Hartford Wolf Pack vs Providence Bruins prediction
Chance to win · 31% and 46% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2LostProvidenceodds down 2.87Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostO4.51.49Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapLostProvidence +1.5odds down 1.38Confidence 73%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostProvidenceodds down 2.17Confidence 58%
- Double chanceLostProvidence or drawodds down 1.65Confidence 69%
- Draw no betLostProvidenceodds down 2.30Confidence 57%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYesodds down 1.10Confidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostProvidenceodds down 3.25Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.95Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: an edge above the model’s usual ceiling; the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Hartford 1–4
Providence Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–4After 60 min2–05%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period0–07%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 2 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-4
- By period 0-2, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 1-4 (5%), 2-5 (4%), 2-3 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formHartford Wolf Pack
Providence Bruins
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Hartford 2–3
Providence - Oct 9, 2026: Providence Bruins 0, Hartford Wolf Pack 2.
- Apr 10, 2026: Hartford Wolf Pack 1, Providence Bruins 4.
- Mar 14, 2026: Providence Bruins 7, Hartford Wolf Pack 0.
- Mar 4, 2026: Hartford Wolf Pack 2, Providence Bruins 3.
- Feb 22, 2026: Providence Bruins 2, Hartford Wolf Pack 5.
Last five games
Hartford
1-4-0 - Loss, 2–4 at Charlotte Checkers, Oct 17. Odds: Charlotte 2.50, Hartford 2.10.
- Loss, 1–2 at Charlotte Checkers, Oct 16. Odds: Charlotte 2.11, Hartford 2.69.
- Loss, 1–4 against Lehigh Valley Phantoms, Oct 14. Odds: Hartford 2.35, Lehigh Valley 2.46.
- Loss, 2–5 against Laval Rocket, Oct 11. Odds: Hartford 2.34, Laval 2.40.
- Win, 2–0 at Providence Bruins, Oct 9. Odds: Providence 2.75, Hartford 2.12.
Providence
2-3-0 - Win, 6–1 at Hershey Bears, Oct 18. Odds: Hershey 2.50, Providence 2.25.
- Loss, 3–5 at Hershey Bears, Oct 17. Odds: Hershey 2.35, Providence 2.22.
- Loss, 2–6 against Wilkes-Barre/Scranton, Oct 11. Odds: Providence 2.69, W-B/Scranton 2.20.
- Win, 6–2 against Charlotte Checkers, Oct 10.
- Loss, 0–2 against Hartford Wolf Pack, Oct 9. Odds: Providence 2.75, Hartford 2.12.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
No goals or penalties.
2nd period0-0
No goals or penalties.
3rd period2-0
- 00:57 Goal Hartford Wolf Pack: Greentree L. assists: Gawdin G. 1-0
- 19:18 Goal ENG Hartford Wolf Pack: Terrance C. assists: Gawdin G. 2-0
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 4-game losing streak for Hartford Wolf Pack coming into this game.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Providence Bruins.
- Save % gap: Hartford Wolf Pack 89.4%, Providence Bruins 91.8% over their recent games.
- 5.2 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
- 2nd vs 5th in the AHL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (HWP) | 2.25 | 2.25 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.10 | 4.10 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (PRO) | 2.50 | 2.50 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap HWP | −0.5 | +0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
AHL standings
Regular Season · Atlantic Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Charlotte Checkers |
15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 19 | .633 | 46 | 42 | +4 |
| 2 | Hartford Wolf Pack |
17 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 17 | .500 | 44 | 49 | −5 |
| 3 |  Hershey Bears |
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 16 | .615 | 42 | 38 | +4 |
| 4 |  Wilkes-Barre/Scranton |
13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 15 | .577 | 47 | 37 | +10 |
| 5 | Providence Bruins |
14 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 12 | .429 | 47 | 43 | +4 |
| 6 |  Lehigh Valley Phantoms |
13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 11 | .423 | 37 | 55 | −18 |
| 7 |  Springfield Thunderbirds |
13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 11 | .423 | 32 | 46 | −14 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Hartford Wolf Pack host Providence Bruins in the AHL on Friday, October 23, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.