Hameenlinna U20 vs Kiekko-Espoo U20 prediction
Chance to win · 51% and 28% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Full game
- 1X2LostHPK U20odds up 1.69Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonO4.5odds up 1.35Confidence 72%
- HandicapWonK-Espoo U20 +1.5odds down 1.57Confidence 64%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostHPK U20odds up 1.42Confidence 63%
- Double chanceLostHPK U20 or drawodds up 1.21Confidence 71%
- Draw no betLostHPK U20Confidence 65%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 88%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostHPK U20odds up 2.19Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds up 1.76Confidence 56%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min4–84%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–29%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 6 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (3%), 5-4 (1%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Nov 29, 2025: Kiekko-Espoo U20 5, Hameenlinna U20 1.
- Sep 28, 2025: Hameenlinna U20 1, Kiekko-Espoo U20 2.
- Jan 25, 2025: Kiekko-Espoo U20 4, Hameenlinna U20 3.
- Nov 2, 2024: Hameenlinna U20 4, Kiekko-Espoo U20 8.
Last five games
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Lukko U20, after overtime, Oct 17. Odds: HPK U20 1.62, Lukko U20 3.60.
- Loss, 1–3 against Karpat U20, Oct 10.
- Win, 7–4 against Jukurit U20, Oct 7.
- Win, 5–0 at Tappara U20, Oct 3.
- Win, 7–1 at Jukurit U20, Sep 27.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Jukurit U20, after a shootout, Oct 17. Odds: K-Espoo U20 1.43, Jukurit U20 5.00.
- Win, 6–3 against Assat U20, Oct 15. Odds: K-Espoo U20 1.58, Assat U20 4.00.
- Loss, 2–4 at IFK Helsinki U20, Oct 11.
- Win, 5–2 at KooKoo U20, Oct 10.
- Win, 6–4 against Pelicans Lahti U20, Oct 9. Odds: K-Espoo U20 2.10, Pelicans U20 2.62.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-2
- 04:38 Goal Hameenlinna U20: Viitaluoma V. assists: Huttunen R., Klima F. 1-0
- 05:53 Goal Kiekko-Espoo U20: Fredrikson J. assists: Granholm E., Vikla A. 1-1
- 16:08 Goal Kiekko-Espoo U20: Keinanen J. assists: Hirschovits J., Jaderholm H. 1-2
2nd period2-4
- 04:22 Goal Kiekko-Espoo U20: Sundberg C. assists: Vikla A., Keinanen J. 1-3
- 10:14 Goal Kiekko-Espoo U20: Arkiomaa V. assists: Kurri P., Vikla A. 1-4
- 11:03 Goal Hameenlinna U20: Seikkula E. assists: Laine P., Kostjukovs K. 2-4
- 14:32 Goal Kiekko-Espoo U20: Suominen L. assists: Torkki J., Granholm E. 2-5
- 15:31 Goal Kiekko-Espoo U20: Keinanen J. assists: Hirschovits J., Joutsen O. 2-6
- 16:21 Goal Hameenlinna U20: Lehtonen O. assists: Makinen I., Laamanen E. 3-6
3rd period1-2
- 11:28 Goal PPG Kiekko-Espoo U20: Fredrikson J. assists: Tenhunen R., Pahkamaa J. 3-7
- 12:07 Goal Hameenlinna U20: Lappalainen M. assists: Nitz R. 4-7
- 16:02 Goal ENG Kiekko-Espoo U20: Arkiomaa V. assists: Hirschovits J. 4-8
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 4-0 in the last 4 meetings for Kiekko-Espoo U20.
- −1.1 goals away — Kiekko-Espoo U20 averaged 4.3 at home and 3.2 away this season.
- 7.0 goals per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
- 8th vs 5th in the SM-sarja U20 standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (HAM) | 1.83 | 1.83 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.15 | 4.15 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (KEU) | 3.15 | 3.15 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap HAM | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
SM-sarja U20 standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 1.083 | 64 | 39 | +25 | |
| 2 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 1.059 | 58 | 40 | +18 | |
| 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 36 | .947 | 69 | 55 | +14 | |
| 4 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | .917 | 54 | 52 | +2 | |
| 5 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 31 | .861 | 72 | 52 | +20 | |
| 6 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 29 | .853 | 52 | 56 | −4 | |
| 7 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 28 | .875 | 47 | 37 | +10 | |
| 8 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | .964 | 56 | 36 | +20 | |
| 9 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 27 | .844 | 48 | 49 | −1 | |
| 10 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 26 | .722 | 58 | 49 | +9 | |
| 11 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 24 | .750 | 58 | 63 | −5 | |
| 12 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 22 | .688 | 51 | 55 | −4 | |
| 13 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .656 | 62 | 59 | +3 | |
| 14 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 21 | .656 | 54 | 59 | −5 | |
| 15 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .656 | 51 | 58 | −7 | |
| 16 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 15 | .469 | 41 | 55 | −14 | |
| 17 | 17 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 11 | .324 | 35 | 63 | −28 | |
| 18 | 18 | 2 | 15 | 1 | 6 | .167 | 41 | 94 | −53 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Hameenlinna U20 host Kiekko-Espoo U20 in the SM-sarja U20 on Wednesday, October 21, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.