Frölunda vs Skellefteå prediction
Chance to win · 41% and 37% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 61%Full game
- 1X2LostFrolunda2.47Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU6.5odds up 1.30Confidence 70%
- HandicapWonFrolunda +1.5odds up 1.31Confidence 71%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonFrolundaodds up 1.89Confidence 51%
- Double chanceWonFrolunda or draw1.50Confidence 65%
- Draw no betPushFrolundaodds up 1.88Confidence 51%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.12Confidence 84%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDraw2.55Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU1.51.72Confidence 57%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min2–24%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period1–022%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 3 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 0-0, 2-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (4%), 3-1 (4%), 2-1 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Feb 26, 2026: Frölunda 0, Skellefteå 2.
- Jan 22, 2026: Frölunda 3, Skellefteå 4, after overtime.
- Nov 27, 2025: Skellefteå 2, Frölunda 4.
- Oct 2, 2025: Skellefteå 2, Frölunda 3.
- Feb 11, 2025: Frölunda 5, Skellefteå 1.
Last five games
- Win, 3–0 at Linkoping, Oct 15. Odds: Linkoping 2.64, Frolunda 2.44.
- Win, 11–1 against Bordeaux, Oct 13. Odds: Frolunda 1.09, Bordeaux 19.60.
- Loss, 2–3 at IF Bjorkloven, Oct 10. Odds: Bjorkloven 3.95, Frölunda 1.75.
- Loss, 1–4 at Timrå, Oct 8.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at Liberec, after overtime, Oct 6.
- Win, 2–1 at Vaxjo, Oct 15. Odds: Vaxjo 2.90, Skelleftea 2.16.
- Win, 4–2 against Salzburg, Oct 13. Odds: Skelleftea 1.29, Salzburg 7.43.
- Win, 3–2 against Rögle, Oct 10. Odds: Skellefteå 1.87, Rögle 3.40.
- Loss, 1–5 against Farjestad, Oct 8.
- Loss, 2–4 at Plzen, Oct 6.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 07:11 Goal PS Frölunda: Fagemo S.
- 15:09 2 min Skellefteå: Bergqvist R. Slashing
2nd period1-2
- 07:45 Goal Skellefteå: Stjernborg V. 1-1
- 09:39 2 min Frölunda: Milosevic S. Tripping
- 11:37 Goal PPG Skellefteå: Lindholm P. assists: Lundberg A., Lindberg V. 1-2
- 13:18 Goal Frölunda: Johannesson S. assists: Hasa N. 2-2
3rd period0-0
- 08:56 2 min Frölunda: Westergard M. Hooking
Overtime0-0
- 02:44 2 min Skellefteå: — Too many men on the ice
Shootout1-0
-
Round 1
Fagemo S.
✗missed
Johnson A.
✗missed
-
Round 2
Johannesson S.
✗missed
Hugg R.
✗missed
-
Round 3
Peterson J.
✗missed
Aagaard M.
✗missed
-
Round 4
Cederqvist F.
✓scored
Lindberg O.
✗missed
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Skellefteå coming into this game.
- In goal: Normann T. for Frölunda (5-3-2 in the last 10 starts), Mann S. for Skellefteå (8-2-0 in the last 10 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 1.3 per game — Frölunda +1.6, Skellefteå +0.3 over their recent games.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Frölunda.
- −2.0 goals away — Skellefteå averaged 4.2 at home and 2.3 away this season.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (FRO) | 2.37 | 2.37 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.55 | 3.55 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (SKE) | 2.27 | 2.27 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5 | 5 | No change |
| Handicap FRO | +1.5 | +0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
SHL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 39 | 1.393 | 58 | 17 | +41 | |
| 2 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 31 | .969 | 55 | 39 | +16 | |
| 3 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 1.077 | 47 | 28 | +19 | |
| 4 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23 | .885 | 42 | 31 | +11 | |
| 5 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 22 | .786 | 37 | 33 | +4 | |
| 6 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 20 | .769 | 30 | 39 | −9 | |
| 7 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 18 | .692 | 33 | 35 | −2 | |
| 8 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 18 | .692 | 25 | 28 | −3 | |
| 9 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 17 | .607 | 30 | 39 | −9 | |
| 10 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 17 | .654 | 26 | 41 | −15 | |
| 11 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 15 | .577 | 38 | 36 | +2 | |
| 12 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 15 | .536 | 33 | 47 | −14 | |
| 13 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 12 | .429 | 27 | 51 | −24 | |
| 14 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 10 | .385 | 31 | 48 | −17 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Frölunda host Skellefteå in the SHL on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.