Hameenlinna U20 vs Lukko U20 prediction
Chance to win · 54% and 25% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks · Average confidence 66%Full game
- 1X2HPK U201.84Confidence 56%
- Over/UnderU6.51.36Confidence 71%
- HandicapLukko U20 +1.5odds up 1.50Confidence 63%
- Winner (incl. OT)HPK U201.51Confidence 68%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceHPK U20 or draw1.26Confidence 76%
- Draw no betHPK U20Confidence 71%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)YesConfidence 85%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2HPK U202.34Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderO1.51.85Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
HPK U20 3–2
Lukko U20 Score details
- Correct score3–24%chance
- 1st period correct score2–09%chance
- Highest scoring period3rd period28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 2-1 (3%)
Season so far
This seasonHameenlinna U20
Lukko U20
Head-to-head
HPK U20 2–3
Lukko U20 - Oct 17, 2026: Hameenlinna U20 2, Lukko U20 3, after overtime.
- Feb 14, 2026: Hameenlinna U20 2, Lukko U20 4.
- Oct 25, 2025: Lukko U20 0, Hameenlinna U20 5.
- Feb 28, 2025: Hameenlinna U20 1, Lukko U20 4.
- Feb 13, 2025: Lukko U20 3, Hameenlinna U20 4, after a shootout.
Last five games
HPK U20
1-3-1 - Loss, 0–1 at TPS U20, Oct 28. Odds: TPS U20 2.60, HPK U20 2.12.
- Win, 4–2 at Ilves U20, Oct 23. Odds: Ilves U20 2.55, HPK U20 2.08.
- Loss, 4–8 against Kiekko-Espoo U20, Oct 21. Odds: HPK U20 1.83, K-Espoo U20 3.15.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Lukko U20, after overtime, Oct 17. Odds: HPK U20 1.62, Lukko U20 3.60.
- Loss, 1–3 against Karpat U20, Oct 10.
Lukko U20
2-3-0 - Loss, 2–5 at Tappara U20, Oct 31. Odds: Tappara U20 2.55, Lukko U20 2.15.
- Loss, 0–1 against Pelicans Lahti U20, Oct 24. Odds: Lukko U20 2.35, Pelicans U20 2.35.
- Loss, 2–4 at Assat U20, Oct 23. Odds: Assat U20 3.80, Lukko U20 1.62.
- Win, 3–2 at Hameenlinna U20, after overtime, Oct 17. Odds: HPK U20 1.62, Lukko U20 3.60.
- Win, 5–0 against KooKoo U20, Oct 16. Odds: Lukko U20 1.50, KooKoo U20 4.55.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Lukko U20 coming into this game.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Lukko U20.
- 1-3-1 in the last five for Hameenlinna U20.
- 5.6 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
- 8th vs 7th in the SM-sarja U20 standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (HAM) | 1.85 | 1.85 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.15 | 4.15 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (LUK) | 3.10 | 3.10 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap HAM | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
SM-sarja U20 standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  IFK Helsinki U20 |
18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 1.083 | 64 | 39 | +25 |
| 2 |  Pelicans Lahti U20 |
17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 1.059 | 58 | 40 | +18 |
| 3 |  Karpat U20 |
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 36 | .947 | 69 | 55 | +14 |
| 4 |  Jukurit U20 |
18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | .917 | 54 | 52 | +2 |
| 5 |  Kiekko-Espoo U20 |
18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 31 | .861 | 72 | 52 | +20 |
| 6 |  Tappara U20 |
17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 29 | .853 | 52 | 56 | −4 |
| 7 | Lukko U20 |
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 28 | .875 | 47 | 37 | +10 |
| 8 | Hameenlinna U20 |
14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | .964 | 56 | 36 | +20 |
| 9 |  TPS U20 |
16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 27 | .844 | 48 | 49 | −1 |
| 10 |  Jokerit U20 |
18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 26 | .722 | 58 | 49 | +9 |
| 11 |  Ilves U20 |
16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 24 | .750 | 58 | 63 | −5 |
| 12 |  KalPa U20 |
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 22 | .688 | 51 | 55 | −4 |
| 13 |  Vaasan Sport U20 |
16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .656 | 62 | 59 | +3 |
| 14 |  SaiPa U20 |
16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 21 | .656 | 54 | 59 | −5 |
| 15 |  Jyvaskyla U20 |
16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .656 | 51 | 58 | −7 |
| 16 |  Assat U20 |
16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 15 | .469 | 41 | 55 | −14 |
| 17 |  KooKoo U20 |
17 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 11 | .324 | 35 | 63 | −28 |
| 18 |  RoKi U20 |
18 | 2 | 15 | 1 | 6 | .167 | 41 | 94 | −53 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Hameenlinna U20 host Lukko U20 in the SM-sarja U20 on Wednesday, November 11, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.