Gruner vs Lorenskog prediction
Chance to win · 41% and 39% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks · Average confidence 62%Full game
- 1X2Grunerodds up 2.40Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderU8.5odds down 1.30Confidence 77%
- HandicapGruner +1.5odds up 1.38Confidence 69%
- Winner (incl. OT)Grunerodds up 1.90Confidence 51%
- Double chanceGruner or drawodds down 1.46Confidence 65%
- Draw no betGrunerConfidence 51%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)YesConfidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2Grunerodds up 2.65Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderO1.5odds up 1.53Confidence 56%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct score3–23%chance
- 1st period correct score2–07%chance
- Highest scoring period2nd period30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 1-2, 0-0
- Likeliest 3-2 (3%), 4-2 (3%), 5-2 (3%)
Season so far
This seasonLast five games
- Win, 3–0 against Kongsvinger, Oct 31. Odds: Gruner 2.18, Kongsvinger 2.55.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at Kongsvinger, after a shootout, Oct 28.
- Win, 6–2 at Manglerud, Oct 24.
- Loss, 3–5 against Manglerud, Oct 21. Odds: Gruner 1.75, Manglerud 3.30.
- Loss, 0–2 at Ski Elite, Oct 17.
- Win, 8–1 at Ski Elite, Oct 31. Odds: Ski Elite 4.65, Lorenskog 1.47.
- Loss, 1–2 against Ski Elite, Oct 28. Odds: Lorenskog 1.21, Ski Elite 8.65.
- Loss, 1–4 against Comet, Oct 24.
- Loss, 0–3 at Comet, Oct 21. Odds: Comet 1.44, Lorenskog 5.10.
- Win, 6–4 against Tromso, Oct 11.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- +1.8 goals at home — Gruner averaged 4.4 at home and 2.6 away this season.
- 5th vs 3rd in the Division 1 standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (GRU) | 2.35 | 2.35 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.30 | 4.30 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (LOR) | 2.23 | 2.23 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 7 | 6.5 | Line lowered |
| Handicap GRU | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Division 1 standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 32 | 1.333 | 48 | 24 | +24 | |
| 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 26 | 1.083 | 51 | 27 | +24 | |
| 3 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 20 | .833 | 42 | 39 | +3 | |
| 4 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 15 | .682 | 39 | 41 | −2 | |
| 5 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 15 | .625 | 40 | 40 | 0 | |
| 6 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 13 | .650 | 22 | 34 | −12 | |
| 7 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 11 | .458 | 32 | 43 | −11 | |
| 8 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 9 | .346 | 20 | 46 | −26 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Gruner host Lorenskog in the Division 1 on Wednesday, November 11, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.