Fribourg vs Biel Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under Won

O4.5 1.29

Confidence71%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 67%

Full game

1X2WonFribourgodds up 1.46Confidence 64%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonO4.51.29Confidence 71%
HandicapWonFribourg -1.5odds up 1.80Confidence 53%
Winner (incl. OT)WonFribourgodds up 1.26Confidence 72%
Double chanceWonFribourg or drawodds up 1.15Confidence 79%
Draw no betWonFribourgodds up 1.21Confidence 76%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.10Confidence 86%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostFribourgodds up 1.95Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderLostO1.51.73Confidence 54%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Fribourg 41

Biel

Final 6–3

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 9

Draw after 60 minDraw 18% Decided in regulation

FRI to winTo win 74% FRI won

Score details

Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min6–36%chance
1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–011%chance
Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 9 goals31%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 4-1
By period 2-0, 0-0, 2-1
Likeliest 4-1 (6%), 5-2 (5%), 4-2 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record7-4-25-7-1

Home / road split5-1-02-3-0

StreakL1W2

Rest2 days2 days

Goals for3.53.1

Goals against2.53.5

In the standings7th11th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+1.9−0.6

Goals for4.23.0

Goals against2.33.6

Shots on goal31.029.0

Shots against27.429.2

Shooting %13.5%10.3%

Save %91.6%89.4%

Power-play %30.4%10.9%

Penalty kill %88.4%86.0%

Faceoff %50.0%49.1%

Penalty minutes8.216.6

Blocked shots12.714.5

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Fribourg 32

Biel

Fribourg won three of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 5.0 FRI 3.2 · BIE 1.8

Over 6.0 goalsOver 6.0 1 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 1 of 5 1 in a shootout

Sep 15, 2026: Biel 4, Fribourg 2.
Jan 17, 2026: Fribourg 6, Biel 1.
Nov 28, 2025: Biel 2, Fribourg 3.
Oct 11, 2025: Biel 2, Fribourg 1, after a shootout.
Sep 13, 2025: Fribourg 4, Biel 0.

Last five games

Fribourg 2-1-2

Loss, 2–3 at Ambri-Piotta, Oct 20. Odds: Ambri-Piotta 2.65, Fribourg 2.00.
Win, 6–1 against Lugano, Oct 17. Odds: Fribourg 1.78, Lugano 3.05.
Overtime loss, 3–4 at Herning Blue Fox, after a shootout, Oct 14. Odds: Herning 5.40, Fribourg 1.41.
Overtime loss, 4–5 at Zurich, after overtime, Oct 10. Odds: Zurich 1.83, Fribourg 3.45.
Win, 7–2 against Ajoie, Oct 8.

Biel 2-3-0

Win, 4–3 against Rapperswil-Jona, Oct 20. Odds: Biel 1.83, Rapperswil 2.85.
Win, 3–2 at Rapperswil-Jona, Oct 17. Odds: Rapperswil 2.12, Biel 2.42.
Loss, 2–5 against Ajoie, Oct 16. Odds: Biel 1.69, Ajoie 4.04.
Loss, 2–4 against Lugano, Oct 10. Odds: Biel 2.27, Lugano 2.52.
Loss, 2–4 at Bern, Oct 9. Odds: Bern 1.80, Biel 3.35.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period0-0

04:33 2 min Biel: Bartschi J. Hooking

2nd period0-0

02:10 2 min Fribourg: Hedlund L. Tripping
04:31 2 min Biel: Skinner J. Cross checking

3rd period6-3

01:18 Goal Fribourg: Nemeth P. assists: Sorensen M., Borgstrom H. 1-0
02:15 2 min Fribourg: — Too many men on the ice
02:48 Goal PPG Biel: Sylvegard M. assists: Soderstrom V., Andersson L. 1-1
04:21 2 min Biel: Cajka P. Tripping
04:31 Goal PPG Fribourg: Schmid S. assists: Johnson L., Sorensen M. 2-1
05:30 Goal Fribourg: Richard A. assists: Reber J., Kapla M. 3-1
07:39 2 min Biel: Burren Y. Interference
08:47 Goal PPG Fribourg: De La Rose J. assists: Schmid S., Sorensen M. 4-1
13:39 Goal Fribourg: Jecker B. assists: Schild T., De La Rose J. 5-1
14:34 Goal Biel: Neuenschwander J. assists: Zwerger D., Burren Y. 5-2
15:19 Goal Biel: Rajala T. assists: Soderstrom V., Stampfli Y. 5-3
17:14 Goal Fribourg: Jecker B. assists: Schmid S. 6-3

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

In goal: Galley L. for Fribourg (6-3-1 in the last 10 starts), Sateri H. for Biel (2-7-1 in the last 10 starts).
5-1-0 at home for Fribourg this season.
Goal differential gap of 2.5 per game — Fribourg +1.9, Biel −0.6 over their recent games.
3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Fribourg.
Save % gap: Fribourg 91.6%, Biel 89.4% over their recent games.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (FRI)	1.48	1.48	No change
1X2: X (draw)	5.25	5.25	No change
1X2: 2 (BIE)	5.00	5.00	No change
Over/Under line	6	6	No change
Handicap FRI	−1.5	−1.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

National League standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Zurich	18	17	1	0	47	1.306	75	38	+37
2	Ambri-Piotta	18	11	5	2	33	.917	57	53	+4
3	Servette	19	11	6	2	32	.842	49	55	−6
4	Langnau Tigers	19	9	7	3	29	.763	66	56	+10
5	Zug	13	9	3	1	28	1.077	49	27	+22
6	Bern	17	9	5	3	28	.824	46	47	−1
7	Fribourg	18	9	7	2	27	.750	57	44	+13
8	Lausanne	20	9	10	1	26	.650	59	69	−10
9	Ajoie	19	9	8	2	25	.658	58	64	−6
10	Davos	19	8	9	2	24	.632	45	55	−10
11	Biel	18	7	9	2	23	.639	57	60	−3
12	Lugano	18	7	9	2	22	.611	56	62	−6
13	Rapperswil-Jona	19	6	10	3	19	.500	50	69	−19
14	EHC Kloten	19	6	12	1	18	.474	44	69	−25

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Promotion - Playoffs
Play Out

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Fribourg vs Biel prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details