Guildford vs Coventry prediction
Chance to win · 46% and 33% in regulation
Fazio J.StartedSV 87.8% · GAA 4.43 · 4-4-1
Heikkeri S.StartedSV 92% · GAA 2.50 · 7-3-0All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 61%Full game
- 1X2WonGuildfordodds down 1.92Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonU6.5odds down 1.60Confidence 58%
- HandicapWonCoventry +1.51.47Confidence 65%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonGuildford1.58Confidence 57%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonGuildford or drawodds up 1.30Confidence 66%
- Draw no betWonGuildfordodds down 1.55Confidence 58%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.05Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostGuildfordodds up 2.35Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds up 1.71Confidence 58%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Guildford 3–2
Coventry Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min2–14%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–08%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon2nd periodMost goals2nd · 2 goals27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 1-2, 0-0
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 2-1 (2%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 12+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formGuildford
Coventry
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Guildford 3–2
Coventry - Oct 25, 2026: Coventry 3, Guildford 5.
- Mar 22, 2026: Guildford 4, Coventry 0.
- Feb 28, 2026: Coventry 2, Guildford 3.
- Jan 10, 2026: Guildford 2, Coventry 3, after overtime.
- Dec 20, 2025: Guildford 1, Coventry 2, after a shootout.
Last five games
Guildford
2-2-1 - Overtime loss, 3–4 at Sheffield, after a shootout, Oct 18. Odds: Sheffield 1.78, Guildford 3.07.
- Win, 4–3 against Manchester, after a shootout, Oct 17. Odds: Guildford 1.77, Manchester 3.16.
- Win, 6–2 at Glasgow, Oct 11.
- Loss, 2–10 at Fife, Oct 10. Odds: Fife 3.50, Guildford 1.60.
- Loss, 3–6 against Nottingham, Oct 4.
Coventry
3-1-1 - Win, 2–1 against Nottingham, after a shootout, Oct 18. Odds: Coventry 2.65, Nottingham 2.02.
- Overtime loss, 4–5 at Cardiff, after overtime, Oct 17. Odds: Cardiff 1.63, Coventry 3.73.
- Win, 8–2 against Dundee, Oct 11. Odds: Coventry 1.38, Dundee 5.71.
- Loss, 0–1 against Belfast, Oct 10. Odds: Coventry 2.95, Belfast 1.76.
- Win, 3–1 at Fife, Oct 7.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
No goals or penalties.
2nd period1-1
- 14:52 Goal Coventry: Richardson R. assists: Kaspick T. 0-1
- 16:12 Goal Guildford: Sanford C. assists: Waller J., Gosselin M. 1-1
3rd period1-0
- 17:05 Goal Guildford: Lavoie A. assists: Busch T., McFaul D. 2-1
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- In goal: Fazio J. for Guildford (4-4-1 in the last 9 starts), Heikkeri S. for Coventry (7-3-0 in the last 10 starts).
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Guildford.
- +1.3 goals at home — Guildford averaged 4.0 at home and 2.8 away this season.
- Save % gap: Guildford 88.4%, Coventry 92.8% over their recent games.
- 5.0 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (GUI) | 1.92 | 1.92 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.40 | 4.40 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (COV) | 2.86 | 2.86 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6 | 6 | No change |
| Handicap GUI | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Challenge Cup standings
Regular Season · Group A
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sheffield |
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 14 | .700 | 34 | 23 | +11 |
| 2 |  Cardiff |
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13 | .650 | 29 | 27 | +2 |
| 3 | Guildford |
10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | .600 | 34 | 31 | +3 |
| 4 |  Nottingham |
10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | .600 | 28 | 30 | −2 |
| 5 | Coventry |
10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 9 | .450 | 25 | 33 | −8 |
| 6 |  Manchester |
10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | .450 | 28 | 34 | −6 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Guildford host Coventry in the Challenge Cup on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.