Gherdeina vs Vipiteno prediction
Chance to win · 65% and 18% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 68%Full game
- 1X2WonGherdeinaodds up 1.81Confidence 67%
- Over/UnderLostU6.5odds up 1.61Confidence 54%
- HandicapWonGherdeina -1.5odds up 2.18Confidence 59%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonGherdeinaodds up 1.50Confidence 77%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonGherdeina or drawodds up 1.33Confidence 82%
- Draw no betWonGherdeinaodds up 1.46Confidence 79%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.06Confidence 87%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostGherdeinaodds down 2.38Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.72Confidence 56%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min6–46%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–110%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 6 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (6%), 4-2 (4%), 5-1 (3%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Oct 29, 2026: Vipiteno 4, Gherdeina 0.
- Sep 24, 2026: Vipiteno 6, Gherdeina 5, after a shootout.
- Dec 22, 2025: Gherdeina 6, Vipiteno 3.
- Nov 22, 2025: Gherdeina 2, Vipiteno 6.
- Oct 9, 2025: Vipiteno 1, Gherdeina 2.
Last five games
- Win, 4–0 against Klagenfurt II, Oct 10.
- Loss, 1–2 at Ritten, Oct 8.
- Loss, 4–6 against Asiago, Oct 1.
- Win, 4–3 against Kitzbuhel, after a shootout, Sep 26.
- Overtime loss, 5–6 at Vipiteno, after a shootout, Sep 24.
- Loss, 3–5 against Acroni Jesenice, Oct 8.
- Loss, 1–4 against KHL Sisak, Oct 3.
- Loss, 3–8 at Kitzbuhel, Oct 1.
- Loss, 2–5 at Merano, Sep 26.
- Win, 6–5 against Gherdeina, after a shootout, Sep 24.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-1
- 05:54 Goal PPG Gherdeina: Pietroniro M. assists: Dostalek V., Moroder T. 1-0
- 19:26 Goal Vipiteno: Zecchetto A. assists: Hofer E., Ansons K. 1-1
2nd period5-1
- 00:21 Goal Gherdeina: Frenademez J. assists: Schiavone D., Deluca S. 2-1
- 00:58 Goal Vipiteno: Zecchetto A. assists: Belpedio N., Ansons K. 2-2
- 01:50 Goal Gherdeina: Bogdanov I. assists: Dostalek V. 3-2
- 05:24 Goal Gherdeina: Kasslatter H. assists: Colli A. 4-2
- 10:59 Goal PPG Gherdeina: Dostalek V. assists: Vozovik D., Pietroniro M. 5-2
- 13:06 Goal Gherdeina: Mandruzzato G. assists: Esposito N., Moroder T. 6-2
3rd period0-2
- 02:19 Goal Vipiteno: Randklev C. assists: Covelli M., Hell H. 6-3
- 07:27 Goal Vipiteno: Randklev C. assists: Brunner A. 6-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 4-game losing streak for Vipiteno coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 6 days off for Vipiteno, 4 for Gherdeina.
- In goal: Porter C. for Gherdeina (3-4-3 in the last 10 starts), Fiske J. for Vipiteno (2-6-2 in the last 10 starts).
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Vipiteno.
- 7.0 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (GHE) | 1.88 | 1.88 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.85 | 3.85 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (VIP) | 2.62 | 2.62 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6 | Line lowered |
| Handicap GHE | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Alps Hockey League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 36 | 1.125 | 59 | 30 | +29 | |
| 2 | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 34 | 1.063 | 72 | 55 | +17 | |
| 3 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 30 | 1.154 | 48 | 32 | +16 | |
| 4 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 29 | 1.036 | 51 | 34 | +17 | |
| 5 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 24 | .800 | 60 | 50 | +10 | |
| 6 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 19 | .731 | 30 | 37 | −7 | |
| 7 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 18 | .600 | 34 | 54 | −20 | |
| 8 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 17 | .654 | 44 | 36 | +8 | |
| 9 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 16 | .615 | 40 | 50 | −10 | |
| 10 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 15 | .536 | 42 | 51 | −9 | |
| 11 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 14 | .583 | 42 | 47 | −5 | |
| 12 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 10 | .385 | 34 | 57 | −23 | |
| 13 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .308 | 24 | 47 | −23 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Gherdeina host Vipiteno in the Alps Hockey League on Thursday, October 15, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.