Gap vs Marseille Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under Lost

O4.5 1.37

Confidence71%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%

Full game

1X2LostMarseilleodds up 1.72Confidence 52%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderLostO4.51.37Confidence 71%
HandicapWonGap +1.5odds down 1.58Confidence 64%
Winner (incl. OT)LostMarseilleodds down 1.49Confidence 64%
Double chanceWonMarseille or drawodds up 1.23Confidence 72%
Draw no betPushMarseille1.45Confidence 66%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 87%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostMarseille2.32Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderLostO1.51.90Confidence 54%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Gap 23

Marseille

Final 3–2

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 5

Draw after 60 minDraw 20% Went to a shootout

MAR to winTo win 63% GAP won

Score details

Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min2–24%chance
1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period0–09%chance
Highest scoring periodWon2nd periodMost goals2nd · 3 goals28%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 2-3
By period 0-2, 2-1, 0-0
Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 3-4 (3%), 4-5 (1%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 15+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record5-7-19-3-2

Home / road split3-2-14-2-1

StreakW2L2

Rest2 days2 days

Goals for2.43.3

Goals against3.72.6

In the standings10th3rd

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game−0.9+0.4

Goals for2.63.3

Goals against3.52.9

Shots on goal20.028.9

Shots against29.726.7

Shooting %13.0%11.4%

Save %88.9%89.1%

Power-play %3.0%18.2%

Penalty kill %77.8%77.8%

Faceoff %44.1%53.7%

Penalty minutes11.53.7

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Gap 14

Marseille

Marseille won four of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 6.0 GAP 2.0 · MAR 4.0

Over 5.5 goalsOver 5.5 3 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 1 of 5 1 in a shootout

Oct 9, 2026: Marseille 5, Gap 2.
Mar 4, 2026: Marseille 4, Gap 2.
Jan 16, 2026: Gap 4, Marseille 3, after a shootout.
Nov 30, 2025: Marseille 4, Gap 1.
Sep 16, 2025: Gap 1, Marseille 4.

Last five games

Gap 3-2-0

Win, 4–3 at Bordeaux, after overtime, Oct 27. Odds: Bordeaux 1.30, Gap 6.60.
Win, 4–1 against Nice, Oct 25. Odds: Gap 2.75, Nice 2.00.
Loss, 1–5 at Nice, Oct 23. Odds: Nice 1.55, Gap 4.25.
Win, 4–0 at Villard, Oct 20. Odds: Villard 7.00, Gap 1.28.
Loss, 4–5 against Bordeaux, Oct 16. Odds: Gap 3.95, Bordeaux 1.63.

Marseille 2-1-2

Overtime loss, 2–3 against Amiens, after overtime, Oct 27. Odds: Marseille 1.83, Amiens 3.10.
Overtime loss, 3–4 at Anglet, after overtime, Oct 25. Odds: Anglet 2.75, Marseille 2.02.
Win, 3–2 against Anglet, Oct 23. Odds: Marseille 1.47, Anglet 4.70.
Win, 10–0 at Morzine-Avoriaz, Oct 20. Odds: Morzine-Avoriaz 13.20, Marseille 1.08.
Loss, 4–5 at Amiens, Oct 16. Odds: Amiens 2.39, Marseille 2.39.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period0-0

No goals or penalties.

2nd period1-2

00:36 Goal Marseille: Larinmaa J. assists: Gradin A., Ishida R. 0-1
05:04 Goal Marseille: MacIntyre B. assists: Ishida R. 0-2
14:23 Goal PPG Gap: Fauchon Q. assists: Bouvet M., Matus R. 1-2

3rd period1-0

01:20 Goal Gap: Collin C. assists: Kyte P., Tsekos Z. 2-2

Overtime0-0

No goals or penalties.

Shootout1-0

Round 1 Murnieks D. missed MacIntyre B. missed
Round 2 Tsekos Z. missed Spinozzi K. missed
Round 3 Bouvet M. missed Gradin A. missed
Round 4 Kyte P. scored Limtong S. missed
Round 5 — Dufek J. missed

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

Goal differential gap of 1.3 per game — Gap −0.9, Marseille +0.4 over their recent games.
4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Marseille.
+0.8 goals at home — Gap averaged 2.8 at home and 2.0 away this season.
6.0 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
10th vs 3rd in the Ligue Magnus standings.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (GAP)	3.20	3.15	Shortened
1X2: X (draw)	4.20	4.20	No change
1X2: 2 (MAR)	1.80	1.85	Drifted
Over/Under line	5.5	5.5	No change
Handicap GAP	+1.5	+0.5	Line moved

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

Ligue Magnus standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Grenoble	14	11	1	2	35	1.250	60	29	+31
2	Rouen	16	12	3	1	34	1.063	51	29	+22
3	Marseille	15	9	3	3	28	.933	48	40	+8
4	Chamonix Mont-Blanc	14	6	4	4	22	.786	45	52	−7
5	Angers	15	7	6	2	22	.733	40	39	+1
6	Nice	14	7	6	1	21	.750	39	42	−3
7	Bordeaux	14	7	6	1	20	.714	45	40	+5
8	Amiens	14	7	6	1	20	.714	38	45	−7
9	Cergy-Pontoise	14	7	6	1	20	.714	42	42	0
10	Gap	14	6	7	1	16	.571	34	50	−16
11	Briancon	14	4	8	2	13	.464	27	39	−12
12	Anglet	14	3	11	0	7	.250	29	51	−22

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Play Out

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Gap vs Marseille prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details