Guelph Storm vs Sudbury Wolves prediction
Chance to win · 38% and 41% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Full game
- 1X2LostSudburyodds up 3.25Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonO5.51.40Confidence 71%
- HandicapLostSudbury +1.51.67Confidence 68%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostSudburyodds up 2.45Confidence 51%
- Double chanceLostSudbury or drawodds up 1.77Confidence 66%
- Draw no betLostSudburyodds up 2.55Confidence 51%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.04Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonSudburyodds up 3.15Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.51.60Confidence 58%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: an edge above the model’s usual ceiling; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–5After 60 min5–23%chance
- 1st period correct scoreWon0–21st period0–26%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals3rd · 4 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-5
- By period 0-2, 1-2, 1-1
- Likeliest 2-5 (3%), 2-4 (3%), 3-5 (2%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Dec 19, 2025: Sudbury Wolves 6, Guelph Storm 2.
- Nov 30, 2025: Guelph Storm 6, Sudbury Wolves 2.
- Feb 17, 2025: Guelph Storm 7, Sudbury Wolves 6.
- Nov 22, 2024: Sudbury Wolves 6, Guelph Storm 2.
Last five games
- Win, 3–2 against Flint Firebirds, after overtime, Oct 16. Odds: Guelph 1.40, Flint 5.50.
- Win, 5–2 at Sarnia Sting, Oct 14. Odds: Sarnia 4.95, Guelph 1.46.
- Win, 10–5 at Owen Sound Attack, Oct 10.
- Win, 3–2 against Owen Sound Attack, Oct 9.
- Win, 6–0 against Kitchener Rangers, Oct 4.
- Loss, 1–4 at London Knights, Oct 16. Odds: London 2.18, Sudbury 2.51.
- Win, 6–2 at Windsor Spitfires, Oct 15. Odds: Windsor 2.76, Sudbury 2.11.
- Win, 7–3 against Peterborough Petes, Oct 9. Odds: Sudbury 1.90, Peterborough 3.00.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at North Bay Battalion, after overtime, Oct 8.
- Win, 7–1 against Niagara IceDogs, Oct 2.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-2
- 06:54 Goal Sudbury Wolves: Smith P. 0-1
- 12:08 Goal SHG Sudbury Wolves: Walker M. assists: Provorov V. 0-2
2nd period1-0
- 18:35 Goal Guelph Storm: Roobroeck R. assists: Czata E., Dravecky V. 1-2
3rd period4-0
- 06:30 Goal Guelph Storm: Griffin O. assists: Jovanovski Z. 2-2
- 11:18 Goal Guelph Storm: Shybinskyi I. 3-2
- 14:40 Goal Guelph Storm: Hopkins T. assists: Dravecky V. 4-2
- 15:22 Goal Guelph Storm: Stevens C. 5-2
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 8-game winning streak for Guelph Storm coming into this game.
- 5-1-0 at home for Guelph Storm this season.
- −1.0 goals away — Sudbury Wolves averaged 5.0 at home and 4.0 away this season.
- Head-to-head level at 2-2 after the last 4 meetings.
- 9.3 goals per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the total is 6.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (GUE) | 1.72 | 1.72 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.20 | 4.20 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (SUD) | 3.65 | 3.65 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6.5 | No change |
| Handicap GUE | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
OHL standings
Regular Season · Midwest Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 30 | .833 | 81 | 53 | +28 | |
| 2 | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 24 | .706 | 71 | 59 | +12 | |
| 3 | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 23 | .605 | 61 | 56 | +5 | |
| 4 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 22 | .579 | 60 | 65 | −5 | |
| 5 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 15 | .395 | 49 | 78 | −29 |
Regular Season · Central Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 27 | .711 | 76 | 53 | +23 | |
| 2 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 17 | .500 | 50 | 64 | −14 | |
| 3 | 19 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 15 | .395 | 68 | 79 | −11 | |
| 4 | 19 | 4 | 13 | 2 | 10 | .263 | 52 | 83 | −31 | |
| 5 | 19 | 3 | 13 | 3 | 9 | .237 | 41 | 73 | −32 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Guelph Storm host Sudbury Wolves in the OHL on Sunday, October 18, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.