Freiburg vs Starbulls Rosenheim prediction
Chance to win · 32% and 45% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Full game
- 1X2WonRosenheim1.91Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonU5.51.62Confidence 55%
- HandicapLostFreiburg +1.51.45Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonRosenheim1.56Confidence 59%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonRosenheim or draw1.35Confidence 70%
- Draw no betWonRosenheim1.51Confidence 61%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYes1.11Confidence 85%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostRosenheim2.43Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.51.18Confidence 77%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min0–34%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–11st period0–017%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 3 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-1, 1-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 1-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Feb 22, 2026: Starbulls Rosenheim 5, Freiburg 1.
- Jan 18, 2026: Freiburg 1, Starbulls Rosenheim 3.
- Dec 5, 2025: Starbulls Rosenheim 6, Freiburg 3.
- Oct 17, 2025: Freiburg 3, Starbulls Rosenheim 2, after overtime.
- Feb 21, 2025: Freiburg 5, Starbulls Rosenheim 4, after a shootout.
Last five games
- Overtime loss, 1–2 at Ravensburg, after overtime, Oct 9. Odds: Ravensburg 1.54, Freiburg 4.20.
- Win, 3–2 at Regensburg, after overtime, Oct 4.
- Loss, 2–3 against Landshut, Oct 2.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 against Kassel, after a shootout, Sep 27.
- Loss, 0–3 at Memmingen, Sep 25.
- Win, 4–1 against Regensburg, Oct 9. Odds: Rosenheim 1.92, Regensburg 2.88.
- Win, 2–1 at Bad Nauheim, Oct 4.
- Loss, 1–3 against Dusseldorf, Oct 2.
- Win, 5–3 against Bietigheim/Bissingen, Sep 27.
- Loss, 1–2 at Landshut, Sep 25.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
No goals or penalties.
2nd period0-0
No goals or penalties.
3rd period0-3
- 05:45 Goal Starbulls Rosenheim: Mastrodonato K. assists: Feser S. 0-1
- 17:03 Goal Starbulls Rosenheim: Dietz F. assists: Adam M., Kharboutli S. 0-2
- 18:38 Goal ENG Starbulls Rosenheim: Feser S. assists: Mastrodonato K. 0-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- In goal: Schmidt O. for Freiburg (3-4-3 in the last 10 starts), Kolarz C. for Starbulls Rosenheim (3-4-3 in the last 10 starts).
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Starbulls Rosenheim.
- 1-2-2 in the last five for Freiburg.
- Save % gap: Freiburg 93.0%, Starbulls Rosenheim 89.2% over their recent games.
- 6.6 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (FRE) | 3.13 | 3.13 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.99 | 3.99 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (STA) | 1.97 | 1.97 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5 | 5 | No change |
| Handicap FRE | +0.5 | +0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
DEL 2 standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 1.250 | 56 | 30 | +26 | |
| 2 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 26 | .929 | 47 | 45 | +2 | |
| 3 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 24 | .857 | 48 | 42 | +6 | |
| 4 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 23 | .821 | 50 | 44 | +6 | |
| 5 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 23 | .821 | 40 | 37 | +3 | |
| 6 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 21 | .750 | 46 | 40 | +6 | |
| 7 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 20 | .714 | 39 | 45 | −6 | |
| 8 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 20 | .714 | 46 | 55 | −9 | |
| 9 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 19 | .679 | 43 | 41 | +2 | |
| 10 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 19 | .679 | 37 | 42 | −5 | |
| 11 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 19 | .679 | 43 | 52 | −9 | |
| 12 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 18 | .643 | 46 | 51 | −5 | |
| 13 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 16 | .571 | 47 | 52 | −5 | |
| 14 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 11 | .393 | 30 | 42 | −12 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Freiburg host Starbulls Rosenheim in the DEL 2 on Sunday, October 11, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.