Hamilton Hammers vs Lehigh Valley Phantoms prediction
Chance to win · 37% and 41% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Full game
- 1X2LostLehigh Valleyodds down 2.60Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds down 1.42Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapLostLehigh Valley +1.5odds down 1.38Confidence 70%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostLehigh Valleyodds down 1.77Confidence 53%
- Double chanceLostLehigh Valley or drawodds down 1.56Confidence 66%
- Draw no betLostLehigh Valleyodds down 2.02Confidence 53%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.09Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostLehigh Valleyodds down 3.00Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.75Confidence 56%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Hamilton 1–4
Lehigh Valley Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–4After 60 min6–34%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period2–17%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 4 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-4
- By period 0-2, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 1-4 (4%), 2-5 (4%), 2-3 (3%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 12+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formHamilton Hammers
Lehigh Valley Phantoms
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Last five games
Hamilton
1-3-1 - Loss, 4–5 against Providence Bruins, Nov 6. Odds: Hamilton 2.90, Providence 1.96.
- Loss, 1–5 against Toronto Marlies, Nov 4. Odds: Hamilton 2.30, Toronto 2.40.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at Utica Comets, after a shootout, Nov 1. Odds: Utica 2.05, Hamilton 2.75.
- Loss, 0–7 at Syracuse Crunch, Oct 30. Odds: Syracuse 2.20, Hamilton 2.55.
- Win, 5–4 against Hartford Wolf Pack, after overtime, Oct 29. Odds: Hamilton 2.30, Hartford 2.40.
Lehigh Valley
2-3-0 - Loss, 1–3 at Belleville Senators, Nov 6. Odds: Belleville 2.15, Lehigh Valley 2.55.
- Win, 5–4 at Laval Rocket, after overtime, Nov 4. Odds: Laval 1.79, Lehigh Valley 3.30.
- Loss, 0–8 against Providence Bruins, Nov 1. Odds: Lehigh Valley 2.35, Providence 2.35.
- Loss, 3–6 at Rochester Americans, Oct 30. Odds: Rochester 2.20, Lehigh Valley 2.50.
- Win, 2–0 against Belleville Senators, Oct 25. Odds: Lehigh Valley 2.60, Belleville 2.10.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-1
- 07:30 Goal PPG Lehigh Valley Phantoms: Klimovich D. assists: Grans H., Ciernik A. 0-1
- 08:56 Goal SHG Hamilton Hammers: Foudy L. assists: Thiesing C. 1-1
- 19:43 Goal SHG Hamilton Hammers: Engvall P. 2-1
2nd period2-0
- 17:23 Goal Hamilton Hammers: Stranges A. assists: Engvall P., Luff M. 3-1
- 19:29 Goal Hamilton Hammers: Luff M. assists: Engvall P., Stranges A. 4-1
- 19:50 Goalie change Lehigh Valley Phantoms: Kolosov A. replaces Bjarnason C.
3rd period2-2
- 00:28 Goal Lehigh Valley Phantoms: Bump A. assists: Studnicka J. 4-2
- 02:21 Goal Hamilton Hammers: Drew H. assists: Warren M., Fabbri R. 5-2
- 04:34 Goal PPG Lehigh Valley Phantoms: Ciernik A. assists: Aston-Reese Z., Studnicka J. 5-3
- 06:52 Goal PPG Hamilton Hammers: Finley Q. assists: Fabbri R., Larson J. 6-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for both teams — Hamilton Hammers and Lehigh Valley Phantoms played yesterday.
- 4-game losing streak for Hamilton Hammers coming into this game.
- 1-5-1 at home for Hamilton Hammers this season.
- Save % gap: Hamilton Hammers 87.2%, Lehigh Valley Phantoms 84.1% over their recent games.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (HAM) | 2.40 | 2.40 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.40 | 4.40 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (LVP) | 2.25 | 2.25 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 6 | Line raised |
| Handicap HAM | −1.5 | +0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
AHL standings
Regular Season · Atlantic Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Charlotte Checkers |
15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 19 | .633 | 46 | 42 | +4 |
| 2 |  Hartford Wolf Pack |
17 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 17 | .500 | 44 | 49 | −5 |
| 3 |  Hershey Bears |
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 16 | .615 | 42 | 38 | +4 |
| 4 |  Wilkes-Barre/Scranton |
13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 15 | .577 | 47 | 37 | +10 |
| 5 |  Providence Bruins |
14 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 12 | .429 | 47 | 43 | +4 |
| 6 | Lehigh Valley Phantoms |
13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 11 | .423 | 37 | 55 | −18 |
| 7 |  Springfield Thunderbirds |
13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 11 | .423 | 32 | 46 | −14 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Hamilton Hammers host Lehigh Valley Phantoms in the AHL on Saturday, November 7, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.