chanceLostFlint or drawodds up 1.21Confidence 80%
- Best tip of the game: Draw no betLostFlintodds up 1.33Confidence 75%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.06Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostFlintodds up 2.09Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.66Confidence 57%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min4–63%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–110%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 5 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 3-2 (3%), 4-3 (2%), 2-1 (2%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Feb 14, 2026: Erie Otters 6, Flint Firebirds 4.
- Feb 7, 2026: Flint Firebirds 3, Erie Otters 1.
- Dec 20, 2025: Erie Otters 3, Flint Firebirds 5.
- Oct 25, 2025: Flint Firebirds 5, Erie Otters 0.
- Sep 12, 2025: Erie Otters 1, Flint Firebirds 3.
Last five games
- Win, 5–1 at Sarnia Sting, Nov 1. Odds: Sarnia 2.30, Flint 2.50.
- Win, 4–3 against Barrie Colts, after overtime, Oct 31. Odds: Flint 1.50, Barrie 5.00.
- Loss, 0–3 at Kitchener Rangers, Oct 30. Odds: Kitchener 2.30, Flint 2.50.
- Win, 1–0 against Soo Greyhounds, Oct 25. Odds: Flint 2.30, Sault Ste Marie 2.50.
- Win, 6–2 against Saginaw Spirit, Oct 24. Odds: Flint 2.00, Saginaw 2.88.
- Win, 7–0 at Soo Greyhounds, Nov 4. Odds: Sault Ste Marie 1.70, Erie 3.70.
- Win, 4–3 at Sarnia Sting, Oct 30. Odds: Sarnia 1.95, Erie 3.00.
- Loss, 0–3 at Windsor Spitfires, Oct 29. Odds: Windsor 1.95, Erie 3.00.
- Win, 5–2 at Brampton Steelheads, Oct 25. Odds: Brampton 2.50, Erie 2.30.
- Win, 5–2 against Niagara IceDogs, Oct 24. Odds: Erie 1.87, Niagara 3.30.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-1
- 04:09 Goal Flint Firebirds: Williams C. assists: Anderson D., Lombardi J. 1-0
- 17:11 Goal Erie Otters: Dec M. assists: Saari J., Lombardi U. 1-1
2nd period1-4
- 03:41 Goal PPG Erie Otters: Agrette M. assists: McArthur B., Dec M. 1-2
- 12:35 Goal SHG Erie Otters: Edwards K. assists: Saari J. 1-3
- 15:50 Goal Erie Otters: Murray J. assists: Edwards K., Gladman A. 1-4
- 17:40 Goal Flint Firebirds: Morgan B. assists: Hotles C. 2-4
- 19:12 Goal Erie Otters: Beamish L. assists: Dec M., McArthur B. 2-5
3rd period2-1
- 08:43 Goal Flint Firebirds: Tessier X. assists: Murata C., Fellinger R. 3-5
- 14:17 Goal Erie Otters: Headrick E. 3-6
- 16:17 Goal Flint Firebirds: Bogas N. assists: Morgan B., Beauchesne C. 4-6
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Rest advantage: 4 days off for Flint Firebirds, 1 for Erie Otters.
- 6-2-0 at home for Flint Firebirds this season.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Flint Firebirds.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for Flint Firebirds.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for Erie Otters.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (FLI) | 1.66 | 1.72 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.40 | 4.15 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (ERI) | 3.70 | 3.70 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6.5 | No change |
| Handicap FLI | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
OHL standings
Regular Season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 30 | .833 | 81 | 53 | +28 | |
| 2 | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 26 | .619 | 70 | 69 | +1 | |
| 3 | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 25 | .658 | 72 | 58 | +14 | |
| 4 | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 24 | .706 | 71 | 59 | +12 | |
| 5 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 23 | .676 | 64 | 50 | +14 | |
| 6 | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 23 | .605 | 61 | 56 | +5 | |
| 7 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 22 | .579 | 60 | 65 | −5 | |
| 8 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 19 | .500 | 70 | 68 | +2 | |
| 9 | 20 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 17 | .425 | 76 | 84 | −8 | |
| 10 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 15 | .395 | 49 | 78 | −29 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Flint Firebirds host Erie Otters in the OHL on Friday, November 6, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.