HC Norilsk vs SKA-VMF St. Petersburg prediction
Chance to win · 29% and 46% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Full game
- 1X2LostSKA-VMFodds down 2.27Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonU5.51.31Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonNorilsk +1.5Confidence 67%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonSKA-VMFodds down 1.74Confidence 61%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonSKA-VMF or drawodds down 1.40Confidence 71%
- Draw no betPushSKA-VMFodds down 1.68Confidence 63%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.19Confidence 82%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDraw2.25Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostU1.5odds down 1.49Confidence 62%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Norilsk 1–2
SKA-VMF Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–2After 60 min2–26%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period2–027%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 2nd27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-2
- By period 0-0, 1-1, 0-1
- Likeliest 1-2 (6%), 2-3 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 17+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formHC Norilsk
SKA-VMF St. Petersburg
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Last five games
Norilsk
5-0-0 - Win, 3–2 against Dinamo St. Petersburg, after a shootout, Nov 3. Odds: Norilsk 1.80, Dinamo SPb 3.40.
- Win, 5–2 against Zvezda Moscow, Nov 1. Odds: Norilsk 2.02, Zvezda Moscow 3.21.
- Win, 5–4 against Khimik, Oct 30. Odds: Norilsk 2.69, Khimik 2.34.
- Win, 2–0 at Gornyak, Oct 25. Odds: Gornyak 1.97, Norilsk 3.32.
- Win, 2–1 at Chelmet Chelyabinsk, Oct 23. Odds: Chelmet 2.55, Norilsk 2.33.
SKA-VMF
4-0-1 - Win, 2–0 against Kaluga, Oct 28. Odds: SKA-VMF 1.83, Kaluga 3.94.
- Win, 5–0 against AKM, Oct 26. Odds: SKA-VMF 2.20, AKM 2.89.
- Win, 4–0 against Ryazan, Oct 24. Odds: SKA-VMF 1.82, Ryazan 3.68.
- Win, 4–0 at Bars, Oct 16. Odds: Bars 3.15, SKA-VMF 1.86.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 at Almetyevsk, after a shootout, Oct 14. Odds: Almetyevsk 2.10, SKA-VMF 2.75.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-0
- 05:59 Goal HC Norilsk: Zlodeyev D. assists: Shalagin M., Avramenko I. 1-0
- 07:54 Goal SHG HC Norilsk: Sinyatkin S. assists: Filin F. 2-0
2nd period0-2
- 00:56 Goal SKA-VMF St. Petersburg: Barabanov V. assists: Kozhukhov Y., Yarullin A. 2-1
- 08:51 Goal SKA-VMF St. Petersburg: Shevchenko D. assists: Kapchuk S., Sorokin Y. 2-2
3rd period0-0
No goals or penalties.
Overtime0-0
No goals or penalties.
Shootout1-2
-
Round 1
Avramenko I.
✗missed
Sorokin Y.
✓scored
-
Round 2
Gorbunov Y.
✓scored
Busarov G.
✗missed
-
Round 3
Golodnyuk S.
✗missed
Dyadenkin D.
✓scored
-
Round 4
Shalagin M.
✗missed
Tkachenko P.
✗missed
-
Round 5
Klimovich Y.
✗missed
Kazakov M.
✗missed
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 6-game winning streak for HC Norilsk coming into this game.
- 4-game winning streak for SKA-VMF St. Petersburg coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 7 days off for SKA-VMF St. Petersburg, 1 for HC Norilsk.
- Goal differential gap of 1.4 per game — HC Norilsk +1.2, SKA-VMF St. Petersburg +2.6 over their recent games.
- +0.9 goals at home — HC Norilsk averaged 2.9 at home and 2.0 away this season.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (NOR) | 2.70 | 2.74 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.65 | 3.80 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (SVS) | 2.28 | 2.28 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 4.5 | 4.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
HC Norilsk host SKA-VMF St. Petersburg in the VHL on Thursday, November 5, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.