Fribourg vs Davos Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Handicap Won

Fribourg +0.5 1.27

Confidence71%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 69%

Full game

1X2WonFribourgodds up 1.72Confidence 56%
Over/UnderWonU6.5odds down 1.43Confidence 70%
Best tip of the game: HandicapWonFribourg +0.5odds up 1.27Confidence 71%
Winner (incl. OT)WonFribourgodds up 1.44Confidence 65%
Double chanceWonFribourg or drawodds down 1.27Confidence 73%
Draw no betWonFribourgodds up 1.40Confidence 69%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.09Confidence 85%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostFribourg2.25Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5odds down 1.24Confidence 77%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Fribourg 41

Davos

Final 3–1

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 4

Draw after 60 minDraw 21% Decided in regulation

FRI to winTo win 66% FRI won

Score details

Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min3–16%chance
1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period1–119%chance
Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 2 goals30%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 4-1
By period 1-0, 1-0, 2-1
Likeliest 4-1 (6%), 3-2 (4%), 3-1 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record8-5-27-8-1

Home / road split6-1-04-4-0

StreakL1W1

Rest2 days2 days

Goals for3.52.4

Goals against2.52.9

In the standings7th10th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+1.6−1.2

Goals for3.91.9

Goals against2.33.1

Shots on goal31.628.7

Shots against28.433.0

Shooting %12.3%6.6%

Save %92.3%90.9%

Power-play %28.6%12.5%

Penalty kill %87.8%87.5%

Faceoff %51.2%49.3%

Penalty minutes7.67.1

Blocked shots12.616.1

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Fribourg 32

Davos

Fribourg won three of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 4.2 FRI 2.2 · DAV 2.0

Over 5.5 goalsOver 5.5 1 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 4 of 5 3 in overtime · 1 in a shootout

Sep 22, 2026: Davos 1, Fribourg 2, after a shootout.
Apr 30, 2026: Davos 2, Fribourg 3, after overtime.
Apr 28, 2026: Fribourg 2, Davos 1, after overtime.
Apr 26, 2026: Davos 5, Fribourg 4, after overtime.
Apr 24, 2026: Fribourg 0, Davos 1.

Last five games

Fribourg 2-2-1

Loss, 0–2 at Lausanne, Oct 24. Odds: Lausanne 2.36, Fribourg 2.40.
Win, 6–3 against Biel, Oct 23. Odds: Fribourg 1.48, Biel 5.00.
Loss, 2–3 at Ambri-Piotta, Oct 20. Odds: Ambri-Piotta 2.65, Fribourg 2.00.
Win, 6–1 against Lugano, Oct 17. Odds: Fribourg 1.78, Lugano 3.05.
Overtime loss, 3–4 at Herning Blue Fox, after a shootout, Oct 14. Odds: Herning 5.40, Fribourg 1.41.

Davos 3-2-0

Win, 3–2 at Langnau Tigers, after overtime, Oct 24. Odds: Langnau 2.52, Davos 2.27.
Loss, 1–4 against Bern, Oct 23. Odds: Davos 1.87, Bern 3.30.
Win, 3–2 at Zurich, Oct 20. Odds: Zurich 1.52, Davos 3.95.
Loss, 1–5 against Zurich, Oct 17. Odds: Davos 2.32, Zurich 2.27.
Win, 3–2 at Lugano, Oct 16. Odds: Lugano 2.09, Davos 2.92.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period1-1

03:54 Goal Fribourg: Borgstrom H. assists: Reber J., Sorensen M. 1-0
16:19 Goal Davos: Nussbaumer V. assists: Parree J., Schreiber H. 1-1
17:14 2 min Davos: Jager K. Tripping

2nd period1-0

05:29 2 min Davos: Blandisi J. High sticking
05:35 Goal PPG Fribourg: Sorensen M. assists: Johnson L., De La Rose J. 2-1
15:07 Penalty shot missed Fribourg: Richard A.
19:13 2 min Fribourg: Rathgeb Y. Holding

3rd period1-0

05:00 2 min Davos: Minder T. Cross checking
07:51 2 min Fribourg: Seiler S. Tripping
19:59 Goal ENG Fribourg: Bertschy C. assists: De La Rose J. 3-1

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

6-1-0 at home for Fribourg this season.
In goal: Waeber L. for Fribourg (6-2-2 in the last 10 starts), Aeschlimann S. for Davos (4-5-1 in the last 10 starts).
Goal differential gap of 2.8 per game — Fribourg +1.6, Davos −1.2 over their recent games.
3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Fribourg.
4.2 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (FRI)	1.80	1.77	Shortened
1X2: X (draw)	4.50	4.50	No change
1X2: 2 (DAV)	3.50	3.60	Drifted
Over/Under line	5.5	5.5	No change
Handicap FRI	−0.5	−0.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

National League standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Zurich	18	17	1	0	47	1.306	75	38	+37
2	Ambri-Piotta	18	11	5	2	33	.917	57	53	+4
3	Servette	19	11	6	2	32	.842	49	55	−6
4	Langnau Tigers	19	9	7	3	29	.763	66	56	+10
5	Zug	13	9	3	1	28	1.077	49	27	+22
6	Bern	17	9	5	3	28	.824	46	47	−1
7	Fribourg	18	9	7	2	27	.750	57	44	+13
8	Lausanne	20	9	10	1	26	.650	59	69	−10
9	Ajoie	19	9	8	2	25	.658	58	64	−6
10	Davos	19	8	9	2	24	.632	45	55	−10
11	Biel	18	7	9	2	23	.639	57	60	−3
12	Lugano	18	7	9	2	22	.611	56	62	−6
13	Rapperswil-Jona	19	6	10	3	19	.500	50	69	−19
14	EHC Kloten	19	6	12	1	18	.474	44	69	−25

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
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Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Fribourg vs Davos prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details