GCK Lions vs Basel prediction
Chance to win · 31% and 49% in regulation
Gruter L.Started2-5-3
Haller F.Started6-2-2All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Full game
- 1X2LostBaselodds down 2.00Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO5.5odds up 1.64Confidence 58%
- HandicapWonGCK Lions +1.5odds down 1.36Confidence 65%
- Best tip of the game: Winner (incl. OT)LostBaselodds down 1.63Confidence 52%
- Double chanceWonBasel or drawodds down 1.34Confidence 70%
- Draw no betPushBaselodds down 1.55Confidence 63%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.07Confidence 87%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonBaselodds down 2.37Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5odds down 1.27Confidence 76%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the odds drifted 11% since they opened; the odds drifted 9% since they opened; a fallback pick in an evenly matched game; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.GCK Lions 3–4
Basel Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–4After 60 min3–33%chance
- 1st period correct scoreWon0–11st period0–117%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals3rd · 4 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-4
- By period 0-1, 2-2, 1-1
- Likeliest 3-4 (3%), 4-5 (1%), 5-6 (0%)
Season so far
This seasonGCK Lions
Basel
Head-to-head
GCK Lions 1–4
Basel - Feb 17, 2026: GCK Lions 1, Basel 4.
- Dec 23, 2025: Basel 5, GCK Lions 3.
- Nov 21, 2025: GCK Lions 2, Basel 3.
- Oct 21, 2025: GCK Lions 1, Basel 3.
- Sep 13, 2025: Basel 3, GCK Lions 4.
Last five games
GCK Lions
2-2-1 - Overtime loss, 1–2 at Thurgau, after overtime, Oct 10. Odds: Thurgau 1.64, GCK Lions 3.75.
- Loss, 3–4 at Arosa, Oct 6.
- Loss, 1–3 against Bellinzona Snakes, Oct 3.
- Win, 7–5 at Olten, Sep 29.
- Win, 4–3 against Visp, after overtime, Sep 26.
Basel
4-1-0 - Win, 5–2 against Arosa, Oct 10. Odds: Basel 1.15, Arosa 10.00.
- Loss, 6–9 at Sierre, Oct 6.
- Win, 1–0 against Visp, after overtime, Oct 3.
- Win, 3–1 at Chur, Sep 29.
- Win, 4–2 against Olten, Sep 27.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 03:01 Goal PPG Basel: Brugger S. assists: Kummer D., Liniger L. 0-1
2nd period1-0
- 09:06 Goal GCK Lions: Neuenschwander J. assists: Oejdemark V. 1-1
3rd period2-2
- 05:36 Goal GCK Lions: Tyutyayev K. assists: Neuenschwander J. 2-1
- 06:24 Goal GCK Lions: Ponzetto Y. assists: Peter L., Holzer N. 3-1
- 11:14 Goal PPG Basel: Hamr D. assists: Schaub J., Fuss N. 3-2
- 18:37 Goal Basel: Brugger S. assists: Aeschlimann M., Kummer D. 3-3
Overtime0-0
No goals or penalties.
Shootout1-0
-
Round 1
Tyutyayev K.
✓scored
Schaub J.
✗missed
-
Round 2
Haag V.
✗missed
Kummer D.
✗missed
-
Round 3
Dedial L.
✗missed
Fuss N.
✗missed
-
Round 4
Meier E.
✗missed
Brugger S.
✗missed
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for GCK Lions coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on GCK Lions dropped from 2.42 to 2.10 since they were first published.
- In goal: Gruter L. for GCK Lions (2-5-3 in the last 10 starts), Haller F. for Basel (6-2-2 in the last 10 starts).
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Basel.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for Basel.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (LIO) | 2.99 | 2.88 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.35 | 4.39 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (BAS) | 1.88 | 1.91 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap LIO | +0.5 | +0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Swiss League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sierre |
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 37 | 1.321 | 75 | 32 | +43 |
| 2 | Basel |
14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 1.107 | 51 | 40 | +11 |
| 3 |  Visp |
12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 1.167 | 47 | 18 | +29 |
| 4 |  Olten |
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 24 | .857 | 60 | 49 | +11 |
| 5 |  La Chaux-de-Fonds |
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 23 | .885 | 53 | 40 | +13 |
| 6 |  Thurgau |
14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 17 | .607 | 36 | 48 | −12 |
| 7 |  Chur |
14 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 16 | .571 | 44 | 49 | −5 |
| 8 |  Bellinzona Snakes |
14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 13 | .464 | 33 | 48 | −15 |
| 9 |  Arosa |
14 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 9 | .321 | 25 | 73 | −48 |
| 10 | GCK Lions |
15 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 9 | .300 | 33 | 60 | −27 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
GCK Lions host Basel in the Swiss League on Tuesday, October 13, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.