Hameenlinna vs IFK Helsinki prediction
Chance to win · 44% and 32% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2LostHPK2.43Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonO3.5odds down 1.30Confidence 72%
- HandicapWonHIFK +1.5odds up 1.26Confidence 67%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostHPKodds up 1.88Confidence 58%
- Double chanceLostHPK or drawodds up 1.48Confidence 70%
- Draw no betLostHPKodds up 1.85Confidence 60%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.15Confidence 83%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDrawodds up 2.45Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostU1.5odds down 1.65Confidence 58%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min3–64%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period1–224%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · all three30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 0-0, 1-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (2%), 5-4 (1%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Sep 4, 2026: IFK Helsinki 5, Hameenlinna 3.
- Jan 24, 2026: Hameenlinna 0, IFK Helsinki 4.
- Dec 17, 2025: IFK Helsinki 4, Hameenlinna 3.
- Nov 21, 2025: Hameenlinna 4, IFK Helsinki 0.
- Oct 22, 2025: IFK Helsinki 2, Hameenlinna 6.
Last five games
- Loss, 2–3 at JYP, Oct 22. Odds: JYP 1.58, HPK 4.25.
- Loss, 1–3 against Pelicans, Oct 20. Odds: HPK 2.52, Pelicans 2.22.
- Win, 3–1 against Ilves, Oct 16. Odds: HPK 3.90, Ilves 1.81.
- Loss, 1–2 at SaiPa, Oct 15. Odds: SaiPa 1.75, HPK 3.30.
- Win, 5–3 against KooKoo, Oct 10.
- Win, 3–0 at Kiekko-Espoo, Oct 23. Odds: Kiekko-Espoo 1.96, HIFK 3.00.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at Lukko, after a shootout, Oct 20. Odds: Lukko 1.62, HIFK 3.55.
- Loss, 1–7 at SaiPa, Oct 17. Odds: SaiPa 1.83, HIFK 3.68.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 against TPS Turku, after a shootout, Oct 14. Odds: HIFK 2.95, TPS 2.13.
- Win, 6–1 against KalPa, Oct 10.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-2
- 01:58 2 min IFK Helsinki: Leschyshyn J. High sticking
- 05:56 Goal IFK Helsinki: Leschyshyn J. assists: Somervuori J., Nemecek D. 0-1
- 09:41 2 min IFK Helsinki: Nemecek D. Holding
- 10:30 2 min Hameenlinna: Jokirinne V. Tripping
- 12:49 2 min IFK Helsinki: Leschyshyn J. Tripping
- 14:59 Goal Hameenlinna: Kainulainen H. assists: Oden J., Piipponen S. 1-1
- 17:29 Goal IFK Helsinki: Pakarinen I. assists: Makiaho D., Huuhtanen N. 1-2
2nd period2-1
- 03:19 Goal IFK Helsinki: Huuhtanen N. assists: Sinivuori L., Kiviharju A. 1-3
- 07:50 Goal Hameenlinna: Pyke G. assists: Ranford B., Vesterinen R. 2-3
- 11:18 2 min Hameenlinna: Gabrielsson H. Tripping
- 15:59 Goal Hameenlinna: Kukkonen M. assists: Kuusisto O., Jokirinne V. 3-3
3rd period0-3
- 03:01 Goal IFK Helsinki: Nemecek D. 3-4
- 15:23 Goal IFK Helsinki: Makiaho D. assists: Huuhtanen N., Pakarinen I. 3-5
- 16:02 Goal ENG IFK Helsinki: Makiaho D. assists: Pakarinen I. 3-6
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for IFK Helsinki, who played yesterday.
- 2-4-2 away for IFK Helsinki this season.
- In goal: Saarinen K. for Hameenlinna (5-5-0 in the last 10 starts), Alnefelt H. for IFK Helsinki (4-4-2 in the last 10 starts).
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for IFK Helsinki.
- 6.2 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 4.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (HAM) | 2.45 | 2.45 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.00 | 4.00 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (HEL) | 2.35 | 2.35 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 4.5 | 4.5 | No change |
| Handicap HAM | −0.5 | −0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Liiga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 1.053 | 53 | 36 | +17 | |
| 2 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 37 | .925 | 52 | 39 | +13 | |
| 3 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 36 | .900 | 49 | 40 | +9 | |
| 4 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 35 | 1.029 | 59 | 48 | +11 | |
| 5 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 34 | .850 | 46 | 48 | −2 | |
| 6 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 34 | .944 | 52 | 38 | +14 | |
| 7 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 33 | .825 | 53 | 52 | +1 | |
| 8 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 31 | .816 | 53 | 48 | +5 | |
| 9 | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 31 | .775 | 61 | 49 | +12 | |
| 10 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 28 | .737 | 51 | 46 | +5 | |
| 11 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27 | .711 | 53 | 56 | −3 | |
| 12 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 25 | .694 | 46 | 41 | +5 | |
| 13 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 24 | .706 | 40 | 38 | +2 | |
| 14 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 0 | 24 | .600 | 42 | 55 | −13 | |
| 15 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 19 | .528 | 33 | 53 | −20 | |
| 16 | 18 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 15 | .417 | 41 | 62 | −21 | |
| 17 | 20 | 3 | 15 | 2 | 10 | .250 | 46 | 81 | −35 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Hameenlinna host IFK Helsinki in the Liiga on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.