Frölunda vs Malmo Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Handicap

Malmo +2.5 1.25

Confidence72%

All predictions

9 picks · Average confidence 66%

Full game

1X2Frolundaodds up 1.78Confidence 51%
Over/UnderU6.51.31Confidence 69%
Best tip of the game: HandicapMalmo +2.51.25Confidence 72%
Winner (incl. OT)Frolunda1.48Confidence 59%
Double chanceFrolunda or drawodds up 1.27Confidence 68%
Draw no betFrolunda1.41Confidence 61%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)Yes1.13Confidence 84%

1st period

1st period 1X2Draw2.60Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderU2.51.19Confidence 79%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Frolunda 31

Malmo

Predicted score

Total goalsTotal 4 Line 5.0 · Under

Draw after 60 minDraw 22%

FRO to winTo win 58% 47% in regulation

Score details

Correct score3–14%chance
1st period correct score0–022%chance
Highest scoring period3rd period29%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 3-1
By period 0-0, 1-0, 2-1
Likeliest 3-1 (4%), 3-2 (4%), 2-1 (4%)

Predicted team stats

The brighter bar is the bigger figure

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record11-5-08-3-3

Home / road split7-1-04-1-3

StreakW2W3

Rest1 day11 days

Goals for3.43.2

Goals against2.42.4

In the standings2nd4th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+2.0+1.4

Goals for4.33.2

Goals against2.31.8

Shots on goal29.631.4

Shots against21.527.7

Shooting %14.5%10.2%

Save %89.3%93.5%

Power-play %17.1%17.9%

Penalty kill %88.2%83.8%

Faceoff %46.2%53.2%

Penalty minutes6.97.4

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Frolunda 50

Malmo

Frölunda won five of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 4.6 FRO 3.6 · MAL 1.0

Over 5.0 goalsOver 5.0 1 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 1 of 5 1 in a shootout

Sep 26, 2026: Malmo 1, Frölunda 2.
Mar 14, 2026: Frölunda 4, Malmo 1.
Dec 28, 2025: Malmo 2, Frölunda 3, after a shootout.
Nov 20, 2025: Frölunda 3, Malmo 0.
Oct 9, 2025: Malmo 1, Frölunda 6.

Last five games

Frolunda 3-2-0

Win, 4–3 at Vaxjo, Nov 10. Odds: Vaxjo 2.60, Frolunda 2.15.
Win, 4–1 against Linkoping, Oct 31. Odds: Frolunda 1.44, Linkoping 5.50.
Loss, 2–3 at Orebro, Oct 29. Odds: Orebro 3.00, Frolunda 2.05.
Loss, 4–5 against Rögle, Oct 27. Odds: Frolunda 2.20, Rogle 2.75.
Win, 6–2 at HV 71, Oct 24. Odds: HV71 3.30, Frolunda 1.91.

Malmo 4-1-0

Win, 3–2 against HV 71, after overtime, Oct 31. Odds: Malmo 1.76, HV71 3.80.
Win, 3–0 at Rögle, Oct 29. Odds: Rogle 1.76, Malmo 3.80.
Win, 8–2 against Linkoping, Oct 27. Odds: Malmo 1.81, Linkoping 3.60.
Loss, 1–2 against Timrå, Oct 24. Odds: Malmo 2.01, Timra 3.20.
Win, 4–2 at IF Bjorkloven, Oct 22. Odds: Bjorkloven 3.30, Malmo 1.91.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Key insights

3-game winning streak for Malmo coming into this game.
7-1-0 at home for Frölunda this season.
5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Frölunda.
Save % gap: Frölunda 89.3%, Malmo 93.5% over their recent games.
4.6 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (FRO)	1.76	1.76	No change
1X2: X (draw)	4.50	4.50	No change
1X2: 2 (MAL)	3.80	3.80	No change
Over/Under line	5	5	No change
Handicap FRO	−0.5	−0.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

SHL standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Farjestad	14	13	0	1	39	1.393	58	17	+41
2	Frolunda	16	11	5	0	31	.969	55	39	+16
3	Skelleftea	13	9	2	2	28	1.077	47	28	+19
4	Malmo	13	7	3	3	23	.885	42	31	+11
5	Rogle	14	8	6	0	22	.786	37	33	+4
6	Orebro	13	6	5	2	20	.769	30	39	−9
7	Lulea	13	5	5	3	18	.692	33	35	−2
8	Timra	13	7	6	0	18	.692	25	28	−3
9	Djurgarden	14	6	6	2	17	.607	30	39	−9
10	IF Bjorkloven	13	6	7	0	17	.654	26	41	−15
11	Brynas	13	5	7	1	15	.577	38	36	+2
12	Vaxjo	14	5	8	1	15	.536	33	47	−14
13	Linkoping	14	4	9	1	12	.429	27	51	−24
14	HV 71	13	3	7	3	10	.385	31	48	−17

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Play Out

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Frölunda vs Malmo prediction