Fribourg vs Servette Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Handicap Won

Servette +1.5 1.75

Confidence55%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 66%

Full game

1X2LostFribourgodds down 1.57Confidence 62%
Over/UnderLostO4.51.40Confidence 71%
Best tip of the game: HandicapWonServette +1.5odds up 1.75Confidence 55%
Winner (incl. OT)LostFribourgodds down 1.32Confidence 60%
Double chanceLostFribourg or drawodds down 1.19Confidence 78%
Draw no betLostFribourgodds down 1.27Confidence 75%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYesodds up 1.09Confidence 86%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostFribourgodds down 2.10Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderLostO1.51.85Confidence 54%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; the odds drifted 4% since they opened; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Fribourg 32

Servette

Final 0–1

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 1

Draw after 60 minDraw 19% Decided in regulation

FRI to winTo win 71% SER won

Score details

Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min0–14%chance
1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–110%chance
Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 1 goals31%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 3-2
By period 2-0, 0-0, 1-2
Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (3%), 5-4 (1%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record9-6-29-6-2

Home / road split7-1-03-4-1

StreakL1W1

Rest1 day2 days

Goals for3.42.6

Goals against2.53.1

In the standings7th3rd

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+1.4−1.3

Goals for3.92.1

Goals against2.53.4

Shots on goal29.324.9

Shots against28.429.8

Shooting %13.3%8.4%

Save %91.9%89.9%

Power-play %31.7%8.8%

Penalty kill %87.8%76.3%

Faceoff %49.6%46.4%

Penalty minutes7.69.8

Blocked shots13.412.9

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Fribourg 32

Servette

Fribourg won three of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 7.0 FRI 3.6 · SER 3.4

Over 5.5 goalsOver 5.5 4 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 1 of 5 1 in a shootout

Sep 25, 2026: Servette 4, Fribourg 3, after a shootout.
Apr 12, 2026: Fribourg 6, Servette 2.
Apr 10, 2026: Servette 3, Fribourg 4.
Apr 8, 2026: Fribourg 2, Servette 1.
Apr 6, 2026: Servette 7, Fribourg 3.

Last five games

Fribourg 2-3-0

Loss, 2–4 at Langnau Tigers, Oct 28. Odds: Langnau 2.90, Fribourg 2.00.
Win, 3–1 against Davos, Oct 27. Odds: Fribourg 1.77, Davos 3.60.
Loss, 0–2 at Lausanne, Oct 24. Odds: Lausanne 2.36, Fribourg 2.40.
Win, 6–3 against Biel, Oct 23. Odds: Fribourg 1.48, Biel 5.00.
Loss, 2–3 at Ambri-Piotta, Oct 20. Odds: Ambri-Piotta 2.65, Fribourg 2.00.

Servette 1-4-0

Win, 2–1 at Rapperswil-Jona, after overtime, Oct 27. Odds: Rapperswil 2.00, Servette 3.00.
Loss, 1–5 against Zurich, Oct 25. Odds: Servette 3.60, Zurich 1.73.
Loss, 0–5 at Ajoie, Oct 23. Odds: Ajoie 2.50, Servette 2.25.
Loss, 2–5 against Lugano, Oct 20. Odds: Servette 2.22, Lugano 2.35.
Loss, 3–6 at Ambri-Piotta, Oct 17. Odds: Ambri-Piotta 2.52, Servette 2.12.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period0-1

04:42 Goal Servette: Kneubuehler J. assists: Le Coultre S., Miranda M. 0-1
06:31 2 min Fribourg: Boppart Y. Tripping
07:53 2 min Fribourg: Jecker B. Boarding
10:56 2 min Servette: Douay F. Unsportsmanlike conduct

2nd period0-0

08:36 2 min Servette: Douay F. Holding
12:45 2 min Fribourg: Rathgeb Y. Tripping

3rd period0-0

11:20 2 min Servette: Chanton G. Delay of game

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

7-1-0 at home for Fribourg this season.
In goal: Waeber L. for Fribourg (6-2-2 in the last 10 starts), Charlin S. for Servette (7-2-1 in the last 10 starts).
Goal differential gap of 2.7 per game — Fribourg +1.4, Servette −1.3 over their recent games.
3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Fribourg.
1-4-0 in the last five for Servette.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (FRI)	1.53	1.53	No change
1X2: X (draw)	5.25	5.25	No change
1X2: 2 (SER)	4.50	4.50	No change
Over/Under line	5.5	5.5	No change
Handicap FRI	−1.5	−1.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

National League standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Zurich	18	17	1	0	47	1.306	75	38	+37
2	Ambri-Piotta	18	11	5	2	33	.917	57	53	+4
3	Servette	19	11	6	2	32	.842	49	55	−6
4	Langnau Tigers	19	9	7	3	29	.763	66	56	+10
5	Zug	13	9	3	1	28	1.077	49	27	+22
6	Bern	17	9	5	3	28	.824	46	47	−1
7	Fribourg	18	9	7	2	27	.750	57	44	+13
8	Lausanne	20	9	10	1	26	.650	59	69	−10
9	Ajoie	19	9	8	2	25	.658	58	64	−6
10	Davos	19	8	9	2	24	.632	45	55	−10
11	Biel	18	7	9	2	23	.639	57	60	−3
12	Lugano	18	7	9	2	22	.611	56	62	−6
13	Rapperswil-Jona	19	6	10	3	19	.500	50	69	−19
14	EHC Kloten	19	6	12	1	18	.474	44	69	−25

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Promotion - Playoffs
Play Out

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Fribourg vs Servette prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details