Henderson Silver Knights vs Tucson Roadrunners prediction
Chance to win · 44% and 34% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Full game
- 1X2LostHendersonodds up 2.10Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostO4.5odds down 1.43Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonTucson +1.5odds down 1.35Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonHendersonodds up 1.69Confidence 52%
- Double chanceWonHenderson or drawodds up 1.38Confidence 68%
- Draw no betPushHendersonodds up 1.65Confidence 58%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.08Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostHendersonodds up 2.62Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.88Confidence 56%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the odds drifted 4% since they opened; the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; the odds drifted 3% since they opened; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Henderson 3–2
Tucson Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min1–14%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–07%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 2 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (2%), 5-4 (1%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formHenderson Silver Knights
Tucson Roadrunners
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Henderson 2–3
Tucson - Oct 24, 2026: Henderson Silver Knights 1, Tucson Roadrunners 4.
- Apr 18, 2026: Tucson Roadrunners 5, Henderson Silver Knights 4.
- Apr 17, 2026: Tucson Roadrunners 2, Henderson Silver Knights 1, after a shootout.
- Apr 4, 2026: Henderson Silver Knights 5, Tucson Roadrunners 4.
- Apr 3, 2026: Henderson Silver Knights 4, Tucson Roadrunners 3.
Last five games
Henderson
3-2-0 - Win, 5–2 at Ontario Reign, Oct 17. Odds: Ontario 2.37, Henderson 2.20.
- Win, 4–0 against Coachella Valley Firebirds, Oct 14. Odds: Henderson 2.10, Coachella 2.65.
- Loss, 0–2 at San Diego Gulls, Oct 10.
- Loss, 1–3 against Bakersfield Condors, Oct 4.
- Win, 4–3 against Bakersfield Condors, Oct 3.
Tucson
3-1-1 - Overtime loss, 2–3 against San Diego Gulls, after overtime, Oct 17. Odds: Tucson 2.37, San Diego 2.15.
- Win, 3–0 against San Diego Gulls, Oct 16. Odds: Tucson 2.38, San Diego 2.32.
- Win, 4–1 at San Jose Barracuda, Oct 10.
- Win, 7–4 at San Jose Barracuda, Oct 9. Odds: San Jose 2.00, Tucson 2.95.
- Loss, 3–5 against Colorado Eagles, Oct 4.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
No goals or penalties.
2nd period1-1
- 06:02 Goal Henderson Silver Knights: Davies J. assists: Sapovaliv M., Hemmerling B. 1-0
- 15:29 Goal PPG Tucson Roadrunners: Hebig C. assists: Moroz V., Smith G. 1-1
3rd period0-0
No goals or penalties.
Overtime1-0
- 01:00 Goal PPG Henderson Silver Knights: Sapovaliv M. assists: Hemmerling B., Weiermair A. 2-1
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Tucson Roadrunners.
- 6.6 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
- 5th vs 1st in the AHL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (HSK) | 2.50 | 2.50 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.30 | 4.30 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (TUC) | 2.20 | 2.20 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap HSK | −0.5 | +0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
AHL standings
Regular Season · Pacific Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tucson Roadrunners |
13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 20 | .769 | 43 | 28 | +15 |
| 2 |  Abbotsford Canucks |
13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 18 | .692 | 45 | 36 | +9 |
| 3 |  Colorado Eagles |
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 18 | .600 | 44 | 38 | +6 |
| 4 |  Calgary Wranglers |
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 16 | .533 | 48 | 45 | +3 |
| 5 | Henderson Silver Knights |
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 16 | .667 | 28 | 24 | +4 |
| 6 |  Coachella Valley Firebirds |
14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | .500 | 42 | 50 | −8 |
| 7 |  Ontario Reign |
14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 13 | .464 | 39 | 47 | −8 |
| 8 |  San Diego Gulls |
13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 13 | .500 | 31 | 32 | −1 |
| 9 |  San Jose Barracuda |
13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 12 | .462 | 37 | 48 | −11 |
| 10 |  Bakersfield Condors |
12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 9 | .375 | 28 | 35 | −7 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Henderson Silver Knights host Tucson Roadrunners in the AHL on Friday, October 23, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.