Freiburg vs Weiden prediction
Chance to win · 45% and 32% in regulation
Schmidt O.StartedSV 91% · GAA 2.44 · 2-6-2
Muhlberger P.StartedSV 87.4% · GAA 4.25 · 3-3-2All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2WonFreiburgodds up 1.76Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostU6.5odds down 1.33Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapLostWeiden +1.51.48Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonFreiburgodds up 1.45Confidence 58%
- Double chanceWonFreiburg or drawodds up 1.25Confidence 69%
- Draw no betWonFreiburgodds up 1.40Confidence 60%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.11Confidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostFreiburgodds up 2.27Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds up 1.93Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Freiburg 3–2
Weiden Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min5–34%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–18%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 4 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 2-1 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formFreiburg
Weiden
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Freiburg 2–3
Weiden - Jan 30, 2026: Weiden 3, Freiburg 4, after overtime.
- Dec 30, 2025: Freiburg 4, Weiden 2.
- Nov 16, 2025: Weiden 3, Freiburg 2.
- Sep 26, 2025: Freiburg 0, Weiden 4.
- Feb 2, 2025: Freiburg 3, Weiden 4.
Last five games
Freiburg
1-3-1 - Loss, 3–5 at Dusseldorf, Oct 16. Odds: Dusseldorf 1.41, Freiburg 5.83.
- Loss, 0–3 against Starbulls Rosenheim, Oct 11. Odds: Freiburg 3.13, Rosenheim 1.97.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 at Ravensburg, after overtime, Oct 9. Odds: Ravensburg 1.54, Freiburg 4.20.
- Win, 3–2 at Regensburg, after overtime, Oct 4.
- Loss, 2–3 against Landshut, Oct 2.
Weiden
2-3-0 - Win, 6–5 against Starbulls Rosenheim, Oct 16. Odds: Weiden 4.20, Rosenheim 1.53.
- Win, 4–3 against Ravensburg, Oct 11. Odds: Weiden 3.75, Ravensburg 1.73.
- Loss, 1–5 at Dresdner Eislowen, Oct 9. Odds: Dresden 1.38, Weiden 5.10.
- Loss, 1–5 at Dusseldorf, Oct 4.
- Loss, 2–5 against Regensburg, Oct 2.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-1
- 03:47 Goal Freiburg: Kuhnhauser K. assists: Linsenmaier N., Ilestedt F. 1-0
- 11:31 Goal PPG Weiden: Regush M. assists: Knackstedt J. 1-1
2nd period1-1
- 05:43 Goal PPG Weiden: Regush M. assists: Tracey B., Gron T. 1-2
- 10:35 Goal PPG Freiburg: Muhlbauer L. assists: McCallum L., Plouffe D. 2-2
3rd period3-1
- 00:05 Goal Freiburg: McCallum L. assists: Plouffe D. 3-2
- 17:19 Goal Freiburg: Kiefersauer C. 4-2
- 17:54 Goal Weiden: Voyer A. assists: Jahnke C., Knackstedt J. 4-3
- 18:22 Goal ENG Freiburg: Wirth M. 5-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Freiburg coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Weiden dropped from 2.52 to 2.17 since they were first published.
- In goal: Schmidt O. for Freiburg (2-6-2 in the last 10 starts), Muhlberger P. for Weiden (3-3-2 in the last 8 starts).
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Weiden.
- −1.6 goals away — Weiden averaged 3.6 at home and 2.0 away this season.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (FRE) | 1.80 | 1.80 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.50 | 4.50 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (WEI) | 3.20 | 3.20 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5 | 5 | No change |
| Handicap FRE | −1.5 | −0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
DEL 2 standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Dusseldorf |
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 1.250 | 56 | 30 | +26 |
| 2 |  Landshut |
14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 26 | .929 | 47 | 45 | +2 |
| 3 |  Regensburg |
14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 24 | .857 | 48 | 42 | +6 |
| 4 |  Dresdner Eislowen |
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 23 | .821 | 50 | 44 | +6 |
| 5 |  Kassel |
14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 23 | .821 | 40 | 37 | +3 |
| 6 |  Starbulls Rosenheim |
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 21 | .750 | 46 | 40 | +6 |
| 7 |  Lausitzer Fuchse |
14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 20 | .714 | 39 | 45 | −6 |
| 8 | Weiden |
14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 20 | .714 | 46 | 55 | −9 |
| 9 |  Crimmitschau |
14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 19 | .679 | 43 | 41 | +2 |
| 10 | Freiburg |
14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 19 | .679 | 37 | 42 | −5 |
| 11 |  Memmingen |
14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 19 | .679 | 43 | 52 | −9 |
| 12 |  Ravensburg |
14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 18 | .643 | 46 | 51 | −5 |
| 13 |  Bietigheim/Bissingen |
14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 16 | .571 | 47 | 52 | −5 |
| 14 |  Bad Nauheim |
14 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 11 | .393 | 30 | 42 | −12 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Freiburg host Weiden in the DEL 2 on Sunday, October 18, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.