Hamilton Hammers vs Providence Bruins prediction
Chance to win · 22% and 58% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 67%Full game
- 1X2WonProvidenceodds down 2.10Confidence 60%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds down 1.47Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonHamilton +1.5odds up 1.40Confidence 60%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonProvidenceodds down 1.72Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonProvidence or drawodds down 1.38Confidence 79%
- Draw no betWonProvidenceodds down 1.70Confidence 71%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.10Confidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostProvidenceodds down 2.67Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.91Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; an edge above the model’s usual ceiling; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Hamilton 2–3
Providence Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min4–54%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period2–09%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 6 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-2, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 3-4 (2%), 4-5 (1%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 12+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formHamilton Hammers
Providence Bruins
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Last five games
Hamilton
2-2-1 - Loss, 1–5 against Toronto Marlies, Nov 4. Odds: Hamilton 2.30, Toronto 2.40.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at Utica Comets, after a shootout, Nov 1. Odds: Utica 2.05, Hamilton 2.75.
- Loss, 0–7 at Syracuse Crunch, Oct 30. Odds: Syracuse 2.20, Hamilton 2.55.
- Win, 5–4 against Hartford Wolf Pack, after overtime, Oct 29. Odds: Hamilton 2.30, Hartford 2.40.
- Win, 2–1 at Laval Rocket, Oct 24. Odds: Laval 2.10, Hamilton 2.65.
Providence
4-1-0 - Win, 8–0 at Lehigh Valley Phantoms, Nov 1. Odds: Lehigh Valley 2.35, Providence 2.35.
- Win, 7–6 at Springfield Thunderbirds, after overtime, Oct 30. Odds: Springfield 2.25, Providence 2.50.
- Win, 5–2 against Utica Comets, Oct 24. Odds: Providence 2.01, Utica 2.90.
- Loss, 0–2 at Hartford Wolf Pack, Oct 23. Odds: Hartford 2.25, Providence 2.50.
- Win, 6–1 at Hershey Bears, Oct 18. Odds: Hershey 2.50, Providence 2.25.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-0
- 04:42 Goal Hamilton Hammers: Larson J. assists: Aitcheson K., Bear E. 1-0
- 14:51 Goal Hamilton Hammers: Foudy L. assists: Larson J., Fabbri R. 2-0
2nd period1-0
- 11:18 Goal Hamilton Hammers: Engvall P. assists: Luff M. 3-0
3rd period1-5
- 04:39 Goal Providence Bruins: Duran R. assists: Gallagher T., Harris J. 3-1
- 10:42 Goal Providence Bruins: Steeves A. assists: Gallagher T., Harris J. 3-2
- 16:56 Goal SHG Hamilton Hammers: Thiesing C. 4-2
- 17:52 Goal PPG Providence Bruins: Eyssimont M. assists: Ivan I., Steeves A. 4-3
- 18:52 Goal Providence Bruins: Eyssimont M. assists: Duran R., Gallagher T. 4-4
- 19:35 Goal Providence Bruins: Eyssimont M. assists: Gallagher T., Ivan I. 4-5
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Hamilton Hammers coming into this game.
- 3-game winning streak for Providence Bruins coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 4 days off for Providence Bruins, 1 for Hamilton Hammers.
- 1-4-1 at home for Hamilton Hammers this season.
- Goal differential gap of 2.7 per game — Hamilton Hammers −1.8, Providence Bruins +0.9 over their recent games.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (HAM) | 2.90 | 2.90 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.30 | 4.30 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (PRO) | 1.96 | 1.96 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap HAM | +1.5 | +0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
AHL standings
Regular Season · Atlantic Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Charlotte Checkers |
15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 19 | .633 | 46 | 42 | +4 |
| 2 |  Hartford Wolf Pack |
17 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 17 | .500 | 44 | 49 | −5 |
| 3 |  Hershey Bears |
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 16 | .615 | 42 | 38 | +4 |
| 4 |  Wilkes-Barre/Scranton |
13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 15 | .577 | 47 | 37 | +10 |
| 5 | Providence Bruins |
14 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 12 | .429 | 47 | 43 | +4 |
| 6 |  Lehigh Valley Phantoms |
13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 11 | .423 | 37 | 55 | −18 |
| 7 |  Springfield Thunderbirds |
13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 11 | .423 | 32 | 46 | −14 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Hamilton Hammers host Providence Bruins in the AHL on Friday, November 6, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.