Harvard Crimson vs Massachusetts Minutemen Prediction & Picks

NCAA Thursday, October 29, 2026Thu · Oct 29

HomeHarvard Crimson17-1-02nd in the standingsLWWLW

21 FT Puck drop 19:00 ET 2.082.65

1st 2nd 3rd

HAR 1 1 0

MAS 0 1 0

USAUSA

AwayMassachusetts MinutemenMinutemen10-3-08th in the standingsWLWWOT

51%Harvard Crimson win · 40% in regulationHAR Overtime or shootout · 22%OT / SO 22% 49%Massachusetts Minutemen win · 38% in regulationMAS

Chance to win · 40% and 38% in regulation

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under Won

U6.5 1.40

Confidence68%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 61%

Full game

1X2WonHarvard2.05Confidence 51%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU6.5odds up 1.40Confidence 68%
HandicapWonUMass +1.51.43Confidence 63%
Winner (incl. OT)WonHarvard1.66Confidence 51%
Double chanceWonHarvard or draw1.38Confidence 59%
Draw no betWonHarvard1.63Confidence 51%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.08Confidence 81%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostDraw2.60Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5Confidence 70%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: form from only 0 games.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Harvard 32

UMass

Final 2–1

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 3

Draw after 60 minDraw 22% Decided in regulation

HAR to winTo win 51% HAR won

Score details

Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min2–14%chance
1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period1–021%chance
Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 2 goals30%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 3-2
By period 0-0, 1-1, 2-1
Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 2-1 (3%)

Last five games

Harvard 3-2-0

Loss, 0–4 at Cornell Big Red, Mar 14.
Win, 3–1 at Cornell Big Red, Mar 13.
Win, 4–3 against St. Lawrence Saints, after overtime, Mar 6.
Loss, 1–4 against Quinnipiac Bobcats, Feb 28.
Win, 5–3 against Princeton Tigers, Feb 27.

UMass 3-1-1

Win, 5–3 against Stonehill, Oct 24. Odds: UMass 1.35, Stonehill 6.50.
Loss, 1–4 against Northeastern Huskies, Oct 17. Odds: UMass 2.18, Northeastern 2.32.
Win, 4–1 against Northeastern Huskies, Oct 16. Odds: UMass 2.25, Northeastern 2.25.
Win, 5–1 against RIT Tigers, Oct 10.
Overtime loss, 2–3 against RIT Tigers, after a shootout, Oct 9. Odds: UMass 1.57, RIT 4.30.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (HAR)	2.08	2.08	No change
1X2: X (draw)	4.15	4.15	No change
1X2: 2 (MAS)	2.65	2.65	No change
Over/Under line	5.5	5.5	No change
Handicap HAR	−1.5	−1.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

NCAA standings

NCAA · ECAC

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%
1	Quinnipiac Bobcats	29	24	0	0	116	2.000
2	Harvard Crimson	25	17	1	0	92	1.840
3	Cornell Big Red	25	16	1	1	92	1.840
4	St. Lawrence Saints	30	15	1	0	76	1.267
5	Colgate Raiders	30	13	2	1	86	1.433
6	Union Dutchmen	30	13	1	1	76	1.267
7	Clarkson Golden Knights	30	13	3	1	82	1.367
8	Princeton Tigers	25	11	2	0	73	1.460
9	Rensselaer Engineers	30	12	2	0	74	1.233
10	Brown Bears	25	9	2	0	59	1.180
11	Yale Bulldogs	25	5	1	1	43	.860
12	Dartmouth Big Green	25	4	4	0	60	1.200

NCAA · Hockey East

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%
1	Boston University Terriers	28	20	0	0	113	2.018
2	Connecticut Huskies	30	18	2	0	98	1.633
3	Massachusetts Lowell	28	15	1	2	74	1.321
4	Northeastern Huskies	29	13	2	0	90	1.552
5	Merrimack Warriors	29	16	4	1	82	1.414
6	Providence Friars	30	13	2	1	92	1.533
7	Maine Black Bears	29	13	1	1	76	1.310
8	Massachusetts Minutemen	27	10	3	0	76	1.407
9	Boston College Eagles	28	10	1	2	75	1.339
10	New Hampshire Wildcats	30	11	3	0	67	1.117
11	Vermont Catamounts	29	9	2	1	56	.966

Pts points, on the league’s own system. The table follows the league’s own order. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · +/− difference.

Harvard Crimson host Massachusetts Minutemen in the NCAA on Thursday, October 29, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.