Graz99ers vs Villach Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Handicap Lost

Villach +2.5 1.30

Confidence70%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 68%

Full game

1X2WonGrazodds down 1.68Confidence 52%
Over/UnderWonU7.5odds down 1.25Confidence 71%
Best tip of the game: HandicapLostVillach +2.5odds up 1.30Confidence 70%
Winner (incl. OT)WonGrazodds down 1.34Confidence 64%
Double chanceWonGraz or drawodds down 1.24Confidence 73%
Draw no betWonGrazodds down 1.37Confidence 67%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.08Confidence 85%

1st period

1st period 1X2WonGrazodds down 2.18Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU2.51.27Confidence 78%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Graz 42

Villach

Final 4–1

Total goalsTotal 6 Actual 5

Draw after 60 minDraw 21% Decided in regulation

GRA to winTo win 63% GRA won

Score details

Correct scoreLost4–2After 60 min4–14%chance
1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period2–018%chance
Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 3rd29%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 4-2
By period 1-0, 1-1, 2-1
Likeliest 4-2 (4%), 3-1 (4%), 3-2 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record9-4-36-5-3

Home / road split5-2-12-4-1

StreakW1L1

Rest1 day3 days

Goals for2.92.8

Goals against2.92.8

In the standings6th12th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+0.4+0.6

Goals for3.33.0

Goals against2.92.4

Shots on goal33.328.2

Shots against27.037.3

Shooting %9.9%10.6%

Save %89.6%93.6%

Power-play %16.3%23.5%

Penalty kill %87.8%83.7%

Faceoff %45.6%50.2%

Penalty minutes12.510.7

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Graz 50

Villach

Graz99ers won five of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 5.4 GRA 4.0 · VIL 1.4

Over 6.0 goalsOver 6.0 1 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 1 of 5 1 in overtime

Oct 16, 2026: Villach 2, Graz99ers 4.
Mar 17, 2026: Villach 2, Graz99ers 6.
Mar 14, 2026: Graz99ers 3, Villach 1.
Mar 12, 2026: Villach 1, Graz99ers 5.
Mar 10, 2026: Graz99ers 2, Villach 1, after overtime.

Last five games

Graz 3-1-1

Win, 3–1 against Klagenfurt, Oct 30. Odds: Graz 1.75, Klagenfurt 3.40.
Overtime loss, 3–4 at Ferencvaros, after overtime, Oct 28. Odds: Ferencvaros 3.40, Graz 1.75.
Win, 3–2 at Vienna Capitals, Oct 25. Odds: Vienna 2.75, Graz 2.05.
Loss, 2–5 against Black Wings Linz, Oct 23. Odds: Graz 1.77, Linz 3.30.
Win, 5–3 against Milano, Oct 21. Odds: Graz 1.44, Milano 4.75.

Villach 2-2-1

Loss, 2–3 at Bolzano, Oct 28. Odds: Bolzano 1.33, Villach 5.75.
Win, 4–0 against TWK Innsbruck, Oct 25. Odds: Villach 1.59, Innsbruck 3.80.
Win, 4–1 against Ferencvaros, Oct 21. Odds: Villach 1.82, Ferencvaros 2.82.
Overtime loss, 2–3 against Val Pusteria, after overtime, Oct 18. Odds: Villach 2.22, Val Pusteria 2.22.
Loss, 2–4 against Graz99ers, Oct 16. Odds: Villach 2.68, Graz 2.10.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period2-0

08:22 Goal Graz99ers: Currie J. assists: Huber P. 1-0
09:44 Goal Graz99ers: Holm O. assists: Brunner N. 2-0

2nd period0-1

19:43 Goal Villach: Teasdale J. assists: Sproul R. 2-1

3rd period2-0

06:52 Goal Graz99ers: Ganahl M. assists: Stapelfeldt P. 3-1
17:47 Goal Graz99ers: Swaney N. assists: Roy K. 4-1

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

Odds moved: the odds on Graz99ers dropped from 1.47 to 1.27 since they were first published.
Rest advantage: 3 days off for Villach, 1 for Graz99ers.
5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Graz99ers.
In goal: Kiviaho H. for Graz99ers (5-4-1 in the last 10 starts), Cannata J. for Villach (4-3-3 in the last 10 starts).
−1.9 goals away — Villach averaged 3.7 at home and 1.9 away this season.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (GRA)	1.40	1.40	No change
1X2: X (draw)	5.30	5.30	No change
1X2: 2 (VIL)	5.70	5.70	No change
Over/Under line	6	6	No change
Handicap GRA	−1.5	−1.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

ICE Hockey League standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Bolzano	17	13	1	3	39	1.147	70	41	+29
2	Black Wings Linz	17	12	4	1	36	1.059	66	47	+19
3	HK Olimpija	17	12	5	0	35	1.029	73	43	+30
4	Val Pusteria	15	11	3	1	32	1.067	45	33	+12
5	Klagenfurt	17	10	6	1	30	.882	65	51	+14
6	Graz99ers	17	10	4	3	30	.882	50	47	+3
7	Salzburg	17	9	7	1	28	.824	55	52	+3
8	Milano	18	7	9	2	23	.639	55	61	−6
9	Ferencvaros	16	8	7	1	22	.688	49	55	−6
10	Vienna Capitals	16	7	7	2	21	.656	42	46	−4
11	Fehervar AV19	18	7	8	3	21	.583	38	61	−23
12	Villach	15	6	6	3	20	.667	40	43	−3
13	TWK Innsbruck	18	6	12	0	15	.417	36	59	−23
14	Vorarlberg	18	0	16	2	2	.056	40	85	−45

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Graz99ers vs Villach prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details