Hameenlinna vs Pelicans Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under Won

U5.5 1.43

Confidence71%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%

Full game

1X2LostHPKodds up 2.42Confidence 51%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU5.5odds down 1.43Confidence 71%
HandicapWonPelicans +1.5odds down 1.29Confidence 64%
Winner (incl. OT)LostHPKodds up 1.84Confidence 56%
Double chanceLostHPK or drawodds up 1.45Confidence 69%
Draw no betLostHPKodds up 1.82Confidence 58%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.17Confidence 82%

1st period

1st period 1X2WonDrawodds up 2.35Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds down 1.57Confidence 61%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the odds drifted 3% since they opened; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

HPK 21

Pelicans

Final 1–3

Total goalsTotal 3 Actual 4

Draw after 60 minDraw 25% Decided in regulation

HAM to winTo win 55% PEL won

Score details

Correct scoreLost2–1After 60 min1–35%chance
1st period correct scoreWon0–01st period0–026%chance
Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 3 goals29%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 2-1
By period 0-0, 1-0, 1-1
Likeliest 2-1 (5%), 3-2 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record8-6-05-6-1

Home / road split6-2-02-3-0

StreakW1L3

Rest3 days2 days

Goals for2.32.2

Goals against2.72.3

In the standings14th13th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+0.3−0.6

Goals for2.41.8

Goals against2.12.4

Shots on goal20.124.5

Shots against29.716.6

Shooting %11.9%7.3%

Save %93.3%86.7%

Power-play %17.4%14.3%

Penalty kill %80.6%78.4%

Faceoff %50.2%46.8%

Penalty minutes12.513.7

Blocked shots7.510.9

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

HPK 23

Pelicans

Pelicans won three of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 5.0 HAM 2.2 · PEL 2.8

Over 4.5 goalsOver 4.5 4 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 2 of 5 1 in overtime · 1 in a shootout

Mar 14, 2026: Hameenlinna 1, Pelicans 4.
Mar 13, 2026: Pelicans 3, Hameenlinna 2, after a shootout.
Jan 10, 2026: Pelicans 1, Hameenlinna 4.
Nov 1, 2025: Hameenlinna 2, Pelicans 1, after overtime.
Oct 31, 2025: Pelicans 5, Hameenlinna 2.

Last five games

HPK 4-1-0

Win, 3–1 against Ilves, Oct 16. Odds: HPK 3.90, Ilves 1.81.
Loss, 1–2 at SaiPa, Oct 15. Odds: SaiPa 1.75, HPK 3.30.
Win, 5–3 against KooKoo, Oct 10.
Win, 3–2 at Assat, after a shootout, Oct 9. Odds: Assat 1.88, HPK 3.50.
Win, 2–1 against Karpat, after overtime, Oct 3.

Pelicans 2-2-1

Loss, 1–3 at KalPa, Oct 17. Odds: KalPa 2.48, Pelicans 2.54.
Loss, 1–2 against Vaasan Sport, Oct 16. Odds: Pelicans 1.64, Vaasan Sport 4.80.
Overtime loss, 2–3 against Karpat, after overtime, Oct 9. Odds: Pelicans 2.18, Karpat 2.85.
Win, 6–3 at KooKoo, Oct 3.
Win, 2–1 against IFK Helsinki, Sep 26.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period0-0

06:13 2 min Pelicans: Falk H. Cross checking

2nd period1-2

03:01 Goal Pelicans: Pohjalainen A. assists: Forsberg C., Nutivaara M. 0-1
05:47 Goal Hameenlinna: Kuusisto O. assists: Kukkonen M., Jokirinne V. 1-1
05:53 2 min Hameenlinna: Huttunen H. Delay of game
11:35 2 min Hameenlinna: Kukkonen M. Tripping
19:48 Goal Pelicans: Kousa M. assists: Dudas A. 1-2

3rd period0-1

19:32 Goal ENG Pelicans: Fortier G. assists: Vaananen M., Falk H. 1-3

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

3-game losing streak for Pelicans coming into this game.
In goal: Saarinen K. for Hameenlinna (5-5-0 in the last 10 starts), Bartosak P. for Pelicans (4-5-1 in the last 10 starts).
6-2-0 at home for Hameenlinna this season.
3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Pelicans.
4-1-0 in the last five for Hameenlinna.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (HAM)	2.52	2.52	No change
1X2: X (draw)	3.40	3.40	No change
1X2: 2 (PEL)	2.22	2.22	No change
Over/Under line	4.5	4.5	No change
Handicap HAM	+0.5	+0.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

Liiga standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Lukko	19	14	4	1	40	1.053	53	36	+17
2	Ilves	20	13	6	1	37	.925	52	39	+13
3	Jukurit	20	13	6	1	36	.900	49	40	+9
4	JYP	17	12	4	1	35	1.029	59	48	+11
5	Assat	20	11	7	2	34	.850	46	48	−2
6	SaiPa	18	12	5	1	34	.944	52	38	+14
7	Karpat	20	11	5	4	33	.825	53	52	+1
8	TPS Turku	19	10	7	2	31	.816	53	48	+5
9	Kiekko-Espoo	20	10	7	3	31	.775	61	49	+12
10	Tappara	19	9	7	3	28	.737	51	46	+5
11	IFK Helsinki	19	8	7	4	27	.711	53	56	−3
12	KalPa	18	8	9	1	25	.694	46	41	+5
13	Pelicans	17	8	8	1	24	.706	40	38	+2
14	Hameenlinna	20	9	11	0	24	.600	42	55	−13
15	Vaasan Sport	18	6	10	2	19	.528	33	53	−20
16	Jokerit	18	4	10	4	15	.417	41	62	−21
17	KooKoo	20	3	15	2	10	.250	46	81	−35

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Relegation

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Hameenlinna vs Pelicans prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details