Guildford vs Manchester prediction
Chance to win · 54% and 26% in regulation
Fazio J.StartedSV 87.8% · GAA 4.67 · 4-4-1
Weninger E.StartedSV 92% · GAA 2.75 · 3-4-3All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Full game
- 1X2LostGuildfordodds up 1.69Confidence 55%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU7.51.48Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonManchester +1.51.62Confidence 63%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonGuildfordodds up 1.44Confidence 63%
- Double chanceWonGuildford or drawodds up 1.23Confidence 71%
- Draw no betPushGuildford1.42Confidence 66%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 88%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostGuildfordodds up 2.13Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds up 1.55Confidence 56%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Guildford 3–2
Manchester Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min3–34%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period2–29%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals1st · 4 goals27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 1-2, 0-0
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (3%), 2-1 (3%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 10+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formGuildford
Manchester
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Guildford 3–2
Manchester - Sep 27, 2026: Manchester 4, Guildford 3.
- Apr 5, 2026: Guildford 2, Manchester 1.
- Mar 27, 2026: Manchester 1, Guildford 5.
- Mar 21, 2026: Manchester 4, Guildford 1.
- Feb 8, 2026: Guildford 4, Manchester 3, after overtime.
Last five games
Guildford
2-3-0 - Win, 6–2 at Glasgow, Oct 11.
- Loss, 2–10 at Fife, Oct 10. Odds: Fife 3.50, Guildford 1.60.
- Loss, 3–6 against Nottingham, Oct 4.
- Win, 4–3 against Glasgow, Oct 3.
- Loss, 3–4 at Manchester, Sep 27.
Manchester
1-3-1 - Loss, 3–4 against Sheffield, Oct 11.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 against Nottingham, after a shootout, Oct 10.
- Win, 4–3 at Dundee, after overtime, Oct 7.
- Loss, 1–3 at Coventry, Oct 4.
- Loss, 0–2 at Cardiff, Oct 3.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-2
- 00:49 Goal Guildford: Power J. assists: Gosselin M., McFaul D. 1-0
- 08:25 Goal PPG Guildford: Gosselin M. assists: Waller J. 2-0
- 10:23 Goal Manchester: Karlsson A. assists: Gilmour B. 2-1
- 16:55 Goal Manchester: Cutler B. assists: Kudla P. 2-2
2nd period0-0
No goals or penalties.
3rd period1-1
- 06:15 Goal Guildford: Sanford C. assists: Gosselin M. 3-2
- 07:41 Goal Manchester: Dudek J. assists: Nardi J. 3-3
Overtime0-0
No goals or penalties.
Shootout1-0
-
Round 1
Waller J.
✓scored
Dudek J.
✗missed
-
Round 2
Ducharme J.
✗missed
Maksimovich K.
✗missed
-
Round 3
Jacome J.
✗missed
McGauley T.
✗missed
-
Round 4
Sanford C.
✗missed
Cutler B.
✗missed
-
Round 5
Gosselin M.
✓scored
—
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- In goal: Fazio J. for Guildford (4-4-1 in the last 9 starts), Weninger E. for Manchester (3-4-3 in the last 10 starts).
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Guildford.
- 1-3-1 in the last five for Manchester.
- Save % gap: Guildford 89.4%, Manchester 92.9% over their recent games.
- 5.6 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (GUI) | 1.71 | 1.77 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.75 | 4.60 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (MAN) | 3.25 | 3.16 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6.5 | No change |
| Handicap GUI | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Challenge Cup standings
Regular Season · Group A
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sheffield |
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 14 | .700 | 34 | 23 | +11 |
| 2 |  Cardiff |
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13 | .650 | 29 | 27 | +2 |
| 3 | Guildford |
10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | .600 | 34 | 31 | +3 |
| 4 |  Nottingham |
10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | .600 | 28 | 30 | −2 |
| 5 |  Coventry |
10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 9 | .450 | 25 | 33 | −8 |
| 6 | Manchester |
10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | .450 | 28 | 34 | −6 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Guildford host Manchester in the Challenge Cup on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.