Hameenlinna vs Kiekko-Espoo prediction
Chance to win · 32% and 44% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 61%Full game
- 1X2WonKiekko-Espooodds down 2.27Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds down 1.69Confidence 55%
- HandicapLostHPK +1.5odds up 1.32Confidence 67%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonKiekko-Espooodds down 1.77Confidence 58%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonKiekko-Espoo or drawodds down 1.42Confidence 69%
- Draw no betWonKiekko-Espooodds up 1.70Confidence 60%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.13Confidence 83%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDrawodds up 2.40Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostU1.5odds down 1.67Confidence 59%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min1–44%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period0–224%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 3 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-0, 1-1, 1-2
- Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 3-4 (2%), 4-5 (1%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Jan 21, 2026: Kiekko-Espoo 2, Hameenlinna 3, after overtime.
- Jan 9, 2026: Hameenlinna 2, Kiekko-Espoo 0.
- Dec 10, 2025: Kiekko-Espoo 3, Hameenlinna 1.
- Sep 20, 2025: Hameenlinna 3, Kiekko-Espoo 2, after overtime.
- Feb 22, 2025: Hameenlinna 5, Kiekko-Espoo 4, after overtime.
Last five games
- Loss, 0–1 at Karpat, Oct 28. Odds: Karpat 1.66, HPK 4.00.
- Loss, 3–6 against IFK Helsinki, Oct 24. Odds: HPK 2.45, HIFK 2.35.
- Loss, 2–3 at JYP, Oct 22. Odds: JYP 1.58, HPK 4.25.
- Loss, 1–3 against Pelicans, Oct 20. Odds: HPK 2.52, Pelicans 2.22.
- Win, 3–1 against Ilves, Oct 16. Odds: HPK 3.90, Ilves 1.81.
- Win, 5–4 against TPS Turku, after overtime, Oct 28. Odds: Kiekko-Espoo 2.20, TPS 2.65.
- Loss, 0–3 against IFK Helsinki, Oct 23. Odds: Kiekko-Espoo 1.96, HIFK 3.00.
- Win, 4–2 against KooKoo, Oct 21. Odds: Kiekko-Espoo 1.51, KooKoo 4.50.
- Loss, 1–3 at Lukko, Oct 17. Odds: Lukko 2.01, Kiekko-Espoo 3.21.
- Loss, 2–4 at TPS Turku, Oct 16. Odds: TPS 2.19, Kiekko-Espoo 2.91.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-2
- 04:44 Goal Kiekko-Espoo: Tuomaala A. assists: Sallinen J., Corcoran C. 0-1
- 11:36 2 min Kiekko-Espoo: Jurmo J. Interference
- 17:04 Goal Kiekko-Espoo: King C. assists: Hamalainen J., Lajunen V. 0-2
2nd period0-0
- 03:26 2 min Hameenlinna: Kopiloff O. Holding
- 13:49 2 min Hameenlinna: Ranford B. Kneeing
3rd period1-2
- 00:23 2 min Kiekko-Espoo: Sallinen J. Hooking
- 08:29 5 min Kiekko-Espoo: Salovaara E. Charging
- 16:06 Goal Hameenlinna: Kainulainen H. assists: Oden J., Ranford B. 1-2
- 18:24 Goal Kiekko-Espoo: King C. assists: Oberg L., Lajunen V. 1-3
- 19:38 Goal ENG Kiekko-Espoo: Oberg L. 1-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 4-game losing streak for Hameenlinna coming into this game.
- 1-4-3 away for Kiekko-Espoo this season.
- In goal: Crespin J. for Hameenlinna, Rajaniemi S. for Kiekko-Espoo (4-4-2 in the last 10 starts).
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Hameenlinna.
- +0.9 goals at home — Hameenlinna averaged 2.5 at home and 1.6 away this season.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (HAM) | 2.75 | 2.75 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.00 | 4.00 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (KIE) | 2.15 | 2.15 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 4.5 | 5 | Line raised |
| Handicap HAM | +1.5 | +0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Liiga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 1.053 | 53 | 36 | +17 | |
| 2 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 37 | .925 | 52 | 39 | +13 | |
| 3 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 36 | .900 | 49 | 40 | +9 | |
| 4 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 35 | 1.029 | 59 | 48 | +11 | |
| 5 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 34 | .850 | 46 | 48 | −2 | |
| 6 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 34 | .944 | 52 | 38 | +14 | |
| 7 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 33 | .825 | 53 | 52 | +1 | |
| 8 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 31 | .816 | 53 | 48 | +5 | |
| 9 | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 31 | .775 | 61 | 49 | +12 | |
| 10 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 28 | .737 | 51 | 46 | +5 | |
| 11 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27 | .711 | 53 | 56 | −3 | |
| 12 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 25 | .694 | 46 | 41 | +5 | |
| 13 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 24 | .706 | 40 | 38 | +2 | |
| 14 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 0 | 24 | .600 | 42 | 55 | −13 | |
| 15 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 19 | .528 | 33 | 53 | −20 | |
| 16 | 18 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 15 | .417 | 41 | 62 | −21 | |
| 17 | 20 | 3 | 15 | 2 | 10 | .250 | 46 | 81 | −35 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Hameenlinna host Kiekko-Espoo in the Liiga on Friday, October 30, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.