Grand Rapids Griffins vs Texas Stars prediction
Chance to win · 57% and 23% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 67%Full game
- 1X2WonGrand Rapidsodds down 2.00Confidence 60%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds up 1.38Confidence 71%
- HandicapLostTexas +1.5odds up 1.36Confidence 53%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonGrand Rapidsodds down 1.67Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonGrand Rapids or drawodds down 1.39Confidence 79%
- Draw no betWonGrand Rapidsodds down 1.56Confidence 74%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.10Confidence 87%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonGrand Rapidsodds down 2.45Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds up 1.79Confidence 56%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; the odds drifted 6% since they opened; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Grand Rapids 3–2
Texas Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min6–24%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period3–19%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 4 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (2%), 5-4 (1%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formGrand Rapids Griffins
Texas Stars
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Grand Rapids 4–1
Texas - Feb 15, 2026: Grand Rapids Griffins 5, Texas Stars 0.
- Feb 13, 2026: Grand Rapids Griffins 4, Texas Stars 2.
- Jan 9, 2026: Grand Rapids Griffins 0, Texas Stars 2.
- Jan 7, 2026: Grand Rapids Griffins 3, Texas Stars 2.
- Nov 26, 2025: Texas Stars 3, Grand Rapids Griffins 6.
Last five games
Grand Rapids
4-0-1 - Win, 5–1 at Chicago Wolves, Nov 1. Odds: Chicago 2.68, Grand Rapids 2.11.
- Win, 5–2 against Cleveland Monsters, Oct 24. Odds: Grand Rapids 2.55, Cleveland 2.15.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Cleveland Monsters, after a shootout, Oct 23. Odds: Grand Rapids 2.10, Cleveland 2.65.
- Win, 4–3 against Manitoba Moose, Oct 21. Odds: Grand Rapids 2.20, Manitoba 2.55.
- Win, 5–1 against Rockford IceHogs, Oct 18. Odds: Grand Rapids 2.15, Rockford 2.45.
Texas
1-3-1 - Loss, 3–4 at Rockford IceHogs, Nov 1. Odds: Rockford 2.20, Texas 2.50.
- Loss, 3–6 at Chicago Wolves, Oct 31. Odds: Chicago 2.37, Texas 2.35.
- Win, 5–2 against Ontario Reign, Oct 24. Odds: Texas 2.55, Ontario 2.15.
- Loss, 3–5 against Ontario Reign, Oct 23. Odds: Texas 2.20, Ontario 2.50.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Manitoba Moose, after overtime, Oct 18. Odds: Manitoba 1.91, Texas 3.00.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period3-1
- 03:36 Goal Texas Stars: Sgarbossa M. assists: Bertucci T., Rickwood E. 0-1
- 10:28 Goal PPG Grand Rapids Griffins: Shine D. assists: Becher O., Sandin-Pellikka A. 1-1
- 11:13 Goal PPG Grand Rapids Griffins: Dower Nilsson N. 2-1
- 14:15 Goal Grand Rapids Griffins: Shine D. 3-1
2nd period0-1
- 00:36 Goal Texas Stars: Gleason B. 3-2
3rd period3-0
- 08:10 Goal Grand Rapids Griffins: Shine D. assists: Lagesson W., Bear C. 4-2
- 17:48 Goal Grand Rapids Griffins: Shine D. 5-2
- 19:01 Goal Grand Rapids Griffins: James D. 6-2
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 0-5-1 away for Texas Stars this season.
- 5-0-1 at home for Grand Rapids Griffins this season.
- Goal differential gap of 3.0 per game — Grand Rapids Griffins +1.7, Texas Stars −1.3 over their recent games.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Grand Rapids Griffins.
- 4-0-1 in the last five for Grand Rapids Griffins.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (GRG) | 1.91 | 1.91 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.40 | 4.40 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (TEX) | 3.00 | 3.00 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap GRG | −0.5 | −0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
AHL standings
Regular Season · Central Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grand Rapids Griffins |
14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 22 | .786 | 56 | 35 | +21 |
| 2 |  Manitoba Moose |
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 22 | .733 | 56 | 38 | +18 |
| 3 |  Milwaukee Admirals |
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 16 | .615 | 33 | 28 | +5 |
| 4 |  Iowa Wild |
16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 15 | .469 | 42 | 47 | −5 |
| 5 |  Chicago Wolves |
13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 13 | .500 | 36 | 46 | −10 |
| 6 |  Rockford IceHogs |
13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 11 | .423 | 33 | 43 | −10 |
| 7 | Texas Stars |
14 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 9 | .321 | 40 | 60 | −20 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Grand Rapids Griffins host Texas Stars in the AHL on Wednesday, November 4, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.