Gruner vs Kongsvinger prediction
Chance to win · 51% and 30% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Full game
- 1X2WonGruner2.17Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostO4.5Confidence 72%
- HandicapLostKongsvinger +1.5Confidence 64%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonGrunerConfidence 62%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonGruner or draw1.42Confidence 71%
- Draw no betWonGrunerConfidence 64%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYesConfidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonGrunerConfidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5Confidence 56%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min3–04%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–08%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goalsTie · all three30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 1-2, 0-0
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (3%), 5-4 (1%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Oct 28, 2026: Kongsvinger 3, Gruner 2, after a shootout.
- Feb 28, 2026: Gruner 2, Kongsvinger 3, after overtime.
- Feb 25, 2026: Kongsvinger 5, Gruner 4.
- Dec 12, 2025: Gruner 3, Kongsvinger 2.
- Nov 15, 2025: Gruner 4, Kongsvinger 1.
Last five games
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at Kongsvinger, after a shootout, Oct 28.
- Win, 6–2 at Manglerud, Oct 24.
- Loss, 3–5 against Manglerud, Oct 21. Odds: Gruner 1.75, Manglerud 3.30.
- Loss, 0–2 at Ski Elite, Oct 17.
- Win, 6–2 against Ski Elite, Oct 10.
- Win, 3–2 against Gruner, after a shootout, Oct 28.
- Win, 5–2 at Ski Elite, Oct 24. Odds: Ski Elite 1.88, Kongsvinger 3.05.
- Win, 4–1 against Ski Elite, Oct 21. Odds: Kongsvinger 2.20, Ski Elite 2.45.
- Loss, 2–4 against Comet, Oct 17. Odds: Kongsvinger 9.70, Comet 1.21.
- Loss, 3–4 against Comet, Oct 10. Odds: Kongsvinger 6.75, Comet 1.25.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 10:00 Goal Gruner: Nergard B. assists: Nagell M. L., Skjervold K. 1-0
2nd period1-0
- 02:09 Goal Gruner: Rosenblad Johansen M. S. assists: Nilsson S., Lunde-Sletten I. 2-0
3rd period1-0
- 08:19 Goal SHG Gruner: Lavik E. assists: Nergard B. 3-0
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Kongsvinger coming into this game.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Kongsvinger.
- +2.2 goals at home — Gruner averaged 4.8 at home and 2.6 away this season.
- 5.8 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games.
- 5th vs 7th in the Division 1 standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (GRU) | 2.18 | 2.18 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.10 | 4.10 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (KON) | 2.55 | 2.55 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Division 1 standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 32 | 1.333 | 48 | 24 | +24 | |
| 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 26 | 1.083 | 51 | 27 | +24 | |
| 3 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 20 | .833 | 42 | 39 | +3 | |
| 4 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 15 | .682 | 39 | 41 | −2 | |
| 5 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 15 | .625 | 40 | 40 | 0 | |
| 6 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 13 | .650 | 22 | 34 | −12 | |
| 7 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 11 | .458 | 32 | 43 | −11 | |
| 8 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 9 | .346 | 20 | 46 | −26 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Gruner host Kongsvinger in the Division 1 on Saturday, October 31, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.