Henderson Silver Knights vs Ontario Reign prediction
Chance to win · 42% and 35% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 60%Full game
- 1X2WonHendersonodds up 2.07Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostO5.5odds up 1.57Confidence 54%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapLostOntario +1.5odds down 1.36Confidence 67%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonHendersonodds up 1.68Confidence 55%
- Double chanceWonHenderson or drawodds up 1.38Confidence 67%
- Draw no betWonHendersonodds up 1.67Confidence 52%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.09Confidence 87%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonHendersonodds up 2.57Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds up 1.70Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; the odds drifted 3% since they opened; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Henderson 4–3
Ontario Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–3After 60 min4–12%chance
- 1st period correct scoreWon2–01st period2–07%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 3rd30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-3
- By period 2-0, 1-1, 1-2
- Likeliest 4-3 (2%), 5-4 (1%), 6-5 (0%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formHenderson Silver Knights
Ontario Reign
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Henderson 2–3
Ontario - Oct 17, 2026: Ontario Reign 2, Henderson Silver Knights 5.
- Mar 25, 2026: Henderson Silver Knights 3, Ontario Reign 1.
- Mar 8, 2026: Henderson Silver Knights 1, Ontario Reign 2.
- Mar 6, 2026: Ontario Reign 4, Henderson Silver Knights 3, after a shootout.
- Jan 9, 2026: Ontario Reign 5, Henderson Silver Knights 4, after a shootout.
Last five games
Henderson
3-2-0 - Loss, 1–4 against Tucson Roadrunners, Oct 24. Odds: Henderson 2.25, Tucson 2.45.
- Win, 2–1 against Tucson Roadrunners, after overtime, Oct 23. Odds: Henderson 2.50, Tucson 2.20.
- Win, 5–2 at Ontario Reign, Oct 17. Odds: Ontario 2.37, Henderson 2.20.
- Win, 4–0 against Coachella Valley Firebirds, Oct 14. Odds: Henderson 2.10, Coachella 2.65.
- Loss, 0–2 at San Diego Gulls, Oct 10.
Ontario
3-2-0 - Loss, 2–5 at Texas Stars, Oct 24. Odds: Texas 2.55, Ontario 2.15.
- Win, 5–3 at Texas Stars, Oct 23. Odds: Texas 2.20, Ontario 2.50.
- Win, 3–2 against Calgary Wranglers, Oct 20. Odds: Ontario 2.70, Calgary 2.05.
- Loss, 2–5 against Henderson Silver Knights, Oct 17. Odds: Ontario 2.37, Henderson 2.20.
- Win, 3–2 at San Diego Gulls, Oct 14. Odds: San Diego 2.25, Ontario 2.45.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-0
- 07:50 Goal Henderson Silver Knights: Cormier L. assists: Holtz A., Megna J. 1-0
- 15:13 Goal PPG Henderson Silver Knights: Cormier L. assists: Davies J., Sapovaliv M. 2-0
2nd period0-1
- 06:58 Goal Ontario Reign: Jamsen A. assists: Hicketts J., Isogai K. 2-1
3rd period2-0
- 02:26 Goal Henderson Silver Knights: Fleming J. assists: McLain M., Cataford M. 3-1
- 18:38 Goal ENG Henderson Silver Knights: Holtz A. 4-1
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Ontario Reign dropped from 2.15 to 1.93 since they were first published.
- The total moved down from 6.5 to 5.5 since it was first published.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Ontario Reign.
- Save % gap: Henderson Silver Knights 92.0%, Ontario Reign 87.0% over their recent games.
- 6.0 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (HSK) | 2.55 | 2.35 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.30 | 4.30 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (ONT) | 2.15 | 2.35 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 5.5 | Line lowered |
| Handicap HSK | −0.5 | −0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
AHL standings
Regular Season · Pacific Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tucson Roadrunners |
13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 20 | .769 | 43 | 28 | +15 |
| 2 |  Abbotsford Canucks |
13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 18 | .692 | 45 | 36 | +9 |
| 3 |  Colorado Eagles |
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 18 | .600 | 44 | 38 | +6 |
| 4 |  Calgary Wranglers |
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 16 | .533 | 48 | 45 | +3 |
| 5 | Henderson Silver Knights |
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 16 | .667 | 28 | 24 | +4 |
| 6 |  Coachella Valley Firebirds |
14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | .500 | 42 | 50 | −8 |
| 7 | Ontario Reign |
14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 13 | .464 | 39 | 47 | −8 |
| 8 |  San Diego Gulls |
13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 13 | .500 | 31 | 32 | −1 |
| 9 |  San Jose Barracuda |
13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 12 | .462 | 37 | 48 | −11 |
| 10 |  Bakersfield Condors |
12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 9 | .375 | 28 | 35 | −7 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Henderson Silver Knights host Ontario Reign in the AHL on Wednesday, October 28, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.