Flint Firebirds vs Saginaw Spirit prediction
Chance to win · 55% and 26% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 67%Full game
- 1X2WonFlintodds up 1.79Confidence 57%
- Over/UnderWonO5.5odds up 1.32Confidence 72%
- HandicapLostSaginaw +1.51.62Confidence 60%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonFlintodds up 1.48Confidence 68%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonFlint or drawodds up 1.28Confidence 75%
- Draw no betWonFlint1.45Confidence 71%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.03Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonFlintodds up 2.19Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds up 1.54Confidence 61%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Flint 4–3
Saginaw Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–3After 60 min6–22%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period3–19%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals1st · 4 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-3
- By period 2-0, 1-2, 1-1
- Likeliest 4-3 (2%), 5-4 (1%), 6-5 (1%)
Season so far
This seasonFlint Firebirds
Saginaw Spirit
Head-to-head
Flint 4–1
Saginaw - Oct 23, 2026: Saginaw Spirit 3, Flint Firebirds 4, after a shootout.
- Sep 19, 2026: Saginaw Spirit 4, Flint Firebirds 5.
- Mar 14, 2026: Saginaw Spirit 1, Flint Firebirds 5.
- Feb 11, 2026: Flint Firebirds 4, Saginaw Spirit 5.
- Jan 9, 2026: Flint Firebirds 4, Saginaw Spirit 2.
Last five games
Flint
4-0-1 - Win, 4–3 at Saginaw Spirit, after a shootout, Oct 23. Odds: Saginaw 2.07, Flint 2.75.
- Win, 3–2 against Owen Sound Attack, Oct 17. Odds: Flint 1.32, Owen Sound 6.50.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at Guelph Storm, after overtime, Oct 16. Odds: Guelph 1.40, Flint 5.50.
- Win, 6–4 against Sarnia Sting, Oct 10.
- Win, 5–2 against Kitchener Rangers, Oct 7.
Saginaw
3-1-1 - Overtime loss, 3–4 against Flint Firebirds, after a shootout, Oct 23. Odds: Saginaw 2.07, Flint 2.75.
- Loss, 1–2 against Owen Sound Attack, Oct 18. Odds: Saginaw 1.53, Owen Sound 4.45.
- Win, 7–4 against Sarnia Sting, Oct 17. Odds: Saginaw 1.60, Sarnia 3.78.
- Win, 9–2 at Sarnia Sting, Oct 16. Odds: Sarnia 2.61, Saginaw 2.07.
- Win, 3–2 at Windsor Spitfires, after a shootout, Oct 12. Odds: Windsor 2.41, Saginaw 2.34.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period3-1
- 08:59 Goal PPG Saginaw Spirit: Wassilyn B. assists: Martyniuk T., Zhilkin D. 0-1
- 09:55 Goal Flint Firebirds: Cunningham R. 1-1
- 12:26 Goal Flint Firebirds: Graziano L. assists: Williams C., Smith B. 2-1
- 18:49 Goal Flint Firebirds: Klaucans M. assists: Anderson D., Lombardi J. 3-1
2nd period1-1
- 04:19 Goal Flint Firebirds: Tessier X. 4-1
- 14:17 Goal Saginaw Spirit: Pepoy B. assists: Bate D., Geldart G. 4-2
3rd period2-0
- 04:22 Goal Flint Firebirds: Anderson D. assists: Williams C., Lombardi J. 5-2
- 15:43 Goal SHG Flint Firebirds: Anderson D. assists: Paul J., Lombardi J. 6-2
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for both teams — Flint Firebirds and Saginaw Spirit played yesterday.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Flint Firebirds.
- 4-0-1 in the last five for Flint Firebirds.
- 7.4 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.5.
- 3rd vs 4th in the OHL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (FLI) | 2.05 | 2.00 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.33 | 4.33 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (SAG) | 2.88 | 2.88 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 7 | 6.5 | Line lowered |
| Handicap FLI | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
OHL standings
Regular Season · West Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Soo Greyhounds |
21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 26 | .619 | 70 | 69 | +1 |
| 2 |  Windsor Spitfires |
19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 25 | .658 | 72 | 58 | +14 |
| 3 | Flint Firebirds |
17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 23 | .676 | 64 | 50 | +14 |
| 4 | Saginaw Spirit |
19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 19 | .500 | 70 | 68 | +2 |
| 5 |  Sarnia Sting |
20 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 17 | .425 | 76 | 84 | −8 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Flint Firebirds host Saginaw Spirit in the OHL on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.