Henderson Silver Knights vs Coachella Valley Firebirds prediction
Chance to win · 37% and 41% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 61%Full game
- 1X2LostCoachellaodds down 2.45Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostO4.5odds down 1.37Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapLostCoachella +1.5odds up 1.31Confidence 65%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostCoachellaodds down 1.95Confidence 51%
- Double chanceLostCoachella or draw1.52Confidence 65%
- Draw no betLostCoachella1.95Confidence 51%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYesodds down 1.07Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostCoachellaodds down 2.90Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.82Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: form from only 3 games; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Henderson 1–4
Coachella Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–4After 60 min4–04%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period1–07%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 2 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-4
- By period 0-2, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 1-4 (4%), 2-5 (4%), 2-3 (3%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formHenderson Silver Knights
Coachella Valley Firebirds
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Henderson 3–2
Coachella - Oct 30, 2026: Coachella Valley Firebirds 5, Henderson Silver Knights 1.
- Apr 8, 2026: Coachella Valley Firebirds 1, Henderson Silver Knights 3.
- Mar 4, 2026: Henderson Silver Knights 5, Coachella Valley Firebirds 1.
- Feb 26, 2026: Coachella Valley Firebirds 2, Henderson Silver Knights 6.
- Feb 7, 2026: Henderson Silver Knights 3, Coachella Valley Firebirds 4, after overtime.
Last five games
Henderson
1-4-0 - Loss, 0–2 at San Diego Gulls, Oct 10.
- Loss, 1–3 against Bakersfield Condors, Oct 4.
- Win, 4–3 against Bakersfield Condors, Oct 3.
- Loss, 2–6 at Colorado Eagles, May 9.
- Loss, 0–4 at Colorado Eagles, May 6.
Coachella
2-2-1 - Win, 6–3 against San Diego Gulls, Oct 9. Odds: Coachella 2.55, San Diego 2.28.
- Win, 6–2 at Ontario Reign, Oct 3.
- Overtime loss, 5–6 against Ontario Reign, after overtime, Oct 2.
- Loss, 2–3 at Colorado Eagles, May 20.
- Loss, 1–4 at Colorado Eagles, May 17.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 09:09 Goal PPG Henderson Silver Knights: Sapovaliv M. assists: Heinola V., Holtz A. 1-0
2nd period2-0
- 12:12 Goal PPG Henderson Silver Knights: Sapovaliv M. assists: Heinola V., Holtz A. 2-0
- 18:13 Goal PPG Henderson Silver Knights: Holtz A. assists: Heinola V., Hemmerling B. 3-0
3rd period1-0
- 10:42 Goal PS Henderson Silver Knights: Fleming J. 4-0
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Goal differential gap of 1.5 per game — Henderson Silver Knights −0.7, Coachella Valley Firebirds +0.8 over their recent games.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Henderson Silver Knights.
- 1-4-0 in the last five for Henderson Silver Knights.
- 6.2 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
- 5th vs 6th in the AHL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (HSK) | 2.10 | 2.10 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.30 | 4.30 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (CVF) | 2.65 | 2.65 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap HSK | −0.5 | −0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
AHL standings
Regular Season · Pacific Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tucson Roadrunners |
13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 20 | .769 | 43 | 28 | +15 |
| 2 |  Abbotsford Canucks |
13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 18 | .692 | 45 | 36 | +9 |
| 3 |  Colorado Eagles |
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 18 | .600 | 44 | 38 | +6 |
| 4 |  Calgary Wranglers |
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 16 | .533 | 48 | 45 | +3 |
| 5 | Henderson Silver Knights |
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 16 | .667 | 28 | 24 | +4 |
| 6 | Coachella Valley Firebirds |
14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | .500 | 42 | 50 | −8 |
| 7 |  Ontario Reign |
14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 13 | .464 | 39 | 47 | −8 |
| 8 |  San Diego Gulls |
13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 13 | .500 | 31 | 32 | −1 |
| 9 |  San Jose Barracuda |
13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 12 | .462 | 37 | 48 | −11 |
| 10 |  Bakersfield Condors |
12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 9 | .375 | 28 | 35 | −7 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Henderson Silver Knights host Coachella Valley Firebirds in the AHL on Wednesday, October 14, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.