Hameenlinna U20 vs Lukko U20 prediction
Chance to win · 58% and 22% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 67%Full game
- 1X2LostHPK U20odds down 1.77Confidence 61%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderLostO4.51.43Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonLukko U20 +1.51.52Confidence 58%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostHPK U20odds down 1.47Confidence 70%
- Double chanceWonHPK U20 or drawodds down 1.24Confidence 80%
- Draw no betPushHPK U20Confidence 75%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 85%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostHPK U20odds down 2.28Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.84Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
HPK U20 3–2
Lukko U20 Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min2–24%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–09%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 3 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (2%), 5-4 (1%)
Season so far
This seasonHameenlinna U20
Lukko U20
Head-to-head
HPK U20 2–3
Lukko U20 - Feb 14, 2026: Hameenlinna U20 2, Lukko U20 4.
- Oct 25, 2025: Lukko U20 0, Hameenlinna U20 5.
- Feb 28, 2025: Hameenlinna U20 1, Lukko U20 4.
- Feb 13, 2025: Lukko U20 3, Hameenlinna U20 4, after a shootout.
- Oct 26, 2024: Lukko U20 6, Hameenlinna U20 3.
Last five games
HPK U20
3-1-1 - Loss, 1–3 against Karpat U20, Oct 10.
- Win, 7–4 against Jukurit U20, Oct 7.
- Win, 5–0 at Tappara U20, Oct 3.
- Win, 7–1 at Jukurit U20, Sep 27.
- Overtime loss, 5–6 at KalPa U20, after overtime, Sep 26.
Lukko U20
4-1-0 - Win, 5–0 against KooKoo U20, Oct 16. Odds: Lukko U20 1.50, KooKoo U20 4.55.
- Win, 4–1 at Ilves U20, Oct 10.
- Win, 6–4 against RoKi U20, Oct 9. Odds: Lukko U20 1.15, RoKi U20 10.00.
- Win, 4–1 at RoKi U20, Oct 3.
- Loss, 1–5 at Karpat U20, Oct 2.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- Second game in two days for Lukko U20, who played yesterday.
- 4-game winning streak for Lukko U20 coming into this game.
- 4-1-0 at home for Hameenlinna U20 this season.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Lukko U20.
- −1.1 goals away — Lukko U20 averaged 4.0 at home and 2.9 away this season.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (HAM) | 1.76 | 1.62 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.00 | 4.40 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (LUK) | 3.30 | 3.60 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap HAM | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
SM-sarja U20 standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  IFK Helsinki U20 |
18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 1.083 | 64 | 39 | +25 |
| 2 |  Pelicans Lahti U20 |
17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 1.059 | 58 | 40 | +18 |
| 3 |  Karpat U20 |
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 36 | .947 | 69 | 55 | +14 |
| 4 |  Jukurit U20 |
18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | .917 | 54 | 52 | +2 |
| 5 |  Kiekko-Espoo U20 |
18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 31 | .861 | 72 | 52 | +20 |
| 6 |  Tappara U20 |
17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 29 | .853 | 52 | 56 | −4 |
| 7 | Lukko U20 |
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 28 | .875 | 47 | 37 | +10 |
| 8 | Hameenlinna U20 |
14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | .964 | 56 | 36 | +20 |
| 9 |  TPS U20 |
16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 27 | .844 | 48 | 49 | −1 |
| 10 |  Jokerit U20 |
18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 26 | .722 | 58 | 49 | +9 |
| 11 |  Ilves U20 |
16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 24 | .750 | 58 | 63 | −5 |
| 12 |  KalPa U20 |
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 22 | .688 | 51 | 55 | −4 |
| 13 |  Vaasan Sport U20 |
16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .656 | 62 | 59 | +3 |
| 14 |  SaiPa U20 |
16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 21 | .656 | 54 | 59 | −5 |
| 15 |  Jyvaskyla U20 |
16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .656 | 51 | 58 | −7 |
| 16 |  Assat U20 |
16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 15 | .469 | 41 | 55 | −14 |
| 17 |  KooKoo U20 |
17 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 11 | .324 | 35 | 63 | −28 |
| 18 |  RoKi U20 |
18 | 2 | 15 | 1 | 6 | .167 | 41 | 94 | −53 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Hameenlinna U20 host Lukko U20 in the SM-sarja U20 on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.