Flint Firebirds vs Owen Sound Attack prediction
Chance to win · 77% and 10% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 75%Full game
- Best tip of the game: 1X2WonFlintodds up 1.29Confidence 75%
- Over/UnderWonU81.52Confidence 69%
- HandicapLostFlint -2.52.02Confidence 64%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonFlintodds up 1.15Confidence 83%
- Double chanceWonFlint or drawodds up 1.08Confidence 88%
- Draw no betWonFlintodds up 1.11Confidence 87%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.05Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostFlintodds up 1.70Confidence 57%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.51.48Confidence 62%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Flint 5–2
Owen Sound Score details
- Correct scoreLost5–2After 60 min3–26%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–012%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon2nd periodMost goals2nd · 3 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 5-2
- By period 2-0, 2-1, 1-1
- Likeliest 5-2 (7%), 4-1 (5%), 6-2 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonFlint Firebirds
Owen Sound Attack
Head-to-head
Flint 4–1
Owen Sound - Apr 1, 2026: Owen Sound Attack 1, Flint Firebirds 6.
- Mar 30, 2026: Owen Sound Attack 0, Flint Firebirds 10.
- Mar 28, 2026: Flint Firebirds 11, Owen Sound Attack 1.
- Mar 26, 2026: Flint Firebirds 8, Owen Sound Attack 1.
- Mar 18, 2026: Owen Sound Attack 4, Flint Firebirds 3.
Last five games
Flint
3-1-1 - Overtime loss, 2–3 at Guelph Storm, after overtime, Oct 16. Odds: Guelph 1.40, Flint 5.50.
- Win, 6–4 against Sarnia Sting, Oct 10.
- Win, 5–2 against Kitchener Rangers, Oct 7.
- Win, 7–2 at London Knights, Oct 4.
- Loss, 2–3 against Soo Greyhounds, Oct 3.
Owen Sound
1-4-0 - Loss, 3–11 at Windsor Spitfires, Oct 16. Odds: Windsor 1.80, Owen Sound 3.23.
- Loss, 5–10 against Guelph Storm, Oct 10.
- Loss, 2–3 at Guelph Storm, Oct 9.
- Win, 3–0 against Brantford Bulldogs, Oct 4.
- Loss, 1–4 against Windsor Spitfires, Oct 3.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
No goals or penalties.
2nd period1-2
- 04:08 Goal PPG Owen Sound Attack: Mbuyi P. assists: Banks J. 0-1
- 08:42 Goal Flint Firebirds: Lombardi J. assists: Anderson D., Williams C. 1-1
- 13:30 Goal Owen Sound Attack: Mbuyi P. assists: Delisle M., Bernat L. 1-2
3rd period2-0
- 08:37 Goal Flint Firebirds: Anderson D. assists: Cunningham R., Paul J. 2-2
- 18:54 Goal SHG Flint Firebirds: Anderson D. assists: Lombardi J. 3-2
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for both teams — Flint Firebirds and Owen Sound Attack played yesterday.
- 3-game losing streak for Owen Sound Attack coming into this game.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Flint Firebirds.
- 9.0 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 7.5.
- 5th vs 10th in the OHL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (FLI) | 1.47 | 1.32 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 5.00 | 5.40 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (OSA) | 4.50 | 6.50 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 7 | 7.5 | Line raised |
| Handicap FLI | −2.5 | −2.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
OHL standings
Regular Season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Guelph Storm |
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 30 | .833 | 81 | 53 | +28 |
| 2 |  Soo Greyhounds |
21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 26 | .619 | 70 | 69 | +1 |
| 3 |  Windsor Spitfires |
19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 25 | .658 | 72 | 58 | +14 |
| 4 |  London Knights |
17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 24 | .706 | 71 | 59 | +12 |
| 5 | Flint Firebirds |
17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 23 | .676 | 64 | 50 | +14 |
| 6 |  Kitchener Rangers |
19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 23 | .605 | 61 | 56 | +5 |
| 7 |  Erie Otters |
19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 22 | .579 | 60 | 65 | −5 |
| 8 |  Saginaw Spirit |
19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 19 | .500 | 70 | 68 | +2 |
| 9 |  Sarnia Sting |
20 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 17 | .425 | 76 | 84 | −8 |
| 10 | Owen Sound Attack |
19 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 15 | .395 | 49 | 78 | −29 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Flint Firebirds host Owen Sound Attack in the OHL on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.